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To Hell in a Currency Basket

By: Richard Daughty, The Mogambo Guru - The Daily Reckoning


-- Posted Thursday, 10 July 2008 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | Source: GoldSeek.com

If I wasn't already massively loaded up on prescription medications and raw liquor as part of my charismatic, cute, charming way of frantically dulling the grim, ugly reality of the Federal Reserve killing the U.S. dollar by allowing the federal government to borrow and spend so much money, I would have been staggered to see Total Fed Credit soaring by $15.5 billion last week! Wow!

This is a huge, huge, HUGE load of new, out-of-thin-air money created by the Fed (a private corporation with shadowy ownership), which they can (unbelievably) legally do at their total discretion, and which shows up in the books of the banks (also private corporations, only overtly profit-making, yet every bit as shadowy), so that the banks can loan the money out to some borrower or (in this case) bail the banks out by giving them the reserves they need to keep from being literally bankrupt!

The tremor that went through me at the news made me immediately realize that I was not wasted enough, and I was far, far too sober to absorb such sobering news. Taking another long drink out of a bottle of Bandito Bob's Discount Tequila to dull, and thus steady my nerves, I was further staggered by the news that foreign central banks bought up another $23 billion of U.S. government and agency debt last week, expanding their accounts at the Federal Reserve to a mind-blowing $2.345 trillion, and up $363 billion in the last 12 months alone! Egads!

I piteously cry out, "How can interest rates rise, to cool down raging inflation, when there is this damned much buying of bonds, driving up their prices and driving down their imputed yield?"

David Galland of Casey Research dismisses me with a mere wave of his hand, and suggests that there is more to this than I obviously know, as "if the Fed raises rates to prevent a sell off in dollars, they'll crush the highly indebted and already struggling populace and, in so doing, unleash a serious economic crisis. But if the Fed keeps rates where they are, or even lowers them, they'll trigger a dollar sell-off and unleash a serious economic crisis."

So what is the solution? He agrees with me; there isn't one, and that "Either way, the story ends the same: a serious economic crisis."

This probably explains why other countries are looking to get away from the dollar, although it doesn't explain why I personally don't have any dollars, which is due to an entirely different reason, namely that I am a lazy, worthless skunk who not only doesn't make much money, but who spends it on himself about as fast as he can get it, which I do as a Brilliant Mogambo Stratagem (BMS) to keep my stupid, selfish family from getting THEIR grubby hands on it and spending it as fast as they can get it on themselves!

But what should these other countries, especially those who are making a zillion dollars a day exporting oil, do with their currency in the face of such a deluge of dollars flooding over their economies and causing horrendous price inflation in consumer prices and now there are signs of serious public unrest as a result?

Some morons suggest that they should peg their currencies against a basket of other currencies! Hahaha! I may be drunk out of my Freaking Mogambo Mind (FMM) on some really cheap hooch, but even so, I am sure that this is a Particularly Bad Idea (PBI), as those other countries are pegging their currencies to the dollar, too! Hahaha!

Noticing that I am drunk enough to be slurring my words, I am not sure that they understood me when I got right in their stupid little faces and explained that "If you don't want to peg your damned stupid currency to the stupid dollar, why in the hell would you want to peg your stupid currency to a basket of other stupid currencies that are being pegged to the stupid dollar, ya moron?"

At least when they pegged to the dollar, too, they could at least manipulate the peg! But valuing against a stupid basket of other stupid currencies eliminates even that! Morons!

I can see that I am pretty belligerent at this point of my Mogambo Drunken Tirade (MDT), so I knew that the calming effects of quantities of various chemicals were on their way, soon to do their tranquillizing magic, and I would be blissfully comatose soon, probably covered in vomit.

So, instead of being even MORE belligerent and calling them worse names, I got right to the point as to what they should be doing, being as polite as possible under the circumstances: "You should be buying gold with every freaking dime, you morons!"

Oops! More drunken name calling! Sorry 'bout dat! Holding one eye open with a finger so that the utter, utter sincerity in my eyes can add powerful credence to my words, the lesson is that one day, because there is not that much gold in the world compared to the mountains of money that exist, and especially compared to the more mountains of money that that will exist as central banks around the world try to buy their way out of inflation, and because gold is so grossly, grossly under-priced Right Freaking Now (RFN), these foriengers will soon, by dint of so much money turned into gold, own all the gold!

Then, with the security, real growth and zero-inflationary effects of a real gold standard, they can dictate terms to the rest of the inflationary world! Hahaha! They will take over the world!

By this time I realize that I am staggering drunk and nobody is paying any attention to me. In fact, I was dismayed that most of them are throwing popcorn and insults at me, and making bets on when I pass out or get punched out. So I was relieved that Bill Bonner here at The Daily Reckoning stepped up to take over for me, and he further explained that pegging against a basket of currencies, or anything else that is pegged to the dollar, is a loser because "The dollar has fallen against other major currencies. Against the euro, for example, it is worth barely half what it was at its high, which was reached shortly after the euro was launched 10 years ago. Against gold, it is worth only about a third of what it was worth 10 years ago. And against oil…the loss has been even greater - it's down about 80%."

In short, any basket of currencies would have fallen against the dollar, against oil, and against the euro, the most laughable of all the fiat currencies in the world! A single monetary policy but individual fiscal policies! I laugh "Hahaha!" even to think of the dollar losing value against the euro! Hahahaha!

Then I think of the horror of the inflationary effects of a falling currency, and shout, "No! No! It can't be!", but it is, and I am suddenly despondent again. Then angry. Then fearful. Then more anger. Lots more anger.

And owning gold and silver is how anger at monetary stupidity is turned into profit! Whee!

P.S. To get The Daily Reckoning sent directly to your inbox, sign up for our free email newsletter, or if you prefer to use RSS, subscribe to the Daily Reckoning RSS feed.

Editor's Note: Richard Daughty is general partner and COO for Smith Consultant Group, serving the financial and medical communities, and the editor of The Mogambo Guru economic newsletter - an avocational exercise to heap disrespect on those who desperately deserve it.

The Mogambo Guru is quoted frequently in Barron's, The Daily Reckoning and other fine publications. Click here to visit the Mogambo archive page.


-- Posted Thursday, 10 July 2008 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com


Visit The Daily Reckoning's website.



 



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