December Gold’s overnight surge yesterday brought it to within two ticks of an 1111.90 target we’d been using to keep us properly bullish for the last $55 or so of the rally. Where to next?  We’ll give you our best guess in a moment, but let us caution that we treat every top on the hourly chart as potentially important, since one can never can tell whether the correction that ensues will be the one that leaves bulls distraught, confused and gasping for breath. Actually, you very often can tell, provided you are patient enough to monitor price action on the lesser charts diligently. The logic of this is straightforward, since it is impossible for the major trend to change without signaling it first on the lesser charts. Thus, if an ageless bull market is about to give way to the worst bear market in history, the very first warning of this will occur in the form of a microscopic abcd downtrend on the one-minute bar chart.

We doubt such troubles lie in store for Comex gold, however. Even though the December contract dropped back $10 to end the day, we are still holding to an 1134,50 target that has been a long time in coming. Quite a long time, actually, since it was first signaled back in May when gold was trading around 935.  Accordingly, we’re advising subscribers with long-tern positions to lighten up if and when the rally hits 1134.50, a “Hidden Pivot” resistance.  We strongly expect a tradable pullback from that number just as we are seeing from 1111.90.  Please note, however, that if the rally were to push past the 1134.50 target by as little as $2-$3 on the day it is first hit, we’d infer there’s enough buying power for a short-  to intermediate-term finishing stroke to at least 1174.90.

Two Subscribers Score

Whatever happens, Rick’s Picks subscribers seem to be making excellent use of Hidden Pivot targets disseminated each day in the newsletter and chat room by helpful “pivoteers” who have taken the online Hidden Pivot seminar. “You guys are the bomb!” gushed one chat-room regular yesterday. “I just closed a trade [in gold futures] for $50,000! That is huge for me...made half my annual salary in six weeks.”  Another subscriber appears to have done even better: “I wanted to thank you again for the Hidden Pivot technique,” he texted. “I mainly trade stocks using my own Hidden Pivot patterns. Trades over the last couple of weeks (which have received my full attention) have almost netted profits equal to my annual salary. Enhanced risk control is key.”

Indeed. Of course, past performance is no guarantee of future success, and both of these guys may merely have been lucky. Also, no matter how accurate the forecasts, there will always be substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options. Let the buyer beware!

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Information and commentary contained herein comes from sources believed to be reliable, but this cannot be guaranteed. Past performance should not be construed as an indicator of future results, so let the buyer beware. There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and option trading, and even experts can, and sometimes do, lose their proverbial shirts.  Rick's Picks does not provide investment advice to individuals, nor act as an investment advisor, nor individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment. From time to time, its editor may hold positions in issues referred to in this service, and he may alter or augment them at any time. Investments recommended herein should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor, and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Rick's Picks reserves the right to use e-mail endorsements and/or profit claims from its subscribers for marketing purposes. All names will be kept anonymous and only subscribers’ initials will be used unless express written permission has been granted to the contrary. All Contents © 2009, Rick Ackerman. All Rights Reserved. www.rickackerman.com 

-- Posted Tuesday, 10 November 2009 | Digg This Article