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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Fall Over 2% and 4%
By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com

 -- Published: Wednesday, 5 November 2014 | Print  | Disqus 

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$1142.40

-$25.30

Silver

$15.28

-$0.75

XAU

61.62 

-4.24%

HUI

 146.80

-4.74%

GDM

 459.37

-3.77%

JSE Gold

968.97

-38.50

USD

87.43

+0.38

Euro

124.85

-0.61

Yen

87.18

-0.91

Oil

$78.68

+$1.49

10-Year

2.350%

+0.008

Bond

141.21875

-0.03125

Dow

 17484.53

+0.58%

Nasdaq

 4620.72

-0.06%

S&P

 2023.57

+0.57%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold dropped almost $30 to $1137.79 just before 7AM EST before it bounced back higher in morning New York trade, but it still ended with a loss of 2.17%.  Silver slipped to as low as $15.172 and ended with a loss of 4.68%.

 

Euro gold fell to about €915, platinum lost $18 to $1200, and copper fell a couple of cents to about $3.00.

 

Gold and silver equities fell about 3% at the open before they rallied back to about unchanged by late morning, but they then fell back off again into the close and ended with about 4% losses.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

ADP Employment

Oct

230K

220K

225K

ISM Services

Oct

57.1

58.0

58.6

 

U.S. mortgage applications fall in latest week: MBA  Reuters

Fisher says Fed needs to act preemptively with rates  Reuters

Fed's Kocherlakota repeats 2015 rate hike would be inappropriate  Reuters

Fed's Rosengren wants better U.S. wholesale disclosures from banks  Reuters

 

Tomorrow brings Initial Jobless Claims, Productivity, and Unit Labor Costs.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil added to early gains after the Energy Information Administration reported that crude inventories rose just 460,000 barrels.

 

The U.S. dollar rose on decent economic data while the yen continued to fall after Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said he saw no limit to the steps to defeat deflation.

 

Treasuries edged lower as the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P mostly rose in reaction to election results.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were Chrysler Group, Pimco, Chesapeake Energy, Mondelez, and Time Warner.

 

The Commentary:

 

The selling kicked off in gold last evening when the comments from the Bank of Japan's Kuroda hit the newswires and has not let up as trading moved into the West.

Please refer to the chart I posted last evening showing the various support levels for the metal. The first zone of support, near the $1150 level, has been shattered conclusively. Gold now looks to have its eye on the psychological round number of $1100.

As usual, the gold perma-bulls are screaming their usual nonsense about "Flash Crash" once again. Funny how we never hear a peep out of these nitwits when we get what I have contemptuously dubbed, "the Reverse Flash Crash".

The point they are making is what? That big sellers unloaded on the metal during the Asian trade? And this is supposed to be proof of what?

Has it ever occurred to these Johnnie one-notes that there are some longs in SERIOUS trouble in the gold market? The latest Commitment of Traders report showed large speculators overwhelming LONG and WRONG in the gold market (and this does not even include the over the counter markets). They are abandoning gold in droves.

The assumption that these perma gold bulls sites make is that "this would not be done if a LEGITIMATE SELLER wanted to ensure the best possible price". Again, who says that a trapped long wants the best possible price? The only thing a trapped long wants is "OUT".

"GET ME OUT before I am ruined" is what the motivating force is behind such moves.

I have to shake my head at the appalling ignorance that somehow passes for sound analysis in the gold bug community when it comes to the breathless commentary on gold whenever there is a sharp fall in price. Those of you who are regular readers at this site are keenly aware of what has been transpiring in the soybean markets of late. I have been especially detailed in discussing the meal markets in particular. If you want to see a market in which one group was "engineering a reverse flash crash" (My words denoting sarcasm) just go back and look at the price chart of December meal. Panicked shorts were saying the same things as panicked gold longs were saying: "GET ME OUT AT ANY PRICE BEFORE I AM COMPLETELY RUINED".

