Advertise | Bookmark | Contact Us | E-Mail List |  | Update Page | UraniumSeek.com 

Commentary : Gold Review : Markets : News Wire : Quotes : Silver : Stocks - Main Page 

 GoldSeek.com >> News >> Story  Disclaimer 
 
Latest Headlines

Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Find Modest Gains on the Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

Gerald Celente: Fed May Bring Down the Economy, Crash Markets
By: Mike Gleason

COT Gold, Silver and US Dollar Index Report - September 21, 2018
By: GoldSeek.com

GATA appeals to the new Shareholders Gold Council
By: Chris Powell

A Constructive Suggestion
By: Theodore Butler

Gold Exodus to Reverse
By: Adam Hamilton, CPA

Signals for the Coming Crash in Stocks and Rally in Gold
By: David Brady, CFA

Trade War vs. Commodities
By: Louis James

GATA asks CFTC if market rigging by U.S. govt. is legal
By: Chris Powell

Is This Time Really Different? Fed Tightening and Gold
By: Arkadiusz Sieron

 
Search

GoldSeek Web

 
Momentum Traders Shift To Gold And Silver


 -- Published: Tuesday, 17 January 2017 | Print  | Disqus 

By Rory Hall and Dave Kranzler

“All the reasons being advanced for gold’s rise this week were fully in place at the November 8th election. Perhaps the subsequent slump will eventually be seen as an aberration.” – John Brimelow from JB’s Gold Jottings Report – Contact link

The dollar went nearly parabolic after the election, along with the Dow and the S&P 500. The move was not supported by fundamental factors in any respect. Rather, it was momentum-chasing game fueled by the empty promise of “hope.” While “hope” is a valid emotion for those who believe in life after death, “hope” in the absence of valid fundamental factors can quickly turn into fear – the fear of losing money.

Bank of America released a survey of Wall Street “professionals” in which the respondents stated that the “long U.S. dollar” trade is by far the most overcrowded trade. The dollar index has already retreated about 3.5% since the first of the year. If the index breaks below 100, the current exodus from the long dollar trade could quickly turn into a stamped toward the exit.

On the flip-side of this is gold, which has rallied nearly 6% since late December, and silver, which has rallied 7.8% since its end of December low. The fundamental factors driving gold vs. the dollar would be the continued surge in U.S. Treasury debt issuance; which has doubled in size over the last eight years, contracting economic activity notwithstanding the plethora of fake economic reports; a rapidly expanding Government spending deficit; and a rapidly expanding trade deficit.

The quick-fix band-aid for Trump will be to implement a policy that attempts to push the dollar lower. He tweeted as much earlier today. The spike-up in gold is being attributed to that tweet.

But not so fast, fake news adherents. 50% of gold’s move occurred on Monday, while the U.S. was closed in observance of MLK’s birthday and well before the Trump tweet. Mining stocks in Canada moved up sharply yesterday.   This tells us that there are other factors behind the move in gold besides the expectation that the dollar is going to sell-off.

One of the Fed Governors, Lael Brainard, gave a speech today in which she somewhat back-pedaled from the Fed threat of four rate hikes during 2017. We knew this was coming. Gold will begin to anticipate an “easing” of the Fed’s stance on monetary policy, likely to occur at the next meeting, especially in light of the December’s retail sales / consumer spending disaster.

As the dollar falls below the 100 level on the dollar index, hedge fund algos will shift from buying dollars and selling paper gold to dumping dollars and piling back into paper gold. But that’s just for starters. The Modi cash removal initiative has failed to put the brakes on Indian gold imports and China and Russia continue to inhale vast quantities of physical gold. This will help infuse “substance” into the hedge fund-driven paper gold/silver trade.

On today’s episode of the Shadow of Truth, we chat about the factors that will drive gold, silver and the mining stocks higher this year, possibly in a move that will be bigger and longer than the move in 2016:


| Digg This Article
 -- Published: Tuesday, 17 January 2017 | E-Mail  | Print  | Source: GoldSeek.com

comments powered by Disqus



 



Increase Text SizeDecrease Text SizeE-mail Link of Current PagePrinter Friendly PageReturn to GoldSeek.com

 news.goldseek.com >> Story

E-mail Page  | Print  | Disclaimer 


© 1995 - 2018



GoldSeek.com Supports Kiva.org

© GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC

The content on this site is protected by U.S. and international copyright laws and is the property of GoldSeek.com and/or the providers of the content under license. By "content" we mean any information, mode of expression, or other materials and services found on GoldSeek.com. This includes editorials, news, our writings, graphics, and any and all other features found on the site. Please contact us for any further information.

Live GoldSeek Visitor Map | Disclaimer

The views contained here may not represent the views of GoldSeek.com, its affiliates or advertisers. GoldSeek.com makes no representation, warranty or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of the information (including news, editorials, prices, statistics, analyses and the like) provided through its service. Any copying, reproduction and/or redistribution of any of the documents, data, content or materials contained on or within this website, without the express written consent of GoldSeek.com, is strictly prohibited. In no event shall GoldSeek.com or its affiliates be liable to any person for any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the information provided herein.