-- Published: Thursday, 18 September 2014 | Print | Disqus
| Close | Gain/Loss |
Gold | $1224.90 | +$3.30 |
Silver | $18.51 | +$0.02 |
XAU | 89.10 | -1.42% |
HUI | 211.80 | -1.32% |
GDM | 639.61 | -1.60% |
JSE Gold | 1316.37 | -21.05 |
USD | 84.31 | -0.29 |
Euro | 129.19 | +0.55 |
Yen | 91.96 | -0.35 |
Oil | $93.07 | -$1.35 |
10-Year | 2.629% | +0.029 |
Bond | 137.25 | -0.125 |
Dow | 17265.99 | +0.64% |
Nasdaq | 4593.42 | +0.68% |
S&P | 2011.36 | +0.49% |
The Metals:
Gold edged up to $1225.52 in late Asian trade before it fell back to $1216.23 by a little after 8AM EST, but it then climbed back higher in New York and ended with a gain of 0.27%. Silver rose to as high as $18.604 and ended with a gain of 0.11%.
Euro gold fell to about €948, platinum lost $3 to $1344, and copper fell 4 cents to about $3.09.
Gold and silver equities fell over 1% in the first half hour of trade and remained near that level for the rest of the day.
The Economy:
Report | For | Reading | Expected | Previous |
Initial Claims | 9/13 | 280K | 305K | 316K |
Housing Starts | Aug | 956K | 1045K | 1117K |
Building Permits | Aug | 998K | 1054K | 1057K |
Philadelphia Fed | Sep | 22.5 | 23.5 | 28.0 |
Fewest Americans Since October 2013 See U.S. Economy Improving Bloomberg
U.S. Mortgage Rates Jump to the Highest Since Early May Bloomberg
Tomorrow at 10AM EST brings Leading Economic Indicators for August expected at 0.4%.
The Markets:
Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/
Oil continued lower on yesterday’s surprisingly large stockpile build.
The U.S. dollar fell on worries about Scotland’s vote to stay united with the United Kingdom.
Treasuries fell as the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P rose on better than expected jobs data.
Among the big names making news in the market today were GM, Amazon, Apple, Alibaba, Rite Aid, and Pier One.
The Commentary:
“Some of the long time readers will know that I like to check the charts for gold, when priced in terms of the other major currencies, to get a sense of how the metal is doing when viewed from outside of this country. Since it is an internationally traded commodity, it makes sense to compare its performance to see whether there is a general global trend in the metal or whether it is diverging from such a trend depending on which currency it might be priced in. This helps us assess overall global sentiment.
With the big Scotland vote in the headlines, I thought it might behoove us to see how the metal was faring in terms of the British Pound. I understand that more than a few Scots fear for their life's savings and were pulling money out of banks just in case. One would think that gold would be a likely recipient for some of that cash.
However, in looking at the price chart, it is rather lackluster (and that is trying to be kind) as the metal has actually BEEN FALLING ahead of the vote. Not exactly a VOTE of confidence (sorry, I could not resist the pun) in the metal from what I can see on the chart at this point.
There is chart support near 740 and on down in increments of 10 pounds. If the metal were to lose 720, it would constitute a breach of a major support level.
Here's Euro Gold - a bit better looking chart but is mainly because the Euro has been so weak. That being said, it is range bound and moving lower towards the bottom of the range near 920. For Euro gold to have any chance of a sharply higher move, it will have to clear 990 with the 1000 mark more preferable to get any serious excitement underway.
Here is Yen Gold.
Again, the chart is much better than that of Dollar priced gold but this is a function of how poorly the Yen has been performing on the Forex markets against the Dollar. Remember, the weaker a currency is against the Dollar, the more expensive gold is in terms of that currency. The stronger a currency is against the Dollar, the less expensive gold is in terms of that currency.
That is the reason that gold remains ABOVE the 2013 ending price for all three currencies. All have been weak against the Dollar this year. The British Pound had actually been holding its own against the Dollar until just recently.
Gold bulls can gain some bit of comfort from the above. At least the metal has not been falling apart across the global currency front.
