-- Posted Thursday, 26 July 2007 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com

Rick’s Picks

Thursday, July 26, 2007

“Phenomenally accurate forecasts” 

When we warned recently that Apple shares might fall to as low as $134 before rallying to a potentially important high near $153, we never imagined the stock would hit both of those numbers in a single day. But it very nearly did yesterday, when stellar earnings drove bears into a short-covering panic in after-hours trading. The stock had spent most of the day struggling to recoup a nearly $9 loss on Tuesday, when it plunged, along with a very weak market, to a low of 134.15. Before the earnings news was released after the close, bulls had been unable to push quotes much higher than $138. But when word hit the tape that the electronics firm’s profits had surged 73% on sensational Mac and iPod sales, DaBoyz let crazed short-covering do its magic. AAPL gyrated wildly in the minutes that followed, feinting first to 143.70, then plunging to 129.00. That was the day’s low as well as the starting point of an even more spectacular rally. An hour later AAPL had touched a high of 151.98 – an 18 percent move in just under 60 minutes..

So much for the patently absurd notion that the stock market prices shares efficiently. This time, its inefficiency seemed almost comical, given that no sentient adult – other than a Wall Street analyst, perhaps -- could have been unaware of the red-hot pace of Apple’s hardware sales in the last few months. For our part, we see no contradiction in the stock’s hitting our worst-case and best-case targets in a matter of mere hours. And by the way, the 153.41 upside projection remains valid, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see AAPL make an important top there.  It wouldn’t be the first time a stock became a ripe sale on great news.

***

Information and commentary contained herein comes from sources believed to be reliable, but this cannot be guaranteed. Past performance should not be construed as an indicator of future results, so let the buyer beware. Rick's Picks does not provide investment advice to individuals, nor act as an investment advisor, nor individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment. From time to time, its editor may hold positions in issues referred to in this service, and he may alter or augment them at any time. Investments recommended herein should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor, and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Rick's Picks reserves the right to use e-mail endorsements and/or profit claims from its subscribers for marketing purposes. All names will be kept anonymous and only subscribers’ initials will be used unless express written permission has been granted to the contrary. All Contents © 2007, Rick Ackerman. All Rights Reserved. www.rickackerman.com 

-- Posted Thursday, 26 July 2007 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com

Previous Articles by Rick Ackerman

© 1995 - 2019

Live GoldSeek Visitor Map | Disclaimer