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Gold and Silver Likely to Go Parabolic Due to ‘Global Shockwaves’ if U.S. Defaults



-- Posted Friday, 15 July 2011 | | Disqus

Gold is some 0.5% lower against the U.S. dollar and most currencies today but is higher in Australian dollars as the Aussie fell on Australian and global economic growth concerns. Asian equity indices were mixed as are European indices.

Bond markets have seen subdued trading but Greek bonds are again under pressure and the Greek 10 year yield has risen to 17.37% in increasingly illiquid trade.

The dawning reality that the U.S. will be downgraded due to its appalling fiscal position led to new record nominal gold and silver prices yesterday.

Denial regarding the possibility of a U.S. default continues with some analysts denying that such an event is “possible”.

Such an event is possible and it grows more likely by the day.

US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke warned overnight that a default on America's debt will spark a major crisis and send shockwaves through the global economy.

"The Treasury security is viewed as the safest and most liquid security in the world, and the notion it would become suddenly unreliable and illiquid would throw shockwaves through the entire global financial system," he told a congressional committee.

U.S. CDS - ZCTO CDS EUR SR 5Y Corp

US CDS has broken out to the upside and there is the potential for sharp moves up here as was seen in the aftermath of the Lehman and global financial crisis.

The fundamentals for gold and silver could not be better as the outlook for most paper currencies and government paper (sovereign debt) is not good. The precious metals are again being seen as safe haven assets to protect from government profligacy and currency debasement.

The risks of a “depression” and currency crises in Europe and the U.S. are rising and this is contributing to significant safe haven demand.



The fact that gold and silver have no counter party risk and cannot default and cannot be debased or printed into oblivion makes them crucial diversifications.

Gold, global equities and AAA rated, short dated bonds remain the best way for investors to protect themselves from today’s growing sovereign debt and monetary risk.

Gold, silver, good equities and good bonds will be better than depreciating cash or currencies in the coming years. Real diversification will help protect preserve and grow wealth.


NEWS

Gold pauses after record-setting rally; debt fears aid
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/07/15/us-markets-precious-idUSTRE7592IU20110715

Gold Poised for Second Weekly Advance After Rallying to Record
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/g/a/2011/07/14/bloomberg1376-LOCTJI0YHQ0X01 0SNO3DLKUC71NCR936FCO4714R.DTL

Gold, silver pull back in electronic trading
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-silver-pull-back-in-electronic-trading-2011-07-15?link=MW_latest_news

US default would be disastrous - Bernanke
http://www.rte.ie/news/2011/0714/usa-business.html

COMMENTARY
US Default Risk Jumps To Highest Since February 2010 On Debt Ceiling Worries
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/us-cds-jumps-highest-february-2010-debt-ceiling-worries

11 Silver Investor Mentality Shifts
http://www.businessinsider.com/11-silver-investor-mentality-shifts-2011-7

Peter Brimelow - Gold: ‘The upside is wide open’
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-the-upside-is-wide-open-2011-07-14?link=mw_story_kiosk

King World News: Capital controls, oppressive regulation likely after
collapse - Zulauf
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/7/14_Felix_Zulauf_-_Collapse_Will_Cause_Governments_to_Change_Rules.html

Charlie Fell: Silver in a Diversified Investment Portfolio - Peter Whelan
http://www.charliefell.com/index.php/articles/2/174

The World of Yesterday - Ignore Reality at Your Peril
http://www.goldstandardinstitute.net/GSI/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/TheGoldStandard7.pdf

Return of the Gold Standard as world order unravels
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/8638644/Return-of-the-Gold-Standard-as-world-order-unravels.html


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Disclaimer: The information in this document has been obtained from sources, which we believe to be reliable. We cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. It does not constitute a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment. Any person acting on the information contained in this document does so at their own risk. Recommendations in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Individual circumstances should be considered before a decision to invest is taken. Investors should note the following: Past experience is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of investments may fall or rise against investors’ interests. Income levels from investments may fluctuate. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value of, or income from, investments denominated in foreign currencies. GoldCore Limited, trading as GoldCore is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland. The provision of precious metal product or service does not require licensing, authorisation, or registration with the Irish Central Bank and, as a result, it is not covered by the Irish Central Bank's requirements designed to protect consumers or by a statutory compensation scheme. 


-- Posted Friday, 15 July 2011 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com

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