-- Published: Wednesday, 5 June 2019 | Print | Disqus
Trading volumes will be very less in Asia and even in Europe due to “Eid”. There has been lots of news which gives a sense that precious metals are about to move away from the shackles of continued manipulation. I am hopeful that gold and silver will draw more and more short-term investors as well as medium term investors.
1. China has issued travel warning to its citizens travelling to USA to protect its citizens from harassment. Chinese citizens and students in USA are being harassment under Trump. These are all a part of the trade war.
2. The World Bank has cut its 2019 global growth forecast due to trade war. World Bank now expects global growth at 2.60% as compared to 2.90% previous forecast.
3. Federal Reserve chairman has said that he is not averse to interest rate cut if the trade dispute between USA and other nations escalate.
The above news are all bullish for gold and precious metals and bearish for the US dollar Index. Today’s US May private ADP job numbers and Friday’s US May nonfarm payrolls will be the key. If gold and silver rise from Monday (10th June), then chances of $1527 and $1670 will be very high in the short term. FOMC meeting on 18-19 June may not be relevant as the chairman Powell as more or less cleared the interest rate stance yesterday.
I am more concerned on the trend from 10th June rather than wait for FOMC. Escalation or de-escalation of the trade war will be the key. The fall in industrial metals in just a correction. If industrial metals fall on or after 10th June, then expect them to test 2016-2017 lows.
COMEX GOLD AUGUST 2019 – current price $1331.95
· Key resistance is at $1339.50.
· Gold needs to break and trade over $1339.50 to start another wave of rise to $1354 and $1373.
· Overall trend is bullish as long as gold trades over $1317.
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-- Published: Wednesday, 5 June 2019 | E-Mail | Print | Source: GoldSeek.com