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COT Gold, Silver and US Dollar Index Report - September 30, 2011


-- Posted Friday, 30 September 2011 | | Disqus

Gold COT Report - Futures

Large Speculators

Commercial

Total

Long

Short

Spreading

Long

Short

Long

Short

181,723

53,922

28,003

192,457

359,140

402,183

441,065

Change from Prior Reporting Period

-31,086

-8,358

-2,147

5,200

-25,745

-28,033

-36,250

Traders

164

76

84

54

49

260

173

 

 

Small Speculators

 

 

 

 

Long

Short

Open Interest

 

 

 

63,231

24,349

465,414

 

 

 

-5,909

2,308

-33,942

 

 

 

non reportable positions

Change from the previous reporting period

 

COT Gold Report - Positions as of

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

 

Gold COT Report - Futures & Options Combined

Large Speculators

Commercial

Total

Long

Short

Spreading

Long

Short

Long

Short

195,497

36,743

228,369

326,598

526,349

750,464

791,462

Change from Prior Reporting Period

-34,710

9,569

-73,745

-22,245

-74,282

-130,700

-138,458

Traders

201

83

150

58

53

312

238

 

 

Small Speculators

 

 

 

 

Long

Short

Open Interest

 

 

 

74,401

33,403

824,865

 

 

 

-9,755

-1,997

-140,455

 

 

 

non reportable positions

Change from the previous reporting period

 

COT Gold Report - Positions as of

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

 

Silver COT Report - Futures

Large Speculators

Commercial

Total

Long

Short

Spreading

Long

Short

Long

Short

25,153

9,728

18,511

38,025

62,287

81,689

90,526

-8,794

-1,681

915

5,652

-10,794

-2,227

-11,560

Traders

62

38

43

42

42

128

102

 

Small Speculators

 

 

 

 

Long

Short

Open Interest

 

 

 

20,325

11,488

102,014

 

 

 

-7,862

1,471

-10,089

 

 

 

non reportable positions

Change from the previous reporting period

 

COT Silver Report - Positions as of

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

 

Silver COT Report - Futures & Options Combined

Large Speculators

Commercial

Total

Long

Short

Spreading

Long

Short

Long

Short

25,509

5,615

54,745

52,423

82,671

132,677

143,030

-8,872

36

1,255

6,952

-11,571

-664

-10,279

Traders

88

34

77

44

46

161

132

 

Small Speculators

 

 

 

 

Long

Short

Open Interest

 

 

 

24,177

13,823

156,853

 

 

 

-10,066

-451

-10,730

 

 

 

non reportable positions

Change from the previous reporting period

 

COT Silver Report - Positions as of

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

 

US Dollar Index COT Report - Futures

Large Speculators

Commercial

Total

Long

Short

Spreading

Long

Short

Long

Short

47,409

8,989

1,269

9,658

56,355

58,336

66,613

2,901

-1,271

665

579

6,435

4,145

5,829

Traders

75

15

5

18

8

96

26

 

Small Speculators

 

 

 

 

Long

Short

Open Interest

 

 

 

10,295

2,018

68,631

 

 

 

2,034

350

6,179

 

 

 

non reportable positions

Change from the previous reporting period

 

COT Silver Report - Positions as of

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

 

US Dollar Index COT Report - Futures & Options Combined

Large Speculators

Commercial

Total

Long

Short

Spreading

Long

Short

Long

Short

47,440

8,750

1,629

9,716

56,811

58,785

67,190

2,909

-1,315

749

614

6,542

4,272

5,975

Traders

76

15

9

19

8

101

27

 

Small Speculators

 

 

 

 

Long

Short

Open Interest

 

 

 

10,512

2,108

69,298

 

 

 

2,058

354

6,330

 

 

 

non reportable positions

Change from the previous reporting period

 

COT Silver Report - Positions as of

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

 

The COT reports which we look at each week provide a breakdown of each Tuesday's open interest for markets in which 20 or more traders hold positions equal to or above the reporting levels established by the CFTC.   The weekly reports for Futures-and-Options-Combined Commitments of Traders are released every Friday at 3:30 p.m. Eastern time.   The short report shows open interest separately by reportable and Non-reportable positions.   For reportable positions, additional data is provided for commercial and non-commercial holdings, spreading, changes from the previous report.

