Advertise | Bookmark | Contact Us | E-Mail List |  | Update Page | UraniumSeek.com 

Commentary : Gold Review : Markets : News Wire : Quotes : Silver : Stocks - Main Page 

 GoldSeek.com >> News >> Story  Disclaimer 
 
Latest Headlines

Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Gain About 1%
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

Northern Vertex Files Preliminary Economic Assessment Report for the Moss Gold Mine in NW Arizona
By: Northern Vertex Mining Corp.

Does The CoT Structure Prohibit A Rally?
By: Craig Hemke

Harry Dent’s Gold Prediction Invalidated
By: Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA

SELLING OUT OF PRECIOUS METALS AND BUYING BITCOIN…. Very Bad Idea
By: Steve St. Angelo

The Bitcoin Bubble Explained in 4 Charts
By: Jake Weber

VXX Sends an Awesome Message from Another Galaxy
By: Rick Ackerman

Geopolitical Risk Highest “In Four Decades” – Gold Demand in Germany and Globally to Remain Robust
By: GoldCore

Asian Metals Market Update: November-22-2017
By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants

Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Gain With Stocks
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 
Search

GoldSeek Web

 
Gold Prices Surge After Poor Jobs Number, Growing Risk Of BREXIT


 -- Published: Tuesday, 7 June 2016 | Print  | Disqus 

Gold prices surged nearly 3% after the very poor jobs number on Friday, have maintained those gains and appear to be consolidating as concerns about the U.S. economy and BREXIT deepen. Gold was marginally higher again yesterday and 2.7% higher last week breaking a run of recent weekly losses and a 5% loss in May.

goldprices_MU_BREXIT

Gold Prices in USD – 1 Week (GoldCore)

BREXIT concerns are gaining momentum after three recent polls suggested that the ‘leave’ side are gaining an advantage and a BREXIT looks more likely.

An ITV poll showed 45% for “Leave” and 41% for “Remain.” A survey by global market research company TNS showed 43 percent backing an EU exit, and 41 percent wanting to stay in. An online poll showed 48 percent supported leaving the EU, while 43 percent were in favor of remaining and 9 percent were undecided, according to ICM.

This is leading to concerns about a coming period of market volatility and turmoil. This should support gold and silver and indeed lead to gains on safe haven demand.

Sterling fell versus gold 1.2% yesterday – from £857 to £867.66 per ounce after the polls showed UK citizens favoured leaving the EU. That revived concerns the BREXIT referendum on June 23 will throw global markets into turmoil and severely undermine confidence in the already vulnerable, nascent EU super state.

The pound also dropped to a three-week low versus the dollar after the polls. While the pound pared its earlier declines, a gauge of anticipated swings against the dollar in the next month surged to the highest in at least seven years. One-month implied volatility in pound dollar trading rose above 22 percent, the highest since February 2009.

Gold has given up some of those gains since as sterling has recovered and as odd ‘fat finger’ trades helped sterling bounce overnight. Gold in sterling terms had risen 5.5% since the start of last week (May 30), due to increasing BREXIT concerns and the poor jobs number in the U.S.

Markets participants are preparing for turmoil. “The result is going to be announced at an awkward time, in the middle of the night,” said Joe Rundell, head of trading at ETX according to the BBC. “And we expect that whatever the result there will be significant movements on the FTSE 100, the sterling markets and in gold.”

Gold rallied 2.8% percent back above $1,245 on Friday after the very poor jobs number saw traders sell risk assets especially equities and allocate to safe haven assets.

The May employment report showed Americans returned to the labour market at their slowest pace in almost six years. The US non farm workforce added only 38,000, jobs missing the forecast of 160,000 and indicating that the US is in recession or heading to recession. Additionally, the March and April figures were revised 22,000 and 37,000 lower respectively.

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen looks set to stay uber dovish and maintain ultra low monetary policies due to concerns about the U.S. economy, global economy and indeed BREXIT.

Yellen said at the weekend that the risk of Brexit is also weighing on the Fed’s interest rate decision. She warned that a UK vote to leave the European Union could badly impact the U.S. and global economy and affect the timing of the next interest rate rise. Market participants are concerned that the fragile U.S. and global recovery is spluttering and even a very small interest-rate increase of 25 basis points could derail the U.S. and global economies and lead to a recession.

A vote for BREXIT should see gold and silver rise sharply on a safe haven bid in futures markets and safe haven demand for bullion. A vote to remain would be expected to see gold and silver fall as risk appetite comes back into the market supporting equities and sterling. However, price weakness in the precious metals would likely be short term given the current strong supply and demand fundamentals for them.

Mark O'Byrne
Executive Director

| Digg This Article
 -- Published: Tuesday, 7 June 2016 | E-Mail  | Print  | Source: GoldSeek.com

comments powered by Disqus



 



Increase Text SizeDecrease Text SizeE-mail Link of Current PagePrinter Friendly PageReturn to GoldSeek.com

 news.goldseek.com >> Story

E-mail Page  | Print  | Disclaimer 


© 1995 - 2017



GoldSeek.com Supports Kiva.org

© GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC

The content on this site is protected by U.S. and international copyright laws and is the property of GoldSeek.com and/or the providers of the content under license. By "content" we mean any information, mode of expression, or other materials and services found on GoldSeek.com. This includes editorials, news, our writings, graphics, and any and all other features found on the site. Please contact us for any further information.

Live GoldSeek Visitor Map | Disclaimer

The views contained here may not represent the views of GoldSeek.com, its affiliates or advertisers. GoldSeek.com makes no representation, warranty or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of the information (including news, editorials, prices, statistics, analyses and the like) provided through its service. Any copying, reproduction and/or redistribution of any of the documents, data, content or materials contained on or within this website, without the express written consent of GoldSeek.com, is strictly prohibited. In no event shall GoldSeek.com or its affiliates be liable to any person for any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the information provided herein.