-- Published: Tuesday, 14 January 2014 | Print | Disqus
Please Note: There will be some interruptions in this otherwise daily report over the next few weeks. We hope to return to our regular schedule as soon as possible.
| Close | Gain/Loss |
Gold | $1243.40 | -$11.40 |
Silver | $20.19 | -$0.26 |
XAU | 87.74 | -1.48% |
HUI | 206.62 | -1.71% |
GDM | 615.21 | -1.91% |
JSE Gold | 1116.95 | +50.40 |
USD | 80.63 | +0.13 |
Euro | 136.80 | +0.10 |
Yen | 96.01 | -1.05 |
Oil | $92.59 | +$0.79 |
10-Year | 2.869% | +0.042 |
Bond | 130.625 | -0.46875 |
Dow | 16373.86 | +0.71% |
Nasdaq | 4183.01 | +1.69% |
S&P | 1838.88 | +1.08% |
The Metals:
Gold fell $7.55 to $1247.25 by about 7:30AM EST before it rebounded to $1254.71 in the next few hours of trade, but it then dropped to a new session low of $1241.75 in afternoon trade and ended with a loss of 0.91%. Silver climbed to as high as $20.594 at one point, but it then dropped back to as low as $20.153 and ended with a loss of 1.27%.
Euro gold fell to about €909, platinum lost $14.70 to $1424.00, and copper fell slightly to about $3.33.
Gold and silver equities saw decent gains by midmorning, but they then fell back off into the close and ended with almost 2% losses.
The Economy:
Report | For | Reading | Expected | Previous |
Retail Sales | Dec | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% |
Retail Sales ex-auto | Dec | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Export Prices | Dec | 0.4% | - | 0.1% |
Export Prices ex-ag. | Dec | 0.3% | - | 0.1% |
Import Prices | Dec | 0.0% | - | -0.9% |
Import Prices ex-oil | Dec | -0.1% | - | 0.0% |
Business Inventories | Nov | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% |
Congress Unveils Spending Measure to Fund U.S. Government Bloomberg
Tomorrow brings PPI, Empire Manufacturing, and the fed’s Beige Book.
The Markets:
Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/
Oil rose along with the U.S. dollar index on decent economic data that sent treasuries lower and the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P higher.
Among the big names making news in the market today were GM, IBM, Wells Fargo, and JPMorgan.
The Commentary:
“Here we go again - another day of yo-yo action from the day before...yesterday the sky was falling as Goldman noted stocks were expensive. Today... everything is okay once again and all is well with the world. I had the feeling that we were going to see another one of those bear traps in the equity markets. It basically boils down to the fact that if you have any profits from playing the S&P from the short side on a daily trade, TAKE THEM, while you can because the perma bulls are simply not going to stop buying every single dip. Why not? They keep getting rewarded for doing. Pavlovian? YEP!
With that, those safe haven trades that were scurried into yesterday... well, they are yesterday's news. As Yoda might say; "No longer needed, are they".
Down went the Japanese Yen and down went the bonds and up went interest rates. The Dollar ticked higher and with the combination of all the above, plus the more important fact that gold failed precisely at the bottom of the resistance zone noted on the chart, down went the yellow metal. Traders who had been long and played the short term recovery, wasted no time in bailing out once they realized that the market was not going any higher.
While the market has retreated from its first try at that very tough overhead resistance level, it is holding support near $1,244 - $1,240. I am noting that volume has picked up as the price has retreated whereas yesterday it was comatose in the gold pit.
If this support level gives way, I am most anxious to see how the metal reacts as it nears $1,225 - $1,220 again. If it bounces up and away from that, it would be constructive and would tend to confirm that recent bottom. If nothing else, it would at least set up a range trade for the short term with the big specs probably bidding it up to see if they can recapture $1240 - $1244.
I am unclear on what the next move or direction will be at this juncture. My position is very small consequently as I think any trader who wants to bet the farm on gold's next move is masochistic. You have to respect the larger term trend and that remains lower with the bears still holding the edge in this market but bulls are trying to flex their muscles.
Asian demand had better hold firm. I am going to be watching closely to Chinese demand once buyers have secured their inventories ahead of the Chinese New Year festivities. That demand has been strong but it was also very price sensitive. My concern is that once the festival buying is over, value based buyers are not going to be in a hurry to chase prices higher but will rather wait to see how sales were and whether or not to restock immediately or wait a bit for prices to recede.
It is unfortunate for the friends of gold that the gold mining shares are sinking once again, in spite of the stronger equity markets. GG is getting hurt by that takeover bid of theirs. I hope the hell they know what they are doing. Management in this gold sector scares the hell out of me.”- Dan Norcini, More at http://www.traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/
GATA Posts:
Lawrence Williams: The power of gold and currency market manipulation is moving East
Western central banks can't have much gold left, Eric Sprott says
The Statistics:
Activity from: 1/13/2014
Gold Warehouse Stocks: | 7,809,243.768 | - |
Silver Warehouse Stocks: | 174,875,863.307 | -1,251,522.41 |
Global Gold ETF Holdings
[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]
| Product name | Total Tonnes | Total Ounces | Total Value |
New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx) AND Mexico Stock Exchange (BMV) | SPDR® Gold Shares | 793.121 | 25,499,637 | US$31,895m |
London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra) | Gold Bullion Securities | 138.13 | 4,441,056 | US$5,522m |
London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra) AND NYSE Euronext Amsterdam | ETFS Physical Gold | 152.66 | 4,908,200 | US$8,004m |
Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) | Gold Bullion Securities | 11.16 | 358,789 | US$446m |
Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE) | New Gold Debentures | 41.88 | 1,346,506 | US$ |
Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.
COMEX Gold Trust (IAU) Total Tonnes in Trust: 161.83: No change from yesterday’s data.
Silver Trust (SLV) Total Tonnes in Trust: 9,894.53: -59.87 change from yesterday’s data.
The Miners:
Allied Nevada’s (ANV) response to a potential offer, Paramount’s (PZG) drill results, Sandstorm’s (SAND) restructuring of Colossus' capital structure, McEwen’s (MUX) 2013 production, Seabridge’s (SA) drill results, Great Panther’s (GPL) 2013 production, and First Majestic’s (AG) 2013 production were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.
WINNERS
1. Allied Nevada | ANV +7.19% $4.62 |
2. Turquoise | TRQ +5.41% $3.51 |
3. AuRico | AUQ +4.83% $4.34 |
LOSERS
1. NovaGold | NG -5.14% $2.77 |
2. First Majestic | AG -4.63% $10.31 |
3. Fortuna | FSM -4.44% $3.23 |
Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.
Please see Yahoo’s Mining/Metals News Wire for all of today’s mining news.
- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report
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-- Published: Tuesday, 14 January 2014 | E-Mail | Print | Source: GoldSeek.com