Advertise | Bookmark | Contact Us | E-Mail List |  | Update Page | UraniumSeek.com 

Commentary : Gold Review : Markets : News Wire : Quotes : Silver : Stocks - Main Page 

 GoldSeek.com >> News >> Story  Disclaimer 
 
Latest Headlines

Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Gain Nearly 1% and 2% on the Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

Ira Epstein's Metals Video 11 16 2018
By: Ira Epstein

Silver Slumps, US Military Weak, and PTJ Says We Are headed For Scary Moments
By: David Morgan

Slowly We Turn... Gold vs.
By: Gary Tanashian

COT Gold, Silver and US Dollar Index Report - November 16, 2018
By: GoldSeek.com

GE, Nvidia, Nordstrom, Bitcoin All Tank, And The Fed Notices
By: John Rubino

Years of Recklessly Low Interest Rates Causes Inflation to Soar
By: Nathan McDonald

Gold Miners’ Q3’18 Fundamentals
By: Adam Hamilton, CPA

GoldSeek Radio Nugget: Bill Murphy and Chris Waltzek
By: radio.GoldSeek.com

Is Gold Under or Overpriced?
By: Arkadiusz Sieron

 
Search

GoldSeek Web

 
The Election’s Finally Over. Now Things Can Go Back To “Normal”: Rising Interest Rates, Rising Debt, Rising Volatility


By: John Rubino



 -- Published: Wednesday, 7 November 2018 | Print  | Disqus 

As contentious as the US midterm elections were, there was never a scenario in which they mattered. Any possible configuration of Republicans and Democrats in the House and Senate would have yielded pretty much the same set of economic policies going forward: Ever-higher debt, upward trending interest rates and (through the combination of those two) rising volatility.

So with the sideshow now in the rear view mirror, we can get back to our new normal. From this morning’s media reports:

U.S. three-month LIBOR climbs to decade high

(Reuters) – A key gauge of what banks charge each other to borrow dollars for three months increased to its highest level in a decade on Wednesday ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting that will begin later in the day.

The London interbank offered rate to borrow three-month dollars climbed nearly 1 basis point to 2.60113 percent following a 0.2 basis point gain on Tuesday.

Three-month LIBOR has risen in 15 of the last 16 sessions, prompted by the Fed’s rate hikes, rising U.S. government borrowing and a shrinking Federal Reserve balance sheet.

LIBOR is the benchmark rate for $200 trillion of dollar-denominated financial products, mainly interest rate swaps and floating-rate loans.

———————–

Mortgage applications drop to 4-year low as interest rates hit 8-year high

(CNBC) – Total mortgage application volume fell 4 percent last week from the previous week. Volume was 16 percent lower than a year ago.

Rising interest rates are now clearly taking their toll on potential homebuyers. Total mortgage application volume fell 4 percent last week from a week earlier and plunged 16 percent from a year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index.

Mortgage interest rate election

Mortgage applications to purchase a home led the volume lower, falling 5 percent for the week to the lowest level in two years. Purchase applications were 0.2 percent lower than a year ago.

Mortgage applications to refinance a home loan have been falling for more than a year and fell 3 percent more last week. Volume was 33 percent lower than a year ago.

———————–

Dow climbs as midterm elections fall in line with forecasts

(MarketWatch) – U.S. stocks rose in early Wednesday trade, following closely watched midterm elections that delivered no major surprises, and will lead to divided government in Washington come January.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 160 points, or 0.6%, to 25,790, while the S&P 500 index ESZ8, +1.21% climbed nearly 24 points, or 0.9%, to 2,779. The Nasdaq Composite Index NQZ8, +2.01% jumped 94 points, or 1.3%, to 7,470. DJIA, +0.99%.

U.S. midterm election results largely fell in line with forecasters’ prediction, with Democrats set to take control of the House and Republicans on track to strengthen their grip on the Senate.

Notice the seeming contradiction? Interest rates are rising on pretty much everything everywhere, but stocks jump on the prospect of a “divided government” which guarantees a continuation of the status quo.

The reality of the situation is the same as it was in October: As long as unemployment stays low and wages keep rising, interest rates will have to go up, either because the Fed feels compelled to boost short-term rates or bond investors demand higher long-term yields to offset rising wage inflation, or both.

History teaches that this late-cycle dynamic continues until it breaks a major piece of the leveraged speculating community, the collapse of which shifts the dominant mindset to “risk off” (i.e., from BTFD to STFR).

Then the rollercoaster heads down the other side of the mountain. This exact thing would have happened had the Republicans held the House or had the Democrats won both House and Senate. The system is on autopilot and it matters exactly not at all which party or which configuration of inmates is running the asylum.

 


| Digg This Article
 -- Published: Wednesday, 7 November 2018 | E-Mail  | Print  | Source: GoldSeek.com

comments powered by Disqus







 



Increase Text SizeDecrease Text SizeE-mail Link of Current PagePrinter Friendly PageReturn to GoldSeek.com

 news.goldseek.com >> Story

E-mail Page  | Print  | Disclaimer 


© 1995 - 2018



GoldSeek.com Supports Kiva.org

© GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC

The content on this site is protected by U.S. and international copyright laws and is the property of GoldSeek.com and/or the providers of the content under license. By "content" we mean any information, mode of expression, or other materials and services found on GoldSeek.com. This includes editorials, news, our writings, graphics, and any and all other features found on the site. Please contact us for any further information.

Live GoldSeek Visitor Map | Disclaimer

The views contained here may not represent the views of GoldSeek.com, its affiliates or advertisers. GoldSeek.com makes no representation, warranty or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of the information (including news, editorials, prices, statistics, analyses and the like) provided through its service. Any copying, reproduction and/or redistribution of any of the documents, data, content or materials contained on or within this website, without the express written consent of GoldSeek.com, is strictly prohibited. In no event shall GoldSeek.com or its affiliates be liable to any person for any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the information provided herein.