Advertise | Bookmark | Contact Us | E-Mail List |  | Update Page | UraniumSeek.com 

Commentary : Gold Review : Markets : News Wire : Quotes : Silver : Stocks - Main Page 

 GoldSeek.com >> News >> Story  Disclaimer 
 
Latest Headlines

Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Gain Over 1% and 2% on the Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

Ira Epstein's Metals Video 11 17 2017
By: Ira Epstein

Next-Generation Crazy: The Fed Plans For The Coming Recession
By: John Rubino

COT Gold, Silver and US Dollar Index Report - November 17, 2017
By: GoldSeek.com

Gold Minersí Q3í17 Fundamentals
By: Adam Hamilton, CPA

Bonfire of the Absurdities
By: John Mauldin

The Social Security Inflation Lag Calendar - Partial Indexing Part 1
By: Daniel R. Amerman, CFA

Rob From The Middle Class Economics
By: Gary Christenson

GoldSeek Radio Nugget: John Williams and Chris Waltzek
By: radio.GoldSeek.com

The Metals Market Is A Mess And Will Likely Continue To Frustrate You
By: Avi Gilburt

 
Search

GoldSeek Web

 
Gold is Oversold but Broken


 -- Published: Sunday, 27 November 2016 | Print  | Disqus 

By Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT, MFTA

Last week we wrote that the 2016 bull market in Gold and gold stocks had gone off course. It had moved too far out of the historical boundaries to remain a bull market. There was also other evidence of such including but not limited to rising real yields. Goldís last hope was to hold $1200-$1210 and rebound back to the highs. It has broken bull market support ($1200-$1210 and $1230) and could be on its way to $1050 in the next few months.

The monthly candle chart of Gold is shown below. Gold is down 7.4% on the month and has sliced through the important support at $1200-$1210 as well as the 20-month moving average at $1201 and the 40-month moving average at $1231. The 40-month moving average has been an excellent primary trend indicator throughout Goldís history. There is a little support at $1150 but nothing standing in the way of Gold heading for a retest of its low at $1050.

nov272016goldm

Gold Monthly Candle Chart

Gold is not only weak in nominal terms or US Dollar terms but it is showing weakness in real terms. Below we plot Gold against foreign currencies (the US Dollar basket) and the NYSE, a broad equity index. Gold/FC has been strong for several years but it has lost support and looks headed lower. Meanwhile, Gold/NYSE lost support at its 400-day moving average and could retest its 2015 low.

nov272016goldvsfcstocks

Gold vs. Foreign Currencies, Equities

Gold is clearly broken but its decline is due for a pause. Gold has been strongly correlated to the bond market which may have made an interim low last Wednesday. Also, the gold stocks are showing a positive divergence. Even as Gold lost $1200/oz and traded down to $1171/oz, the gold stocks (GDX, GDXJ) did not make a new low. Furthermore, the market has now fully priced in a quarter point rate hike in December.   

The odds favor a rebound in the days and potentially weeks ahead. Traders and investors should use the rebound to de-risk their portfolios, raise cash and hedge if the opportunity presents itself. Donít think about buying until we see sub $1080 Gold and an extreme oversold condition coupled with uber bearish sentiment. For professional guidance in riding the bull market in Gold, consider learning more about our premium service including our favorite junior miners for 2017.

Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT, MFTA

Jordan@TheDailyGold.com


| Digg This Article
 -- Published: Sunday, 27 November 2016 | E-Mail  | Print  | Source: GoldSeek.com

comments powered by Disqus



 



Increase Text SizeDecrease Text SizeE-mail Link of Current PagePrinter Friendly PageReturn to GoldSeek.com

 news.goldseek.com >> Story

E-mail Page  | Print  | Disclaimer 


© 1995 - 2017



GoldSeek.com Supports Kiva.org

© GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC

The content on this site is protected by U.S. and international copyright laws and is the property of GoldSeek.com and/or the providers of the content under license. By "content" we mean any information, mode of expression, or other materials and services found on GoldSeek.com. This includes editorials, news, our writings, graphics, and any and all other features found on the site. Please contact us for any further information.

Live GoldSeek Visitor Map | Disclaimer

The views contained here may not represent the views of GoldSeek.com, its affiliates or advertisers. GoldSeek.com makes no representation, warranty or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of the information (including news, editorials, prices, statistics, analyses and the like) provided through its service. Any copying, reproduction and/or redistribution of any of the documents, data, content or materials contained on or within this website, without the express written consent of GoldSeek.com, is strictly prohibited. In no event shall GoldSeek.com or its affiliates be liable to any person for any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the information provided herein.