 

Futures and Options Combined

What does this title mean?   A future is a standardized contract traded through regulated exchanges where an investor buys or sells a contract at a specified price for a specific date in the future.   The price includes the interest charge due to the seller by the buyer from the date of the contract to the due date.   An option is the ‘right to buy or sell’ a contract at a fixed date in the future at a specific [strike] price.   The difference is that a futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell, whereas an option gives the holder the right to buy or sell.   An option holder can decide not to take up that right and will only lose the cost of buying the option.   His loss is therefore definable at the start of his investment, while the potential profit has not limit to it.   A futures contract is usually leveraged [a loan provided] up to 90% of the contract.   However, with the owner liable to top up his ‘margin’ to maintain this 10% his potential losses can rise far higher than his investment.  A ‘long’ [buying] contract limits its loss to the full price of the item, whereas the ‘short’ [selling] contract has no limit except the height that the price of the item can rise to.

 

The Commitment of Traders report [COT] is therefore a report on the overall position of the Commodity Exchange [COMEX or NYMEX].

 

Large & Small Speculators

The word “speculator” implies that the person is simply making a bet on the way he thinks the price of the item is going to move.   In essence, he is a gambler.   A trader might be this, but then again he might be an Arbitrageur, buying in one market and selling in another to capture the price difference between the two.   He wants to deal as fast as possible so as to minimize his risk of a price movement while he is exposed.   We would not put him in the same category as a speculator.

 

Contract

One contract is 100 ounces of the commodity [gold or silver in this case].   The numbers referred to above are therefore the number of 100-ounce contracts in that position.   The net long speculative position is found by adding the large and small speculators bought contracts and deducting the large and small speculators sold contracts.   We work on there being 32,150 ounces in a tonne.

 

Buy [Long]

A long position is where an investor, trader, speculator buys 100 ounces x the number of contracts.     

 

Sell [Short]

A short position is where an investor, trader, speculator sells 100 ounces x the number contracts.

 

Spreading

For the options-and-futures-combined report, spreading measures the extent to which each non-commercial trader holds equal combined-long and combined-short positions. For example, if a non-commercial trader in Gold futures holds 2,000 long contracts and 1,500 short contracts, 500 contracts will appear in the "Long" category and 1,500 contracts will appear in the "Spreading" category.

 

Open Interest

Open interest is the total of all futures and/or option contracts entered into and not yet offset by a transaction, by delivery, by exercise, etc. The aggregate of all long open interest is equal to the aggregate of all short open interest.

 

Reportable Positions

Clearing members, futures commission merchants, and foreign brokers (collectively called "reporting firms") file daily reports with the Commission. Those reports show the futures and option positions of traders that hold positions above specific reporting levels set by CFTC regulations.

 

Commercial and Non-commercial Traders

When an individual reportable trader is identified to the Commodities Futures Trading Commission, the trader is classified either as "commercial" or "non-commercial." All of a trader's reported futures positions in a commodity are classified as commercial if the trader uses futures contracts in that particular commodity for hedging as defined in the Commission's regulations (1.3(z)).

 

Non-reportable Positions

The long and short open interest shown as "Non-reportable Positions" are derived by subtracting total long and short "Reportable Positions" from the total open interest. Accordingly, for "Non-reportable Positions," the number of traders involved and the commercial/non-commercial classification of each trader are unknown.

 

Changes in Commitments from Previous Reports

Changes represent the differences between the data for the current report date and the data published in the previous report.

 

Number of Traders

To determine the total number of reportable traders in a market, a trader is counted only once regardless whether the trader appears in more than one category (non-commercial traders may be long or short only and may be spreading; commercial traders may be long and short). To determine the number of traders in each category, however, a trader is counted in each category in which the trader holds a position. Therefore, the sum of the numbers of traders in each category will often exceed the "Total" number of traders in that market.


-- Posted Friday, 30 September 2011 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com

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