Advertise | Bookmark | Contact Us | E-Mail List |  | Update Page | UraniumSeek.com 

Commentary : Gold Review : Markets : News Wire : Quotes : Silver : Stocks - Main Page 

 GoldSeek.com >> News >> Story  Disclaimer 
 
Latest Headlines

The New Safe Haven: Gold Stocks!
By: Stewart Thomson

Stock Market Hangs on Edge of Very Big Cliff
By: David Haggith

Will gold and silver miners join the lawsuits against JPMorganChase?
By: Chris Powell

The Surprising Major Demand Factor That Drives The Gold Price
By: Steve St. Angelo

Why Do Investors Tolerate It
By: Keith Weiner

Watch This Chart to Get the Jump on the Fedís Big Announcement
By: Rick Ackerman

Will Powell Turn Into Dove and Make Gold Shine?
By: Arkadiusz Sieron

Will A Government Shutdown Cause The Market To Crash?
By: Avi Gilburt

Christmas Comes Early for This Precious Metals Streaming Company
By: Frank Holmes

The Fed unwittingly will continue to tighten
By: Steven Saville

 
Search

GoldSeek Web

 
Silver and Gold: Bulls Are Starting to Question


 -- Published: Tuesday, 3 February 2015 | Print  | Disqus 

By Avi Gilburt

Last weekend, I noted how bears in metals were quite scarce of late.  Rather, everyone was quite certain that the bottom in metals has been struck and the bull market was back.  Well, almost everyone!

 

Now, it seems at least some are beginning to question whether we have truly hit bottom.  I still believe that the bottom has not yet been struck, but I am still net long since early November.  Yet, I am looking for a set up at which I can develop a fully hedged positon for my long position (at this time, I am 50% hedged).  And, that set up will either be after a 5th wave higher in this c-wave, or a full 5 wave structure to the downside, followed by a corrective 3 waves up.

 

As of Friday, the metals have left us in what can be considered the start of wave v of the c-wave higher.  Well, truthfully, it is hard to consider silver in that same count, since its drop this past week was quite a bit more exaggerated than GDX or GLD, which has left a question mark in my mind as to what silver is actually doing.  So, I am going to reserve judgment on silver until I see more action in the upcoming week, and will send out a Market Update to subscribers when I have more information. But, silver may have already topped and now developing a 1-2, i-ii scenario to the downside.

 

But, I want to continually reiterate that I am not convinced the bottom has been struck in metals, and still think we will see lower lows later this year.  To remind you of my targets, I am still looking for a minimum target of 105 in GLD, with an ideal target of 95-100, with the potential to see an overreaction low at 75.  But, a 5 wave drop into that region is going to be a STRONG buy.  In fact, it may be the best buying opportunity you may see from this time forth for the next 50 years.  In silver, my next target lower is 12.75.  And, in GDX, I am looking for the low teens.

 

I also want to warn those bullish on metals that any upcoming upside move will likely end quite soon.  In fact, should we see a new high in a 5th wave into the targets I have highlighted in GDX and GLD, I will finally have a reason to short this market since we struck the bottom in November.  That could very well mark the top from which we finally see our lower lows I still expect.

 

See Aviís charts illustrating the wave counts on the metals below:

 Elliott Wave Chart
 Elliott Wave Chart
 Elliott Wave Chart

 

 

Avi Gilburt is a widely followed Elliott Wave technical analyst and author of ElliottWaveTrader.net (www.elliottwavetrader.net), a live Trading Room featuring his intraday market analysis (including emini S&P 500, metals, oil, USD & VXX), interactive member-analyst forum, and detailed library of Elliott Wave education.

 


| Digg This Article
 -- Published: Tuesday, 3 February 2015 | E-Mail  | Print  | Source: GoldSeek.com

comments powered by Disqus



 



Increase Text SizeDecrease Text SizeE-mail Link of Current PagePrinter Friendly PageReturn to GoldSeek.com

 news.goldseek.com >> Story

E-mail Page  | Print  | Disclaimer 


© 1995 - 2019



GoldSeek.com Supports Kiva.org

© GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC

The content on this site is protected by U.S. and international copyright laws and is the property of GoldSeek.com and/or the providers of the content under license. By "content" we mean any information, mode of expression, or other materials and services found on GoldSeek.com. This includes editorials, news, our writings, graphics, and any and all other features found on the site. Please contact us for any further information.

Live GoldSeek Visitor Map | Disclaimer


Map

The views contained here may not represent the views of GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC, its affiliates or advertisers. GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC makes no representation, warranty or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of the information (including news, editorials, prices, statistics, analyses and the like) provided through its service. Any copying, reproduction and/or redistribution of any of the documents, data, content or materials contained on or within this website, without the express written consent of GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC, is strictly prohibited. In no event shall GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC or its affiliates be liable to any person for any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the information provided herein.