-- Published: Monday, 2 April 2018 | Print | Disqus
By Graham Summers
The Fed is lying about inflation.
How do I know?
Because several of the Fed’s OWN in-house inflation measures are roaring.
- The New York Fed’s UIG inflation measure is currently clocking in at 3.06%.
- The Atlanta Fed’s “sticky” inflation measure is growing at an annualized rate of 2.2%.
- Even the Fed’s heavily massaged Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) metric is growing at 1.8% on an annualized basis, only slightly below the Fed’s so-called target rate of 2%.
So when I read that “inflation is subdued” or isn’t “rising fast enough” to warrant concern, I know the Fed officials claiming this aren’t even bothering to look at the Fed’s own data.
Even if you don’t believe the Fed’s data, the $199 TRILLION Bond Market is SCREAMING inflation.
The yield on the all-important 10-Year US Treasury has made a confirmed break above its long-term downtrend.
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Bond yields trade based on inflation. And this chart is telling us that inflation is spiking higher.
This is not an isolated issue either..
The yields on the 10-Year German Bund, 10-Year Japanese Government Bond, and 10-Year UK Gilt are all rising to test their long-term downtrends.
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If these trendlines break (as I expect they will in the coming weeks) it will mark the beginning of the end for The Everything Bubble.
All told, there is over $199 trillion in debt outstanding and an additional $500+ trillion in derivatives trading based on these bond yields.
So when this bubble bursts (as all bubbles do) we will experience a crisis many magnitudes worse than 2008.
Suffice to say, the opportunity to make MASSIVE gains from this trend is HUGE.
Best Regards
Graham Summers
Chief Market Strategist
Phoenix Capital Research
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-- Published: Monday, 2 April 2018 | E-Mail | Print | Source: GoldSeek.com