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Vaguely Resembling Real Price Inflation

By: Richard Daughty, The Mogambo Guru - The Daily Reckoning


-- Posted Thursday, 3 July 2008 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | Source: GoldSeek.com

I was thrilled to see the headline "Nip Inflation Before It Gains Steam" on an article by Robert Samuelson of The Washington Post Writers Group, because he is exactly right; inflation is a Terrible, Terrible Thing (TTT), and it is imperative that there be a lot of nipping to stop inflation. Like Deputy Barney Fife famously said to Andy of Mayberry about children's misbehavior, you have to "Nip it in the bud, Andy! Nip it! Nip it!"

The classic example is the French Revolution, which was caused by ruinous inflation in prices of food and commodities, thanks to the idiotic French government creating so much money for years. A better-known example is Weimar Germany, and a lesser-known example is the Russian Revolution, which created the money to wage WWI and caused food prices to skyrocket.

Then Mr. Samuelson shows that he is apparently just a doofus who fills up his day by happily writing any crap that anybody in a suit and a position of authority will say to him. To show you what I mean, he writes that Ben Bernanke argued, "The economy today is much different from the mid 1970s." Mr. Samuelson opined, "He's right."

I thought that when he added that comment of "He's right" at the end, he would go on to explain that "In fact, things are much worse than in the '70s and the Irritating Idiot Mogambo (IIM) was right! The Federal Reserve creating so much money and credit has destroyed the dollar! We're freaking doomed!" But he did not.

Unbelievably, instead, he writes that the inflation in this country is about 4% and that unemployment is less than 6%, which is supposed to be good news because, "In 1974, inflation (as measured by the Consumer Price Index) was 12 percent. Unemployment in the parallel recession peaked at 9% in early 1975."

What this newspaper ignoramus is saying is that he is some big blowhard expert on economics, but yet he is not remotely aware of the any of the constant jiggling of the CPI over the decades by the corrupt government trying to destroy the inflationary evidence of its gross mismanagement of the economy, culminating in the despicable actions of the odious Alan Greenspan and the equally despicable Michael Boskin in the '90s to introduce such bizarre, inflation-concealing concepts such as "the substitution effect", "the wealth effect", and "quality improvement (hedonic) effects", so that the Consumer Price Index now has only a vague, passing resemblance to real inflation in prices.

This does not even get into the fact that the Bureau of Labor Statistics spent the last couple of decades constantly re-defining "unemployment", and thus who is "officially" unemployed, down and down, so as to make the government appear NOT to be completely mismanaging the country! Hahaha!

I laugh that Mr. Samuelson is also admitting that he is completely ignorant of John Williams and his shadowstats.com, where inflation is calculated the way it was actually measured in 1974, and which shows that price inflation is now HIGHER than it was in 1974, with inflation now being up around 13%!

And Mr. Williams also calculates unemployment the way it was measured in 1974, too, and it shows that unemployment is higher now, too, at over 10%!

Mr. Samuelson, for all his staggering ignorance, does admit that "all large inflations involve 'too much money chasing too few goods' as economist Milton Friedman often noted, and this episode is no exception". To underscore the point, he points out that "the Fed is holding its key interest rate at 2 percent, well below prevailing inflation." Negative interest rates!

He thinks that this is trumped by saying, "By contrast, today there's not yet a wage-price spiral. Inflationary pressures seem to originate mostly in rising raw materials prices." Hahaha! This is not only wrong, but also parochial and insane! There is no wage-price spiral in the U.S.A., admittedly, but foreigners all over the freaking world are seeing the incomes shooting up, sometimes by 10% or more! There's your freaking wage hike, and their rising demands for commodities are producing the price hike, so there is your wage-price spiral, you dumb weenie! Jeez!

With media like this, with schools like these, with a government like this, with a central bank like this, it's a wonder we lasted as long as we did!

P.S. To get The Daily Reckoning sent directly to your inbox, sign up for our free email newsletter, or if you prefer to use RSS, subscribe to the Daily Reckoning RSS feed.

Editor's Note: Richard Daughty is general partner and COO for Smith Consultant Group, serving the financial and medical communities, and the editor of The Mogambo Guru economic newsletter - an avocational exercise to heap disrespect on those who desperately deserve it.

The Mogambo Guru is quoted frequently in Barron's, The Daily Reckoning and other fine publications. Click here to visit the Mogambo archive page.


-- Posted Thursday, 3 July 2008 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com


Visit The Daily Reckoning's website.



 



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