Advertise | Bookmark | Contact Us | E-Mail List |  | Update Page | 

Commentary : Gold Review : Markets : News Wire : Quotes : Silver : Stocks - Main Page >> News >> Story  Disclaimer 
Latest Headlines

GoldSeek Radio: Gerald Celente and Wolf Richter, and Chris Waltzek

SWOT Analysis: Tightened Supplies Could Be Good for Copper
By: Frank Holmes

Technical Scoop - Weekend Update Mar 19
By: David Chapman

The Wealth Machine That Rising Interest Rates Create And The Conflict With The National Debt (Part 2)
By: Daniel R. Amerman, CFA

2018 Reversal Dates for Gold, Silver and Gold Stocks
By: Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA

Standing Ready to Lease Gold
By: Keith Weiner

Is The U.S. Economy Really Growing?
By: Peter Cook, CFA

Pro-govt. Turkish paper reprints Manly's RT exposure of gold price suppression
By: Chris Powell

Yet Another Chart That Screams “Look Out!”
By: John Rubino

Bonds, Inflation And Amigos
By: Gary Tanashian


GoldSeek Web

Finally, Gold Speculators Start To Bail, Setting Up A Big Q1 2018

By: John Rubino

 -- Published: Monday, 11 December 2017 | Print  | Disqus 

It took a lot longer than it should have, but gold futures traders have finally started behaving “normally.” The speculators who were extremely, stubbornly long – and who are usually wrong when they’re this excited — had maintained their over-optimistic bets when they should have been stampeding for the exits, making the last few months both boring and depressing for gold bugs and related investors.

This departure from the familiar script raised questions about whether the action in futures (aka paper gold) was still relevant in the age of Chinese physical gold exchanges and cryptocurrency. The jury’s still out on that one, but for now the numbers are reassuring.

The following table (courtesy of GoldSeek) shows speculators cutting way back on long bets and adding to short bets, while the “commercials” – who tend to be right at sharp turns — did the opposite, going a lot less short.

Same thing only more so in silver, where another week like the last one will bring net positions into balance for both groups, which has historically been extremely bullish.

Here’s the same data depicted graphically for gold: Note how both the speculators (silver columns) and the commercials (red columns) held their positions from spring into fall, producing the previously-mentioned boredom and depression. Also note the sharp drop in the most recent reporting week.

The numbers we’re seeing here are as of Tuesday the 5th, and the final three days of last week were a bloodbath for precious metals, so it’s highly likely that the next COT numbers – due out on Friday the 15th – will show absolute panic among speculators, leading to an even bigger swing in the right direction.

If history is still reliable, January will be a great month to own precious metals and mining stocks.


| Digg This Article
 -- Published: Monday, 11 December 2017 | E-Mail  | Print  | Source:

comments powered by Disqus


Increase Text SizeDecrease Text SizeE-mail Link of Current PagePrinter Friendly PageReturn to >> Story

E-mail Page  | Print  | Disclaimer 

© 1995 - 2017 Supports

©, Gold Seek LLC

The content on this site is protected by U.S. and international copyright laws and is the property of and/or the providers of the content under license. By "content" we mean any information, mode of expression, or other materials and services found on This includes editorials, news, our writings, graphics, and any and all other features found on the site. Please contact us for any further information.

Live GoldSeek Visitor Map | Disclaimer

The views contained here may not represent the views of, its affiliates or advertisers. makes no representation, warranty or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of the information (including news, editorials, prices, statistics, analyses and the like) provided through its service. Any copying, reproduction and/or redistribution of any of the documents, data, content or materials contained on or within this website, without the express written consent of, is strictly prohibited. In no event shall or its affiliates be liable to any person for any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the information provided herein.