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Using Modern Economics to Scare Children

By: Richard Daughty, The Mogambo Guru - The Daily Reckoning


-- Posted Thursday, 26 June 2008 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | Source: GoldSeek.com

There was an interesting article in last Tuesday's Wall Street Journal titled "Watch Out for Sovereign Debt Risk" by Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff, a couple of economics professors at U. of Maryland and Harvard, respectively.

I thought that it would be about all those dollars that foreigners have in their "sovereign wealth funds", thanks to the damned Federal Reserve creating it all, and then us borrowing it and then spending it on imports of foreign goods and services, enough to produce a merchandise trade balance deficit of almost $850 billion a year!

Or maybe the article would be about how all that money being wielded by sovereign wealth funds is actually not worth the paper it is printing on, and if they think that they can conduct business with worthless collateral and assets, then we should all rise and say, "Welcome to American Fantasy World, as we Americans have constructed an entire economy based on this very same stupid idea, and convinced everyone else to go along with it! And now you are stuck with it! Hahaha!"

Naturally, I was breaking out the nachos and tequila to celebrate the fun we are going to have watching these foreign weenies go berserk when they find out that they have been bamboozled by a fiat currency, and everyone will start to look at the dollar with a look of disgust, like my fellow workers look at me when I come to work in the morning; warily, suspiciously, filled with envy and thinly-disguised hate.

Yes, envy! They are jealous and envious that I am smart enough to be buying gold and silver with every dime I can get my hands on (well, I would if I could get my hands on an extra dime these days!) in response to the preposterous monetary policies of this country and the world, but they are all so stupid that they are NOT buying gold and silver in response to the blatant idiocy that is Modern Monetary Economics, which is so stupidly dangerous that even little children immediately see that it is total crap!

If you don't believe me, try this little experiment; walk up to some strange little kid, it doesn't matter how young, and grab the youngster by the shirt, yank him right up off the ground and haul him to eyeball level, and snarling right in his surprised little face forcefully enough to make sure that that you are heard loud and clear, say, "Hey, you stupid kid! What do you think about the Federal Reserve creating monetary inflation by creating too much money and credit, which immediately causes a dollar-for-dollar increase in debt AND sets the stage for a raging, crippling, terrible, long-lasting inflation in consumer prices, which means that you are going to watch your mother and father screaming as they are financially killed by the ruination of all their assets and their money, and they will lose everything, thanks to the Federal Reserve. And then all of you will die horrible, painful deaths! How do you like Modern Economic Theory so far, you doomed, ugly little rug-rat?"

Repeated trials will prove that any kid, not matter how young, will invariably be upset at this kind of Federal Reserve policy, usually resulting in screaming and crying, kicking and writhing, and teeth gnashing, which is the Classically Correct Appropriate Mogambo Response (CCAMR), and which does not even mention the violence and obscenities, mostly from the stupid kid's parents and directed at me, like it's all my fault or something!

Thus it is proved: The supreme idiocy of the Federal Reserve, abetted by a corrupt Congress that lets them get away with it, is so obviously and tragically wrong that even little kids, and even little kids who don't even speak English, react the same way, as they instinctively know how catastrophically, terribly wrong it all is!

But this is not about the damned Federal Reserve or the horrid Alan Greenspan, as the Journal article notes, "Already, a good share of Argentina's debt is in default. What else to do you call it when a government that owes over $30 billion in inflation-indexed debt manipulates its consumer price statistics?" Hahaha! I call it, "Welcome to the real world, chumps!" Hahaha!

The scam boils down to the fact that "the government is publishing an understated inflation rate that is used for calculating indexation payments", which we Americans know as business-as-usual, thanks to Alan Greenspan and Michael Boskin rigging the Consumer Price Index, which is then used to compute increases in the Cost Of Living Allowances (COLAs) to make sure that Social Security payments, welfare payments and all kinds of payments to all kinds of people (and lots of them!) keep up with the ravages of inflation in prices.

Hell, apparently these two college professors don't know that, right now, the United States is paying, on its inflation-index bonds (TIPS), less than inflation (as measured the old-fashioned way; changes in prices), meaning that if you hold one of these piece of garbage Treasury Inflation Protected Security bonds, you are paying money to loan money to the government! Hahahaha!

And don't get me started on how increases in Social Security payments have lagged increases in prices for years and years, because I hear plenty of that from people who depend on Social Security checks.

I thought that they would note by my disrespectful remarks that this is old news. They admit, "Fudging indexation clauses to effectively default on debt is an old game", and then they go on to note how India essentially did it in the '70s, Brazil did it in the '80s, and the USA did it in the Great Depression by revaluing gold to $35 an ounce from $20 an ounce, "effectively rewriting the contracts of foreign holders of U.S. debt."

And now we are doing it again, just like everybody else! Hahaha! As Bugs Bunny once slyly put it, "Ain't we stinkers?" Hahaha!

P.S. To get The Daily Reckoning sent directly to your inbox, sign up for our free email newsletter, or if you prefer to use RSS, subscribe to the Daily Reckoning RSS feed.

Editor's Note: Richard Daughty is general partner and COO for Smith Consultant Group, serving the financial and medical communities, and the editor of The Mogambo Guru economic newsletter - an avocational exercise to heap disrespect on those who desperately deserve it.

The Mogambo Guru is quoted frequently in Barron's, The Daily Reckoning and other fine publications. Click here to visit the Mogambo archive page.


-- Posted Thursday, 26 June 2008 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com


Visit The Daily Reckoning's website.



 



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