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COT Gold, Silver and US Dollar Index Report - May 4, 2012


-- Posted Friday, 4 May 2012 | | Disqus

Gold COT Report - Futures

Large Speculators

Commercial

Total

Long

Short

Spreading

Long

Short

Long

Short

169,568

29,175

31,031

153,584

331,587

354,183

391,793

Change from Prior Reporting Period

4,565

-834

4,292

4,590

15,356

13,447

18,814

Traders

154

61

63

48

49

230

150

Small Speculators

Long

Short

Open Interest

57,789

20,179

411,972

3,136

-2,231

16,583

non reportable positions

Change from the previous reporting period

COT Gold Report - Positions as of

Tuesday, May 01, 2012

Gold COT Report - Futures & Options Combined

Large Speculators

Commercial

Total

Long

Short

Spreading

Long

Short

Long

Short

175,731

28,356

156,886

251,895

438,744

584,512

623,986

Change from Prior Reporting Period

7,437

-491

-1,962

-1,474

11,522

4,001

9,069

Traders

180

75

135

57

54

287

220

Small Speculators

Long

Short

Open Interest

64,203

24,730

648,716

2,815

-2,253

6,816

non reportable positions

Change from the previous reporting period

COT Gold Report - Positions as of

Tuesday, May 01, 2012

Silver COT Report - Futures

Large Speculators

Commercial

Total

Long

Short

Spreading

Long

Short

Long

Short

26,855

11,271

21,364

42,450

66,193

90,669

98,828

-2,058

-1,171

-4,457

-5,894

-4,504

-12,409

-10,132

Traders

59

30

38

37

40

118

91

Small Speculators

Long

Short

Open Interest

20,193

12,034

110,862

946

-1,331

-11,463

non reportable positions

Change from the previous reporting period

COT Silver Report - Positions as of

Tuesday, May 01, 2012

Silver COT Report - Futures & Options Combined

Large Speculators

Commercial

Total

Long

Short

Spreading

Long

Short

Long

Short

27,588

9,896

38,975

54,389

80,994

120,952

129,864

-1,908

-1,055

-10,334

-8,890

-7,454

-21,131

-18,842

Traders

70

33

59

39

42

134

113

Small Speculators

Long

Short

Open Interest

22,495

13,583

143,447

780

-1,509

-20,351

non reportable positions

Change from the previous reporting period

COT Silver Report - Positions as of

Tuesday, May 01, 2012

US Dollar Index COT Report - Futures

Large Speculators

Commercial

Total

Long

Short

Spreading

Long

Short

Long

Short

31,374

17,996

1,169

7,219

24,200

39,762

43,365

4,727

7,327

76

1,018

-4,344

5,821

3,059

Traders

49

28

6

15

12

66

45

Small Speculators

Long

Short

Open Interest

5,777

2,174

45,539

-3,426

-664

2,395

non reportable positions

Change from the previous reporting period

COT Silver Report - Positions as of

Tuesday, May 01, 2012

US Dollar Index COT Report - Futures & Options Combined

Large Speculators

Commercial

Total

Long

Short

Spreading

Long

Short

Long

Short

31,377

17,822

1,483

7,314

24,516

40,175

43,821

4,774

7,165

224

1,011

-4,140

6,010

3,249

Traders

50

27

8

15

12

67

46

Small Speculators

Long

Short

Open Interest

5,887

2,241

46,062

-3,421

-661

2,588

non reportable positions

Change from the previous reporting period

COT Silver Report - Positions as of

Tuesday, May 01, 2012

The COT reports which we look at each week provide a breakdown of each Tuesday's open interest for markets in which 20 or more traders hold positions equal to or above the reporting levels established by the CFTC. The weekly reports for Futures-and-Options-Combined Commitments of Traders are released every Friday at 3:30 p.m. Eastern time. The short report shows open interest separately by reportable and Non-reportable positions. For reportable positions, additional data is provided for commercial and non-commercial holdings, spreading, changes from the previous report.

