Eurozone finance ministers panicked this weekend and agreed to a preemptive announcement of a $125 billion bailout for the Spanish banks, bringing the grand total for bank bailouts to $600 billion when Ireland, Portugal and Greece are added.
Money printing on this scale has only ever been good for precious metal prices by historical precedent. The bank bailouts are an example of money creation at the source with banks able to lend more against this new capital injection and sterilising bad debts.
Precious metal prices
It sets gold up to power above the $1,923 all-time high of last September and hit $2,000 an ounce this fall, while silver will as usual outperform to the upside and cross the 1980 all-time high of $50 and go to $60. This is only what we heard in the Dubai Old Souk earlier this year (click here).
Of course the eurozone politicians have been panicked by the upcoming Greek election on June 17th to do something now rather than wait for the contagion to hit Spain. It remains to be seen whether preempting market fears has actually put them ahead of the curve.
Nobody really knows the likely course of events after the Greek election. Watching the TV programs with politicians lashing out at each other smacks more of anarchy than a stable democracy. But many have begun to question the praticalilty of leaving the euro.
The single currency was not designed for countries to come and go. Liquid assets in euros have already fled Greece but going back to an independent currency would still mean huge losses for the rich, although it would also create a buying opportunity.
Perhaps then the eurozone will bite the bullet and accept even bigger losses on Greek debt, and create money to save its banking system as an alternative. The sudden cave in over Spain at the weekend certaintly suggests that is the way the wind is blowing.
More and more paper money in the system, more and more sovereign debt, it can only end badly and most certainly with much higher inflation levels. Inflation in China jumped last month as the world’s third largest economic bloc slowed down.
Investors who want to beat inflation are left with fewer and fewer options. Central banks cannot print gold, they can only buy it themselves as an inflation hedge and help to push up the price. Silver is a tiny market that will follow and outperform gold as a sister monetary metal.
There are few win-win scenarios for global investors in these markets, expect more and more investors to jump on this train. That is why prices are going higher.
-- Posted Sunday, 10 June 2012 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com
comments powered by DisqusPrevious Articles by Peter Cooper About Peter Cooper:
Oxford University educated financial journalist Peter Cooper found himself made redundant by Emap plc in London in the mid-1990s and decided to rebuild his career in Dubai as launch editor of the pioneering magazine Gulf Business. He returned briefly to London in
1999 to complete his first book, a history of the Bovis construction group.
Then in 2000 he went back to Dubai to become an Internet entrepreneur, just as the dot-com market crashed. But he stumbled across the opportunity to become a partner in www.ameinfo.com, which later became the Middle East's leading English language business news website.
Over the course of the next seven years he had a ringside seat as editor-in-chief writing about the remarkable transformation of Dubai into a global business and financial hub city. At the same time www.ameinfo.com prospered and was sold in 2006 to Emap plc for $27 million, completing the career circle back to where it began a decade earlier.
He remains a lively commentator and columnist as a freelance journalist based in Dubai and travels extensively each summer with his wife Svetlana. His financial blog www.arabianmoney.net is attracting increasing attention with its focus on investment in gold and silver as a means of prospering during a time of great consumer price inflation and asset price deflation.
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