LIVE Gold Prices $  | E-Mail Subscriptions | Update GoldSeek | GoldSeek Radio 

Commentary : Gold Review : Markets : News Wire : Quotes : Silver : Stocks - Main Page >> News >> Story  Disclaimer 
Latest Headlines

Is America Headed for a Post-Apocalyptic Currency Collapse?
By: Stefan Gleason, Money Metals Exchange

Why Wall Street's V-Shaped Recovery Cannot End Well
By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks

Currency Update: Dollar Crash Underway
By: Gary Savage

How Quickly Will Bakken Oil Production Decline?? Much Faster than Americans Realize
By: Steve St. Angelo, SRSrocco Report

Precious Metals Update Video: Gold between bollinger bands
By: Ira Epstein

Grinding Higher $ES
By: Ricky Wen

Gold intervention by BIS held steady in March and April as study hints it's done for Fed
By: Robert Lambourne

Covid, Debt and Precious Metals
By: Richard (Rick) Mills, Ahead of the herd

Precious Metals Update Video: Dollar testing supports, supportive for Gold
By: Ira Epstein

Asian Metals Market Update: June-2-2020
By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants


GoldSeek Web

Bank Participation Report Update

 -- Published: Monday, 13 April 2015 | Print  | Disqus 

By Craig Hemke

If it's to be taken seriously, the latest Bank Participation Report from the CFTC shows a completion of the full "wash and rinse" cycle from January. Does this set the stage for a renewed move higher in price? Not necessarily. However, the decks are finally clear should renewed buying interest in paper metal materialize in the weeks ahead.

Before we begin, the usual background:

  • The CFTC's Bank Participation Report is issued monthly from a survey taken at the Comex close on the first Tuesday of every month. The report summarizes the combined positions of the four largest U.S. banks (primarily JPM, MorganStanley, Citi, Goldman but occasionally others) and the twenty largest non-U.S. banks (Scotia, HSBC, DeutscheBank, UBS, Barclays and others).
  • These reports might be utter nonsense and complete falsifications, designed to mislead and misdirect. Just last year, JPMorgan was fined by the CFTC for "repeatedly submitting inaccurate reports relating to the required reporting of positions". See here:

I will leave it up to you, dear reader, to assign or withhold legitimacy to/from the data. My job is simply to report to you on what the data shows and, before you read further, I urge you to review this post from February, the past time I wrote on this subject:

For the purpose of this post, let's examine just three recent Bank Participation Reports....the report from January 5 with price at $1219, the report from February 3 with price at $1260 and last Friday's report based upon data submitted last Tuesday with price at $1210. Data from the three reports is laid out below:

January 5          GROSS LONG                   GROSS SHORT                  TOTAL

U.S. Banks                 11,728                           37,321                       -25,593

Non U.S. Banks           32,985                           80,227                       -47,242

TOTAL                      44,713                           117,548                      -72,835

February 3          GROSS LONG                   GROSS SHORT                  TOTAL

U.S. Banks                   9,163                         65,901                        -56,738    

Non U.S. Banks             20,009                       96,264                        -76,255

TOTAL                        29,172                       162,165                       -132,993

April 7                 GROSS LONG                   GROSS SHORT                 TOTAL

U.S. Banks                  11,404                         40,999                       -29,595   

Non U.S. Banks            23,222                         67,814                        -44,592

TOTAL                        34,626                         108,813                      -74,187

So, what stands out to you in this data? Here's what I see:

  • To manage price and sentiment, The Banks moved to cap the January rally through the issuance of nearly 45,000 naked short contracts between January 5 and February 3. That's the paper equivalent of nearly 140 metric tonnes of gold, conjured up from thin air to meet speculative trading demand.
  • The Banks also managed this buying pressure by selling more than 15,000 contracts of their existing long positions. This total move of just over 60,000 contracts served to absorb buying interest, dampen sentiment, cap price and reverse momentum.
  • In February and March, recently revised BLSBS data was used as cover to break technical indicators and chart patterns in order to send prices tumbling back lower.
  • Into this Spec selling, The Banks actively bought back almost all of the naked short positions they had created earlier in the year.
  • As of last Tuesday, the combined NET position of the 24 banks is now back to nearly the exact same level seen on January 5, before the January surge in price.

Wash. Rinse. Repeat.

Does this mean that, with this latest cycle complete, another price rally is imminent? Of course not. However, the combined total GROSS naked short position of the 24 banks is now back to levels last seen at the previous price bottom in December of 2014. So, from these levels, there's no obvious reason for The Banks to act to drive prices lower, either. What we're left with is a range-bound paper market that is looking for a catalyst either way.

As global physical demand remains high and, by all appearances, global physical supply remains tight, the price floor found near $1150 should continue to hold. As it does, renewed fundamental concerns should serve to drive prices gradually higher. Of course, The Banks will only act to suppress any new trend by once again issuing fresh naked paper. However, now that the latest wash-and-rinse cycle is complete, the "space" created on the Banks' books should allow them to issue this fresh paper without first actively moving to rig price even lower.

Be cautious yet optimistic. In 2015, gold is still poised to recover from the late 2014 washout lows. In doing so, it will post its first positive annual return since 2012 and mark a revival of the secular bull market that began in 2002.

| Digg This Article
 -- Published: Monday, 13 April 2015 | E-Mail  | Print  | Source:

comments powered by Disqus


Increase Text SizeDecrease Text SizeE-mail Link of Current PagePrinter Friendly PageReturn to >> Story

E-mail Page  | Print  | Disclaimer 

© 1995 - 2019 Supports

©, Gold Seek LLC

The content on this site is protected by U.S. and international copyright laws and is the property of and/or the providers of the content under license. By "content" we mean any information, mode of expression, or other materials and services found on This includes editorials, news, our writings, graphics, and any and all other features found on the site. Please contact us for any further information.

Live GoldSeek Visitor Map | Disclaimer


The views contained here may not represent the views of, Gold Seek LLC, its affiliates or advertisers., Gold Seek LLC makes no representation, warranty or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of the information (including news, editorials, prices, statistics, analyses and the like) provided through its service. Any copying, reproduction and/or redistribution of any of the documents, data, content or materials contained on or within this website, without the express written consent of, Gold Seek LLC, is strictly prohibited. In no event shall, Gold Seek LLC or its affiliates be liable to any person for any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the information provided herein.