I would keep an eye on the gold shares to see if they sense anything as far as a possible bottom. I do wish to remind the reader however, a market may bottom without beginning a sharp reversal to the upside. All it may do is meander sideways within a lower range.
Gold in US Dollar priced terms is in a short term downtrend but remains mired within that broad trading range I have been noting for some time now. In other words, on the Daily Chart it is TRENDING LOWER but on the intermediate time frame, it is still trading sideways above $1180. If $1180 goes for any reason, this market is in serious trouble.”- Dan Norcini, More at http://www.traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/
“’Danger Will Robinson’ is a catchphrase from the 1960s’ American television “Lost in Space” utter by a robot who was acting as a surrogate guardian to young Will Robinson when the boy is unaware of an impending threat. In everyday use, the phrase warns someone that they are about to make a mistake or that they are overlooking something.
Based on the level of the U.S. stock market and the level of complacency among its participants, my 30+ years in and around Wall Street makes me want to scream this.
I could write a long dissertation on why such a warning is needed now. It could describe a growing list of fundamental factors. It could discuss why we’re truly on the threshold of economic, social and political upheaval never seen it America’s history. But given how most investors and professionals have bought in, lock, stock and barrel to the “Don’t Worry, Be Happy” crowd that roams Wall Street and much of the financial media that follows it (with CNBC-TV/TOUT-TV its home base), the levels and length of time before the Kool-Aid runs out and the harsh reality sets in, is likely to be longer and higher than most have assumed (me included).
But make no mistake about it, the vast majority shall once again be caught on the wrong side, only this time no amount of bail-outs and Federal Reserve magic wands shall save them. The growling bear to come is not dead no matter how much the “Happy” people on Wall Street would like you to think otherwise.
Just like most who thought the Titanic was unsinkable, so now do most think the U.S. stock market can only go higher and higher (while at the same time, a true life preserver like gold is so hated, scorned and viewed only as going lower and lower).
Laugh now to those who think this, but know yours truly knows he who laughs last, laugh best… only no one will be laughing when the dream becomes a living nightmare - not even those of us who have chosen to be a live chicken versus a dead duck.” - Peter Grandich, http://moneytalks.net/peters-content.html
GATA Posts:
China opens gold market to foreigners amid price ambition
Gold and silver end game is here, Embry tells USA Watchdog
Super-rich rush to buy 'Italian Job'-style gold bars
The Statistics:
Activity from: 9/17/2014
Gold Warehouse Stocks: | 9,745,695.744 | -4,212.228 |
Silver Warehouse Stocks: | 180,935,665.980 | -244,249.21 |
Global Gold ETF Holdings
[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]
| Product name | Total Tonnes | Total Ounces | Total Value |
New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx) AND Mexico Stock Exchange (BMV) | SPDR® Gold Shares | 784.217 | 25,213,353 | US$30,763m |
London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra) | Gold Bullion Securities | 138.13 | 4,441,056 | US$5,446m |
London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra) AND NYSE Euronext Amsterdam | ETFS Physical Gold | 152.66 | 4,908,200 | US$8,004m |
Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) | Gold Bullion Securities | 11.16 | 358,789 | US$440m |
Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE) | New Gold Debentures | 38.04 | 1,222,979 | US$1,509m |
Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.
COMEX Gold Trust (IAU) Total Tonnes in Trust: 164.72: No change from yesterday’s data.
Silver Trust (SLV) Total Tonnes in Trust: 10,589.15: +29.83 change from yesterday’s data.
The Miners:
AuRico’s (AUQ) board appointment and Santacruz Silver’s (SCZ.V) Pre-paid Silver Purchase Agreement were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.
WINNERS
1. Revett | RVM +5.66% $1.12 |
2. Fortuna | FSM +3.90% $4.58 |
3. Allied Nevada | ANV +3.26% $3.78 |
LOSERS
1. Almaden | AAU -6.33% $1.48 |
2. Agnico Eagle | AEM -4.06% $32.48 |
3. Rio Alto | RIOM -4.04% $2.85 |
Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.
Please see Yahoo’s Mining/Metals News Wire for all of today’s mining news.
- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report
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-- Published: Thursday, 18 September 2014 | E-Mail | Print | Source: GoldSeek.com