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A Shrinking Trade Deficit is Still a Deficit

By: Richard Daughty, The Mogambo Guru - The Daily Reckoning


-- Posted Thursday, 15 May 2008 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | Source: GoldSeek.com

The trade deficit came in at only $58 billion for March, which I have scheduled as Prosecution Exhibit # 7,327 in the upcoming Mogambo Court Of Awesome Revenge (MCOAR), wherein I will easily show that Americans have now eaten, drunk, breathed and injected so many pesticides, hormones, antibiotics, fertilizers, plastics, industrial by-products and toxic substances of one kind or another that the total volume of the mind-altering, poisonous, cancer-causing crap inside people is obviously producing stupidity and mental illness of Biblical proportions.

Unfortunately, as soon as I think about that, I realize that all that polluting garbage is but an insignificant jot of nothingness when compared to the eye-popping, Sheer Freaking Tonnage (SFT) of mind-altering prescription drugs and mind-altering alcoholic beverages being consumed, too, and especially when combined with the massive consumption of various illegal mind-and-mood-altering drugs, too.

Then again, now I that I think of the economic insanity of the corrupt Federal Reserve and the whole constellations of insanity as exhibited by Congress, the electorate, the school system, and the media, it sure answers a lot of questions!

To even suppose that a country under the influence of so many mind-altering substances could make a rational decision about anything makes me laugh and laugh, but not that good kind of laugh where somebody told you a funny joke, and since you and your barfly trash buddies are already pretty sloshed, you laugh too long and too loud, and then you repeat the punch line a few times and comically slur the words in doing so, laughing some more each time, and then somebody buys another round of drinks and life is good.

No, this was the other kind of laugh, the ugly kind where I demonstrate Mogambo Utter Contempt (MUC) at such imbecility, but without the optional message-enhancement of throwing stinky, dirty diapers at the crowd of rude, stupid people who are shouting for me to shut up and quit ruining their stupid outdoor wedding, or their stupid outdoor birthday party or disturbing their Sitting Around Looking Stupid party or something, I dunno.

But the reason for my vicious MUC is that this negative $58 billion trade deficit for March was interpreted as, unbelievably, GOOD news, since it was down from February's deficit of a negative $61 billion! Hahahaha! Good news! Hahaha!

I plan to try this on my wife if I ever lose my mind and decide to go home to face her and the kids while sober; "Well, I came home roaring drunk every night last month, but last Thursday, I can home sober! That one time! Therefore, this is good news! Rejoice, ya nasty old bag! Rejoice, I tells ya, and then shut up!"

If you decide that you are an adult and you can withstand childish Mogambo Utter Contempt (MUC), listening to me make rude noises and watching me shaking my butt at you to indicate maximum disrespect and disdain, then let me slip into "adult mode", too, and (after straightening up by combing my hair with my fingers and making sure that my zipper was up) I note in my most grown-up voice that at this exact time last year, in the merry, merry month of May, 2007, a mere twelve months ago, we had a freaking trade SURPLUS of $63 billion! Now it's a negative $58 billion!

So the total swing from a monthly surplus of $63 to a deficit of $58 billion has been a staggering $121 billion! Wowser! You can probably tell by the way my eyes spin comically in my head that this is a Big Freaking Change (BFC), and it scares the hell out of me.

If you cannot hear alarms alerting you to the extreme danger of such a deteriorating economic condition, then you need an expensive Mogambo Economic Detection System (MEDS) right away, which admittedly does little more than make a big racket to drown out the sounds of wolves howling in the distance, which are coming to eat you and your family alive, mostly by consuming the thing that would keep you and your family alive; the buying power of your money.

Like for instance, in your retirement portfolio. As to that, I turn to the "Indexes' P/Es & Yields" table in Barron's, which showed that the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost another huge chunk of earnings last week, taking the total earning for the 30 stocks in the index down to $148.27, which was down from $185.64 last week, and which was down from a relatively astounding $756.27 in earnings a year ago! But the stock market did not go down!

This means that with the index closing at 12,745.88 last Friday, the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the DJIA went to a staggering 85.97! Hahahaha! People are still buying those stocks at the most absurd price in stock market history! Hahahaha!

The fact that the DJIA did not drop by three-quarters into the gutter where it burned with an acrid flame is Prosecution Exhibit # 4,328 in a separate case in the Mogambo Court Of Awesome Revenge (MCOAR), the one where I sue the hell out of everybody connected with the Federal Reserve, the Congress (except for Ron Paul) and the Supreme Court for being stupid, stupid, stupid, and including as co-defendants the "investing professional" idiots who bought these stupid stocks and their sickly earnings to drove the price up so high that it produced a P/E ratio of 85.97! Hahahaha! This is actually beyond stupid! Buying an index of stocks with a P/E of 85? Hahahaha! This is, is, is…I am at a loss for words!

But I can still laugh the laugh of Mogambo Utter Contempt (MUC), and I do! Hahahahahaha!

P.S. To get The Daily Reckoning sent directly to your inbox, sign up for our free email newsletter, or if you prefer to use RSS, subscribe to the Daily Reckoning RSS feed.

Editor's Note: Richard Daughty is general partner and COO for Smith Consultant Group, serving the financial and medical communities, and the editor of The Mogambo Guru economic newsletter - an avocational exercise to heap disrespect on those who desperately deserve it.

The Mogambo Guru is quoted frequently in Barron's, The Daily Reckoning and other fine publications. Click here to visit the Mogambo archive page.


-- Posted Thursday, 15 May 2008 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com


Visit The Daily Reckoning's website.



 



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