-- Published: Wednesday, 6 May 2015 | Print | Disqus
The US trade deficit numbers are at a record high. ISM numbers have beaten street expectations by a big margin. On one side there are expectations that Friday’s US April employment numbers will be over 200,000. A high jobs number will support the US dollar. All I can say for gold traders is to remain on the long side as long as gold trades over $1130-$1160 wider zone but keep on booking profit till $1224-$1237 is not broken. For silver I will prefer to be long as long as it trades over $1475-$1510 zone for the rest of the month.
Former Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke has said that the quantitative easing (QE) has been a failure and that it will be very difficult to wind up the same. I believe that Bernanke is more than right in his comments and should give gold and silver another chance to rise. However in the short term investors apprehensions over the validity of the gold and silver sustained price rise will continue to be in doubt.
UK elections are there today. The result will decide the short term fate of the cable. In the medium term to long term I believe that the cable should be the fastest rising currency against the US dollar. Movement in the cable will affect commodity prices.
Crude oil prices are over $60.00. In case crude oil prices trade over $60.00 for over a week, then it will help gold and silver to restart another bull run.
Most of us believe that history will repeat itself in May in the form of a big fall in stock markets. Please do not go by history. This is the age of mobile trading and algorithmic trading. Technology has changed everything.
NYMEX CRUDE OIL (1ST CONTRACT) - current price $60.91
Bullish over $59.90 with $61.70 and $63.60 as price target
Bearish below $58.90 with $57.20 and $56.50 as price target
Jobbers buy over: Buy over $61.30 stop loss $60.40 for $63.30-$65.30
Jobbers sell below: Sell below $59.90 stop loss $60.60 for $57.90
- Crude oil can rise to $63.60 and $69.00 as long as it trades over $58.00
- There will be short covering if crude oil is able to trade over $60.00 for the whole day.
Disclaimer: Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of prices of specific currencies, metals and commodities reflect the views of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees have any liability for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any party in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies, errors in, or omissions of Information. Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice. Prepared by Chintan Karnani
Disclosure: Insignia consultants or it employees do not have any trading positions on the trading strategies mentioned above. Our clients do have positions on the trading strategies mentioned in the above report.
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NOTES TO THE ABOVE REPORT
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UK session starts around 1:30 pm Indian Standard Time (+5:30 GMT) -- after the release of LME daily inventories
US session starts at 6pm pm Indian Standard Time (+5:30 GMT)
PLEASE NOTE: HOLDS MEANS HOLDS ON DAILY CLOSING BASIS
PLEASE USE APPROPRIATE STOP LOSSES ON INTRA DAY TRADES TO LIMIT LOSSES.
APPROPRIATE STOP LOSSES PER LOT IN US DOLLARS ON THE TRADING CALLS GIVEN IN THIS REPORT
COMEX GOLD – $15-$17
COMEX SILVER: $25-$30
COMEX COPPER: $3
NYMEX CRUDE OIL: $0.60
SPOT SILVER: $0.25
SPOT GOLD: $15-$17
THE TIME GIVEN IN THE REPORT IS THE TIME OF COMPLETION OF REPORT
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-- Published: Wednesday, 6 May 2015 | E-Mail | Print | Source: GoldSeek.com