Recently Doug Casey was a guest on the always excellent podcast, The Tom Woods Show.
Tom and Doug talked about the enormous economic potential in Africa, Dougís efforts to build a truly free market country, and better uses of your time and money than going to college.
Itís an exciting and informative conversation.
Tom Woods: What a pleasure and a delight it is to welcome back to the show Doug Casey.
Doug is a libertarian economist, best-selling financial author, international investor, entrepreneur, and the founder and chairman of Casey Research.
Doug, welcome back to the show.
Doug Casey: Thanks, Tom. It is my pleasure.
Tom: Youíve been up to some interesting activity in Africa that Iíd like to ask you about. Letís start off by telling us what youíve been busy doing there.
Doug: Well, the last two weeks, Iíve been visiting the Islamic Republic of Mauritania with a short side trip to Senegal. Iíve been pursuing my hobby, which is to propose to a backward country a plan for complete and total free marketizationÖ including taking the country itself public on a major stock exchange and distributing most of the shares directly to the people who theoretically own the government assets. I felt like I had Maria Muldaurís ďMidnight at the OasisĒ playing in the back of my mind the whole time I was there.
Tom: Suppose you got everything you wanted, what would the outcome look like?
Doug: Well, 100% of all government assets, land, state-owned companies - everything - initially go into a corporation and we distribute the shares.
Letís say, 70% pro-rata to every man, woman, and child in the country, so they donít just theoretically own the government, now they actually do. 15% would be put it in trust for the next unborn generation to defuse that time bomb. 10% would be distributed to people who, letís say, are of significant help to making this happen, and people who are important, whose rice bowls would be broken, and 5% to take public in major stock markets to raise some capital. Then we get rid of all duties, taxes, and regulations.
Dubai was absolutely nothing in 1980. You know what Dubai is now. If we go back further, in 1960, Hong Kong and Singapore both were very poor and look what has happened to them. So I think in todayís world if somebody is daring enough to want to do this, I think it could be of world historic importance. So Iím looking for the right guy.
Tom: Iíd like to get a glimpse inside of a meeting like this. If youíre sitting down with the president, youíre sitting down with top officials, how do you make that case, especially when the response is going to be, ďWhatís in it for meĒ?
Doug: Well, thatís always the first question, of course. I start my presentation with three things I can do for you, Mr. President. Itís always a question of the benefit to the buyer.
Number one, this plan will make you legitimately a multibillionaire. That always goes down very smoothly, because they know that doing what Mobutu and Mugabe did doesnít work quite as well now as it did in the past. So it gets their attention.
Number two, the people will love you and treat you as the new George Washington. That sounds pretty good too. Half the time in these places most of the population wants to kill them.
And number three, we will put you on the front cover of all the worldís magazines in a favorable light for the next decade. Now that sounds good, because these people, if they are even known to exist, are considered pariahs.
So they always listen to the rest of presentation. Of course then things start to go wrongÖ usually from people under the president. Itís the people under the president who are usually making the big money, not so much the president himself. So they are often the problem.
It always makes for a fun adventure and interesting cocktail party stories that I can tell and retell to people for hours. But itís my hobby. Itís not an occupation. I havenít made any money on it yet, although I always have a plan B when I go to these countries: look for mining concessions and so forth.Tom: Suppose you had to do it all over again. Letís say you turned 18 in 2015. Have conditions changed to the point where you would take a different path, and incidentally would you go to college?
Doug: I would definitely not go to college. Even then, I only did it because everybody from my socioeconomic class was going to college, so there was no thought involved on my part. It was just like going from eighth grade into high school. I counsel students against it today. College serves no useful purpose unless you want to learn a trade like doctoring or lawyering or you need a piece of paper to practice a particular occupation, or there is a formal discipline, like a hard science or engineering.
You will pick up lots of bad ideas. You will spend a huge amount of money, get yourself under a huge financial rock that will take you years to dig yourself out from under. What I suggest people do instead is lay out what the most intelligent thing to do with that four years of time and probably $200,000 of capital. I like the idea of traveling. The place that I would put first and foremost on my travel list today for economic reasons is Africa. Go someplace where you can be a big fish in a small pond quickly.
Tom: Back in the í50s and í60s in the wake of decolonization in Africa, you had a bunch of Western educated semi-Marxist political leaders who were nationalizing property and confiscating assets from rich people and so on, you wouldnít touch Africa with a ten foot pole. What has changed since then?
Doug: Well, politics always draws the worst kinds of people of course. Most of the presidents of Africa even today are ex-generals or ex-colonels or something like that. It has economically improved a lot. The population has exploded and itís going to explode more in the years to come. Itís chaotic. But if you can bring order to chaos, thatís opportunity.
If you go to the Orient, there are a lot of rich, smart people there. You are not going to have much of a competitive advantage. Thatís true to a lesser extent in South America too. Africa is actually the place, I think, you want to go.
Tom: Do you have any particular parts of Africa? Iíve heard good things about Botswana. Do you have any place in particular that attracts you?
Doug: Other than South Africa, Iíd say Botswana is the most developed country in Southern Africa for sure. But where would I go now? Well, of course, the nice thing about Africa is that itís divided basically into three parts, Anglophone Africa, Francophone Africa, and Lusophone Africa, and my French is still adequately conversational. I lived in France and Switzerland for a year during college. My Spanish is functional. The language thing is a consideration of course. But on the other hand, most of the educated people in most countries of the world speak English, which is the worldís lingua franca today.
Where would I go? There are around 50 countries in Africa. I like small, obscure ones. Maybe Ghana is too developed. Look at Benin or Togo or maybe the Ivory Coast. Mauritania, where I just was, is actually quite interesting. Guinea-Bissau, Guinea-Conakry, youíve got lots of choices. Somebody should get on a plane and just take a look. Then when they get into a country, a capital city, which is always where the action happens, get on the telephone to local lawyers and real estate agents and businessmen to set up appointments and see who you can get along with. One thing will lead to another.
I wouldnít go to Africa as a lifestyle choice. I would go there for economic reasons and for the adventure that it would yield. Iíd say as a lifestyle choice, it comes down to South America or the Orient. I lived in the Orient for years and I loved it.
Tom: What about the language barrier?
Doug: Well, I lived in Hong Kong and when I was there it was much more English. Of course everybody in China is learning English today, everybody, everywhere that you basically would want to talk to. Iím not trying to be elitist but the educated people - put it that way - all speak English today as a second language. This is one of the things that will slow down your progress on learning the local language, is that they all want to speak English to you. So thatís a double edged swordÖ but itís really an advantage. No, donít worry about the language problem.
Tom: Well, I sure appreciate your time, Doug Casey. You are the International Man himself, and we are always grateful for your time.
Doug: Well, thank you Tom. It is a pleasure to talk to you under any circumstances.
Editorís Note: International Man is all about helping you make the most of your personal freedom and financial opportunities around the world. A great way to get started is to check out Going Global 2015. Normally, this book retails for $99. But we believe this book is so important, especially right now, that weíve arranged a way for US residents to get a free copy. Click here to secure your copy.