These huge volume spikes speak of fear, panic and devastating losses all being compounded by margin calls from busy margin clerks at the various brokerage houses.

The idea that somehow huge sell orders in gold indicate the presence of "market manipulation" is patently absurd. We see this sort of thing all the time in the futures markets as one side or the other gets run over whenever a key technical support level gives way to the downside or a key technical resistance level is taken out on the upside.

Of course those that are on the winning side of a market move are going to press their advantage. That is a REGULAR occurrence in the futures market and is simply how they work. Ask the feeder cattle bears who had been obliterated by the bulls in that market since late August until only just recently if the ones doing the buying were interested in "buying at the best possible price". That one should even venture to ask such an insipid question would betray a breathtaking ignorance.

The simple facts are that gold is in a bear market and those who remain long are losing tremendous sums of money. Some have had enough and are done with the metal from the long side. Expect to see more of this the longer it takes gold to show any signs of stability. Each fresh push lower will take its toll, both psychologically and financially on the remaining longs. Bears will push until the downside momentum slows and then they will halt their selling. It really is that simple.

At some point the bleeding with temporarily halt and a respite will follow. Objective traders will watch key indicators to see if they can discern where and at what level.

I might point out here at the risk of incurring even more wrath from the gold cult members, but in the hope of waking some of them up, that their whistleblower hero and priest, the one who keeps regaling them with claims of special insider information about "massive gold buying", "massive rally of epidemic proportions", etc,. has once again proved to be nothing but a bag full of hot air. Wake up out there. Gold is in a bear market. That is what you really need to realize.

Until such time as the charts indicate a true bottom and a true turn in the direction of the main trend, rallies are going to be sold. Maybe the US Dollar will become weak, maybe inflation will begin to become a problem, maybe the commodity sector will turn sharply higher, maybe the GLD will start showing strong inflows of money with rises in its reported holdings, maybe this and maybe that, but until you see something on the fundamental front change that favors sharply higher gold prices, just remember a very simple but always ignored axiom: " The trend is your friend".- Dan Norcini
, More at http://www.traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

U.S. Mint temporarily sold out of silver eagles amid huge demand

Price tumble prompts scramble for silver coins and bars

World Gold Council has nothing to say about Swiss gold referendum

Plunging gold price has mining companies selling at a loss

Somebody wants gold shares at distress prices

Dave Kranzler: Proof that gold is manipulated using paper gold

 

The Statistics:

Activity from: 11/04/2014

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

8,055,973.455

-44,817.306

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

181,185,374.172

+1,309,518.06

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx) AND Mexico Stock Exchange (BMV)

SPDR® Gold Shares

738.809

23,753,462

US$27,111m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra)

Gold Bullion Securities

138.13

4,441,056

US$5,097m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra) AND NYSE Euronext Amsterdam

ETFS Physical Gold

152.66

4,908,200

US$8,004m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

11.16

358,789

US$411m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

38.40

1,234,459

US$1,506m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: SPDR subtracted 2.401 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU) Total Tonnes in Trust: 160.42: -0.40 change from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV) Total Tonnes in Trust: 10,682.51: -64.49 change from yesterday’s data.

 

The Miners:

 

Centamin’s (CEE.TO) production update, Harmony Gold’s (HMY) possible job cuts, and Tahoe’s (TAHO) new mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  Comstock

LODE +0.91% $1.11

2.  Sandstorm

SAND +0.77% $2.45

 

LOSERS

1.  IAMGOLD

IAG -16.39% $1.52

2.  Pretivm

PVG -12.58% $4.17

3.  Tanzanian Royalty

TRX -11.86% $1.02

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

Please see Yahoo’s Mining/Metals News Wire for all of today’s mining news.

 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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Additional Resources for today’s Gold Seeker Report can be found:

© Gold Seeker 2014

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.

 


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 -- Published: Wednesday, 5 November 2014 | E-Mail  | Print  | Source: GoldSeek.com

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