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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver End Slightly Lower
By: Chris Mullen,

 -- Published: Thursday, 4 September 2014 | Print  | Disqus 



















JSE Gold
































The Metals:


Gold jumped up to $1276.70 at about 9:20AM EST, but it then fell back off for most of the rest of trade and ended with a loss of 0.56%.  Silver slipped to as low as $19.03 and ended with a loss of 0.73%.


Euro gold rose to about €975, platinum lost $7 to $1401, and copper climbed a couple of cents to about $3.15.


Gold and silver equities saw slight gains for most of the morning, but they then fell back off in afternoon trade and ended with over 3% losses.


The Economy:







ADP Employment





Initial Claims





Trade Balance










Unit Labor Costs





ISM Services






Tomorrow brings August’s jobs data.


The Markets:


Charts Courtesy of


Oil fell as the U.S. dollar jumped markedly higher after the ECB unexpectedly cut interest rates and announced plans to start buying asset-backed securities and covered bonds.


ECB cuts rates to ward off euro zone deflation threat  Reuters

ECB Readying Broad Asset-Backed Purchases After Rate Cut, Draghi Says  Bloomberg


Treasuries Drop as Yields Top Developed Peers by Most in 7 Years  Bloomberg


The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P turned lower in the last couple of hours of trade on worries about tomorrow’s jobs data.


Among the big names making news in the market today were JPMorgan, BMW, Audi, and J&J.


The Commentary:


’Stick a fork in it - it's done!’ is a common expression one hears down in Texas during Bar-B-Q season.

One could say the same thing about the Euro after the ECB slashed interest rates from 0.15% to a paltry 0.05%. I suppose the only thing left is to slash to absolute zero at this point and start handing out money to the general public.

Regardless, the Euro went "KERPLUNK" and the Dollar soared higher as the interest rate differentials between the two continue to be accentuated in the minds of forex traders.

Take a look at the Euro chart . After a brief period of consolidation in early August, the currency has been careening lower, crashing through one layer of chart support after another.


If today's low near the 1.300 level fails to generate any buyers, another 200 point plunge to down near 1.2800 is not out of the question. The RSI is deeply oversold but when it comes to currencies, oversold or overbought rarely mean much if anything.

With the Eurozone economy sluggish at best ( and being hurt by sanctions imposed on Russia ), there is simply not much reason for traders to turn aggressive buyers of the common currency as the Central Bank is trying everything but its own version of QE at this point.

They have made the usual calls for banks to lend but what good does that do if not enough want to borrow? Negative interest rates to essentially punish banks for not lending seem to be foolish to me as it only encourages reckless lending to those not credit worthy and thus creates another entire set of problems in my view.

Meanwhile, the counterpart of the Euro, AKA, the Dollar, is soaring. Look at the weekly chart for some longer term perspective.


The USDX has gained 5.5% since early May of this year and is currently working back to the top side of a more than two year long range trade. There is some light resistance near 84 with more formidable resistance near 85. If the Dollar breaks through both levels, one would have to say that a run to 88-89 is not out of the question.

The Daily chart shows a powerful uptrend underway. Simply put, it has become a matter of dueling economic performances. Traders are looking at the relative performance of the various nations/zones whose currencies comprise the USDX and compared those to that of the US and are voting in favor of the US.

This strength in the Dollar also tends to depress commodity prices in general. One thing that concerns me is that we are getting a surge higher in the Dollar at exactly the same time we are getting more and more confirmation of a bumper corn and bean crop. As a rising Dollar makes US grain/beans more expensive on the global market against our competition, prices may have to take into account the higher Dollar. Translation - foreign buyers of US grain may be waiting for prices to fall yet further than they otherwise would have to help offset the stronger greenback.

One last thing- this rise in the US Dollar is not going to make it any easier for gold to rise in price. In foreign currency terms, gold is doing okay, especially EuroGold but as said before here many times, it is geopolitical events supporting the metal.

As far as Europeans are concerned, an interest rate environment such as the ECB is creating, is a two-edged sword. On the one hand, it lowers the opportunity cost of holding gold since bonds there pay next to nothing and thus incentivizes ownership of gold. On the other hand, the stronger Dollar ( via weaker Euro) raises the price of the metal and thus makes it more expensive to buy and own.

That is why one must view the chart to gauge which view will dominate. If EuroGold takes out the psychological and technical resistance level of 1000, then maybe we have something. For now, it is range bound.- Dan Norcini
, More at


GATA Posts:



ECB unexpectedly cuts interest rates as outlook darkens

Hugo Salinas Price: How the dollar will die

Jan Skoyles on asset inflation, Asian gold buying, bitcoin, and competing currencies

From chocolate to beer, 'shrinkflation' hits the supermarket


The Statistics:

Activity from: 9/3/2014

Gold Warehouse Stocks:



Silver Warehouse Stocks:




Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]



Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx) AND Mexico Stock Exchange (BMV)

SPDR® Gold Shares




London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra)

Gold Bullion Securities




London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra) AND NYSE Euronext Amsterdam

ETFS Physical Gold




Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities




Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures




Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: SPDR subtracted 2.693 tonnes.


COMEX Gold Trust (IAU) Total Tonnes in Trust: 165.23: -0.04 change from yesterday’s data.


Silver Trust (SLV) Total Tonnes in Trust: 10,363.91: -7.44 change from yesterday’s data.


The Miners:


Goldcorp’s (GG) production forecast, Newmont’s (NEM) deal with the Indonesian government, NovaGold’s (NG) plans to invest in NFWF's Alaska Fish and Wildlife Fund conservation initiative, Coeur’s (CDE) filed technical report, SilverCrest’s (SVLC) drill results, and Santacruz Silver’s (SCZ.V) amended agreement were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.



1.  Almaden

AAU +7.41% $1.45

2.  Solitario

XPL +3.45% $1.50

3.  Nevsun

NSU +2.42% $4.23



1.  McEwen

MUX -8.96% $2.44

2.  Rubicon

RBY -8.63% $1.27

3.  Silver Standard

SSRI -7.98% $8.03

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.


Please see Yahoo’s Mining/Metals News Wire for all of today’s mining news.


- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report


- Would you like to receive the Free Daily Gold Seeker Report in your e-mail? Click here

Additional Resources for today’s Gold Seeker Report can be found:

© Gold Seeker 2014

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to is given.



Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


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