LIVE Gold Prices $  | E-Mail Subscriptions | Update GoldSeek | GoldSeek Radio 

Commentary : Gold Review : Markets : News Wire : Quotes : Silver : Stocks - Main Page 

 GoldSeek.com >> News >> Story  Disclaimer 
 
Latest Headlines

COT Gold, Silver and US Dollar Index Report - May 29, 2020
By: GoldSeek.com

The Comex Has Big Problems
By: Dave Kranzler

Scammers Exploit Pandemic to Peddle Fake Silver, Phony Collectibles
By: Mike Gleason

Silver Miners’ Q1’20 Fundamentals
By: Adam Hamilton

The Dollars And Deaths Of COVID-19
By: Bill Sardi

Fibonacci Queen and Elliott Wave King Market Proclamation
By: Avi Gilburt

Asian Metals Market Update: May-29-2020
By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants

Silver and Gold: Balancing More Than 100 Years Of Debt Abuse
By: Hubert Moolman

Precious Metals Update Video: Market cycling money out of tech, Gold is acting very good
By: Ira Epstein

HOUSTON WE HAVE A PROBLEM: Dow Jones Index Totally Disconnects From The Employment Data
By: Steve St. Angelo, SRSrocco Report

 
Search

GoldSeek Web

 
A Grim Reaper Made Of Gold


 -- Published: Wednesday, 10 July 2019 | Print  | Disqus 

Stewart Thomson, Graceland Updates

 

1.    While some gold stocks (the South Africans in particular) continue to rally, bullion and most miners are staging a classic pullback after a major upside breakout.

2.    Please click here now. Double-click to enlarge this important monthly gold chart.  The bottom line:

3.    Breakouts are fun.  Pullbacks are not!

4.    My advice to investors:  Wait for the pain.  Wait for emotional pain to begin before pressing the buy button on a pullback.

5.    Please click here now. Double-click to enlarge.  I’ve highlighted key support zones on this daily gold chart, and the bottom line is this:

6.    The current pullback could end near $1380, $1360, or it could become quite a bit deeper before finally ending in the $1330-$1250 price zone.

7.    I don’t believe most gold investors are really prepared to handle a deeper pullback. Nervous investors should buy put options, not so much as a financial hedge but as an emotional hedge. 

8.    A financial hedge is not required at this point in the US business cycle, but any pullback can be emotionally troublesome.  Investors need to do whatever it takes to handle the change in sentiment.

9.    Please click here now. Double-click to enlarge.  On this daily gold chart, note the large uptrend channel and Fibonacci retracement lines from the 2018 August low.

10. A “power uptrend” line has snapped and gold has only corrected down to the 76% retracement line area.  A deeper correction is normal and healthy after the huge surge in the price after the monthly chart bull continuation breakout.

11. Please click here now. Double-click to enlarge this dollar versus yen chart.

12. The gold and the yen are risk-off currencies.  The upside breakout in the dollar against the yen doesn’t guarantee a deeper correction for gold, but it does make it very likely.

13. What are the fundamentals behind the gold price pullback and strength in the dollar against the yen?

14. For the answer to that question, please click here now.  I believe that both stock market and gold investors are over-estimating the Fed’s dovishness.

15. Most institutional money managers are predicting a series of rate cuts and more QE from the Fed, but that’s not what the Fed’s dot plot or its chairman are indicating lies ahead.

16. Friday’s US employment report was strong and Trump has seemingly finally realized that his tariff tax tantrums are doing nothing but harm to global stock markets.

17. In this situation, it’s very hard to see the Fed doing anything at the July 31 meeting other than a single quarter point “insurance” cut.

18. While Poland’s central bank just bought almost 100 tons of physical gold, this is likely a “one-off” purchase and India’s fresh gold import tax hike came on the same day as the strong US jobs report. 

19. The tax hike caught bullish analysts by surprise and adds to short-term pressure on the gold price.

20. Investor tactics?  Well, amateur investors should generally wait for a $100/ounce gold price sale before buying gold or silver.  From the $1442 area highs, that would make the $1342 area a solid entry point.  There’s not much else to do on the buy side until there is a $100/ounce price sale.  It’s really that simple!

21. Please click here now. Double-click to enlarge this weekly GDX chart.  I called the $23-$18 price zone an important accumulation zone for investors.  

22. Those who took my strong buy recommendation can sell a small portion of their position now, but I recommend holding at least 70% of the position for an upside journey into my first target zone of $30-$32. 

23. I would not do any serious selling until GDX arrives in my second target zone of $38-$40.  The main driver of a rally to that target zone will be a concerning rise in inflation that occurs as US corporate earnings and GDP growth continue to soften.  The bottom line: Fed doesn’t need to cut nominal rates to make real rates fall in that situation.  All it needs to do is…nothing!  That’s because a rise in inflation with no change in nominal rates is a cut in real rates. 

24. The bottom line: I expect an institutional money manager stampede into GDX and key individual miners will occur later this year as stagflation rises to essentially become… a Grim Reaper made of gold!

 

 

Thanks,

Cheers

St

 

Stewart Thomson 

Graceland Updates

 

Note: We are privacy oriented.  We accept cheques, credit card, and if needed, PayPal.

 

Written between 4am-7am.  5-6 issues per week.  Emailed at aprox 9am daily.

 

   

https://gracelandjuniors.com    

www.guswinger.com  


| Digg This Article
 -- Published: Wednesday, 10 July 2019 | E-Mail  | Print  | Source: GoldSeek.com

comments powered by Disqus



 



Increase Text SizeDecrease Text SizeE-mail Link of Current PagePrinter Friendly PageReturn to GoldSeek.com

 news.goldseek.com >> Story

E-mail Page  | Print  | Disclaimer 


© 1995 - 2019



GoldSeek.com Supports Kiva.org

© GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC

The content on this site is protected by U.S. and international copyright laws and is the property of GoldSeek.com and/or the providers of the content under license. By "content" we mean any information, mode of expression, or other materials and services found on GoldSeek.com. This includes editorials, news, our writings, graphics, and any and all other features found on the site. Please contact us for any further information.

Live GoldSeek Visitor Map | Disclaimer


Map

The views contained here may not represent the views of GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC, its affiliates or advertisers. GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC makes no representation, warranty or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of the information (including news, editorials, prices, statistics, analyses and the like) provided through its service. Any copying, reproduction and/or redistribution of any of the documents, data, content or materials contained on or within this website, without the express written consent of GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC, is strictly prohibited. In no event shall GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC or its affiliates be liable to any person for any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the information provided herein.