-- Posted Thursday, 29 December 2011 | | Disqus
| Close | Gain/Loss |
Gold | $1545.80 | -$8.50 |
Silver | $27.84 | +$0.83 |
XAU | 179.43 | +1.75% |
HUI | 495.80 | +2.04% |
GDM | 1417.89 | +2.01% |
JSE Gold | 2821.87 | -40.29 |
USD | 80.37 | -0.15 |
Euro | 129.61 | +0.20 |
Yen | 128.82 | +0.54 |
Oil | $99.65 | +$0.29 |
10-Year | 1.897% | -0.011 |
T-Bond | 144.50 | -0.03125 |
Dow | 12287.04 | +1.12% |
Nasdaq | 2613.74 | +0.92% |
S&P | 1263.02 | +1.07% |
The Metals:
Gold fell over 2% to as low as $1522.60 by about 7AM EST, but it then rallied back higher throughout most of trade in New York and ended with a loss of just 0.55%. Silver slipped all the way to $26.15 before it also rallied back higher in New York and ended with a gain of 3.07%.
Euro gold fell to about €1193, platinum lost $7.20 to $1369.30, and copper rose slightly to about $3.37.
Gold and silver equities opened up about 1.5% lower, but they then rallied back higher for most of the rest of trade and ended with about 2% gains.
The Economy:
Report | For | Reading | Expected | Previous |
Initial Claims | 12/24 | 381K | 368K | 366K |
Chicago PMI | Dec | 62.5 | 60.1 | 62.6 |
Pending Home Sales | Nov | 7.3% | 0.6% | 10.4% |
There are no major economic reports due out tomorrow.
The Markets:
Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/
Oil fell after the Energy Information Administration reported that crude inventories rose 3.9 million barrels, gasoline inventories fell 700,000 barrels, and distillates rose 1.2 million barrels, but it then turned back higher in late trade and ended with a slight gain on worries about Iran.
The U.S. dollar index erased early gains and ended slightly lower on Italy’s somewhat successful bond auction that sent the euro modestly higher.
Treasuries fell as the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P rose on decent economic data and relative calm in Europe.
“Italy auctioned 7 billion euros ($9 billion) of debt to bring the total raised this week to almost 20 billion euros, underscoring how the European Central Bank is helping the world’s fourth-biggest borrower tap markets.
Today’s sale by the Treasury in Rome fell short of the 8.5 billion-euro target even as borrowing costs declined from last month. Italy sold 9 billion euros in bills yesterday at about half the rate of the previous sale last month in its first auction since the ECB loaned 489 billion euros to banks to ease credit amid the region’s debt crisis.”
Among the big names making news in the market today were Verizon, Alibaba, and Yahoo.
The Commentary:
“Silver has become the victim of the deflationary mindset trade with RISK AVERSION leading to a significant outflow of speculative money from the grey metal. I have said repeatedly that Silver will not go anywhere as long as INFLATIONARY FEARS are NOT foremost in traders' minds.
Note the following Gold/Silver ratio chart which details this exact thing. This ratio began moving in favor of Silver only after the Federal Reserve first announced and then began its Quantitative Easing programs back in late 2008. You can see the line beginning a steady decline as Silver appreciated at a faster rate than Gold during rallies as well as holding its losses to a minimum compared to the Yellow Metal during any setbacks in prices for both metals.
Not until the Fed confirmed the ending of the QE2 program and traders began worrying about a slowdown in the amount of liquidity being supplied to the markets did this ratio begin to reverse and move in favor of gold. Another way of saying this is that during any sort of DEFLATIONARY mindset, gold will hold its value much better than silver, which is still being viewed as a risk asset instead of as a monetary metal by the bigger players.
As the line of the ratio now advances, one can see that as long as traders are concerned over a slowdown in overall economic growth, whether from conditions in Europe or even from a slowdown in Chinese growth to a lesser degree, the trend is higher for this ratio.
Not until or unless the trading community becomes convinced that concerted Central Bank activity to supply further additional liquidity is imminent, will this ratio reverse and Silver begin to outperform gold to the upside once again. “- Dan Norcini, More at http://www.traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/
GATA Posts:
Peter Grant: Gold near-term outlook 2012
Citing 'financial repression,' FT's Gillian Tett sounds like Jim Rickards and Rob Kirby
Resource Clips does comprehensive interview with GATA Chairman Murphy
The Statistics:
Activity from: 12/28/2011
Gold Warehouse Stocks: | 11,393,258 | -4,087 |
Silver Warehouse Stocks: | 116,691,905 | +94,831 |
Global Gold ETF Holdings
[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]
| Product name | Total Tonnes | Total Ounces | Total Value |
New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx) | SPDR® Gold Shares | 1254.570 | 40,335,691 | US$61,730m |
London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra) | Gold Bullion Securities | 115.35 | 3,708,632 | US$5,695m |
London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra) AND NYSE Euronext Amsterdam | ETFS Physical Gold | 126.23 | 4,058,350 | US$6,234m |
Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) | Gold Bullion Securities | 14.21 | 473,051 | US$703m |
Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE) | New Gold Debentures | 40.99 | 1,317,998 | US$2,071m |
NASDAQ Dubai | Dubai Gold Securities | 0.154 | 4,943 | US$8m |
Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.
COMEX Gold Trust (IAU) Total Tonnes in Trust: 172.52: No change from yesterday’s data.
Silver Trust (SLV) Total Tonnes in Trust: 9,605.79: No change from yesterday’s data.
The Miners:
Lake Shore’s (LSG) technical report and Newmont’s (NEM) project in Peru were among big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.
WINNERS
1. Almaden | AAU+14.4% $2.47 |
2. Banro | BAA +7.60% $3.68 |
3. Endeavour | EXK +6.89% $9.62 |
LOSERS
1. Claude | CGR-2.19% $1.34 |
2. Avino | ASM-1.42% $1.39 |
Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.
Please see Yahoo’s Mining/Metals News Wire for all of today’s mining news.
- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report
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-- Posted Thursday, 29 December 2011 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com