Futures and Options Combined

What does this title mean? A future is a standardized contract traded through regulated exchanges where an investor buys or sells a contract at a specified price for a specific date in the future. The price includes the interest charge due to the seller by the buyer from the date of the contract to the due date. An option is the ‘right to buy or sell’ a contract at a fixed date in the future at a specific [strike] price. The difference is that a futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell, whereas an option gives the holder the right to buy or sell. An option holder can decide not to take up that right and will only lose the cost of buying the option. His loss is therefore definable at the start of his investment, while the potential profit has not limit to it. A futures contract is usually leveraged [a loan provided] up to 90% of the contract. However, with the owner liable to top up his ‘margin’ to maintain this 10% his potential losses can rise far higher than his investment. A ‘long’ [buying] contract limits its loss to the full price of the item, whereas the ‘short’ [selling] contract has no limit except the height that the price of the item can rise to.

The Commitment of Traders report [COT] is therefore a report on the overall position of the Commodity Exchange [COMEX or NYMEX].

Large & Small Speculators

The word “speculator” implies that the person is simply making a bet on the way he thinks the price of the item is going to move. In essence, he is a gambler. A trader might be this, but then again he might be an Arbitrageur, buying in one market and selling in another to capture the price difference between the two. He wants to deal as fast as possible so as to minimize his risk of a price movement while he is exposed. We would not put him in the same category as a speculator.

Contract

One contract is 100 ounces of the commodity [gold or silver in this case]. The numbers referred to above are therefore the number of 100-ounce contracts in that position. The net long speculative position is found by adding the large and small speculators bought contracts and deducting the large and small speculators sold contracts. We work on there being 32,150 ounces in a tonne.

Buy [Long]

A long position is where an investor, trader, speculator buys 100 ounces x the number of contracts.

Sell [Short]

A short position is where an investor, trader, speculator sells 100 ounces x the number contracts.

Spreading

For the options-and-futures-combined report, spreading measures the extent to which each non-commercial trader holds equal combined-long and combined-short positions. For example, if a non-commercial trader in Gold futures holds 2,000 long contracts and 1,500 short contracts, 500 contracts will appear in the "Long" category and 1,500 contracts will appear in the "Spreading" category.

Open Interest

Open interest is the total of all futures and/or option contracts entered into and not yet offset by a transaction, by delivery, by exercise, etc. The aggregate of all long open interest is equal to the aggregate of all short open interest.

Reportable Positions

Clearing members, futures commission merchants, and foreign brokers (collectively called "reporting firms") file daily reports with the Commission. Those reports show the futures and option positions of traders that hold positions above specific reporting levels set by CFTC regulations.

Commercial and Non-commercial Traders

When an individual reportable trader is identified to the Commodities Futures Trading Commission, the trader is classified either as "commercial" or "non-commercial." All of a trader's reported futures positions in a commodity are classified as commercial if the trader uses futures contracts in that particular commodity for hedging as defined in the Commission's regulations (1.3(z)).

Non-reportable Positions

The long and short open interest shown as "Non-reportable Positions" are derived by subtracting total long and short "Reportable Positions" from the total open interest. Accordingly, for "Non-reportable Positions," the number of traders involved and the commercial/non-commercial classification of each trader are unknown.

Changes in Commitments from Previous Reports

Changes represent the differences between the data for the current report date and the data published in the previous report.

Number of Traders

To determine the total number of reportable traders in a market, a trader is counted only once regardless whether the trader appears in more than one category (non-commercial traders may be long or short only and may be spreading; commercial traders may be long and short). To determine the number of traders in each category, however, a trader is counted in each category in which the trader holds a position. Therefore, the sum of the numbers of traders in each category will often exceed the "Total" number of traders in that market.


-- Posted Friday, 4 May 2012 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com

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