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-- Posted Monday, 14 March 2011 | | Source: GoldSeek.com
Rick’s Picks Monday, March 14, 2011 “Phenomenally accurate forecasts” Late Sunday night, Tokyo stocks were getting savaged even as Reuters reported there was little evidence of short-term “funding shortages” in Japan’s financial system. The Nikkei Average initially dropped nearly 500 points, to 9756, when trading began, but it remained to be seen how U.S. stock would react. As of around 11:30 p.m., S&P Index futures had been down as much as 14 points, equivalent to about 100 Dow points. However, such moderate selling is usually a sign that institutional buyers are bullish and merely trying to shake loose some bargains ahead of Monday’s opening. Whatever the case, Monday is not likely to be a yawner, even though Wall Street has managed to shrug off a few other epic disasters ever since this seemingly unstoppable Mother of All Bear Rallies began exactly two years ago. On Friday, a day before earthquake/tsunami news from Japan went “nuclear,” shares of American multinationals that could conceivably benefit from the rebuilding of Japan actually rose, callous as that might seem. But we should have grown accustomed by now to seeing things the way investors see them, with dollar signs coloring even the most horrific spectacles.
Still, and most unfortunately, it’s possible this disaster will turn out to be worse than all others of recent memory combined. A “CollapseNet”(?) e-mail bulletin we received from a Belgian subscriber Saturday evening put things in the starkest possible terms, conjuring up a radioactive cloud that the Jet Stream would eventually disperse to all seven continents. The alert advised anyone living on the U.S. West Coast to secure potassium iodide pills as a precaution against moderate exposure to radioactivity. Although the warning seemed a bit extreme, we nonetheless inquired about the substance at the local Walgreen’s. The product supposedly is available over-the-counter, but this store had none of it, and the pharmacist was clueless as to why anyone would even want it. The Well-Stocked Survivalist Readers will recall that, just last week, we published some survivalists tips related to food storage in anticipation of a possible emergency. While potassium iodide might turn up on a list of items that every well-stocked emergency cabinet should contain, like a snake bite kit, it is something we would not ordinarily expect to use. But given the events of this weekend, including a new explosion within the hour at the already-stricken Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, we can no longer dismiss the possibility of a world-contaminating nuclear meltdown. The Fukushima explosion is reported so far as “unlikely” to have released a “large amount” of radiation into the atmosphere. Granted, the news could have been a whole lot worse, but it is hardly reassuring that powerful after-tremors that would have been big news by themselves just a week ago continue to rock Japan, reactors and all. Meanwhile, Brent crude is down almost $3 on speculation that Japan’s troubles will slow the global economy. Past experience suggests otherwise, since buyers of stocks have only been rewarded when they accumulated aggressively – i.e., shares of BP at low ebb during the worst of the Gulf oil spill -- whenever major disaster struck. This time, though, given the potential of Japan’s already considerable troubles to spin out-of-control, it may be premature to buy stocks hand-over-fist. The Japanese are infinitely resourceful, and they have been preparing for this earthquake for a long time. Even so, the rest of the world can only hope they succeed in containing the damage, and help Japan in any and all ways possible. *** Information and commentary contained herein comes from sources believed to be reliable, but this cannot be guaranteed. Past performance should not be construed as an indicator of future results, so let the buyer beware. There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and option trading, and even experts can, and sometimes do, lose their proverbial shirts. Rick's Picks does not provide investment advice to individuals, nor act as an investment advisor, nor individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment. From time to time, its editor may hold positions in issues referred to in this service, and he may alter or augment them at any time. Investments recommended herein should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor, and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Rick's Picks reserves the right to use e-mail endorsements and/or profit claims from its subscribers for marketing purposes. All names will be kept anonymous and only subscribers’ initials will be used unless express written permission has been granted to the contrary. All Contents © 2011, Rick Ackerman. All Rights Reserved. www.rickackerman.com
-- Posted Monday, 14 March 2011 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com
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