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The Inflation “Needle” Just Touched the Everything Bubble


 -- Published: Monday, 2 April 2018 | Print  | Disqus 

By Graham Summers

 

The Fed is lying about inflation.

 

How do I know?

 

Because several of the Fed’s OWN in-house inflation measures are roaring.

  • The New York Fed’s UIG inflation measure is currently clocking in at 3.06%.
  • The Atlanta Fed’s “sticky” inflation measure is growing at an annualized rate of 2.2%.
  • Even the Fed’s heavily massaged Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) metric is growing at 1.8% on an annualized basis, only slightly below the Fed’s so-called target rate of 2%.

So when I read that “inflation is subdued” or isn’t “rising fast enough” to warrant concern, I know the Fed officials claiming this aren’t even bothering to look at the Fed’s own data.

 

Even if you don’t believe the Fed’s data, the $199 TRILLION Bond Market is SCREAMING inflation.

 

The yield on the all-important 10-Year US Treasury has made a confirmed break above its long-term downtrend.

 

http://www.goldseek.com/news/2018/4-2gs/image002.jpg

 

Bond yields trade based on inflation. And this chart is telling us that inflation is spiking higher.

 

This is not an isolated issue either..

 

The yields on the 10-Year German Bund, 10-Year Japanese Government Bond, and 10-Year UK Gilt are all rising to test their long-term downtrends.

 

http://www.goldseek.com/news/2018/4-2gs/image004.jpg

 

If these trendlines break (as I expect they will in the coming weeks) it will mark the beginning of the end for The Everything Bubble.

 

All told, there is over $199 trillion in debt outstanding and an additional $500+ trillion in derivatives trading based on these bond yields.

 

So when this bubble bursts (as all bubbles do) we will experience a crisis many magnitudes worse than 2008.

 

Suffice to say, the opportunity to make MASSIVE gains from this trend is HUGE.

 

Best Regards

 

Graham Summers

 

Chief Market Strategist

 

Phoenix Capital Research

 


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 -- Published: Monday, 2 April 2018 | E-Mail  | Print  | Source: GoldSeek.com

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