Advertise | Bookmark | Contact Us | E-Mail List |  | Update Page | UraniumSeek.com 

Commentary : Gold Review : Markets : News Wire : Quotes : Silver : Stocks - Main Page 

 GoldSeek.com >> News >> Story  Disclaimer 
 
Latest Headlines

Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Close Slightly Lower
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

Ira Epstein's Metals Video 10 16 2018
By: Ira Epstein

Volatility Breeds Contempt
By: Michael Ballanger

Rocket Time For Gold
By: Stewart Thomson

A golden escape
By: Richard (Rick) Mills

Does Gold Like Acronyms? The Golden Story of SPX, CPI, and IMF
By: Arkadiusz Sieron

Gold Resource Corporation Reports Preliminary Third Quarter Production of 6,411 Gold Ounces and 321,590 Silver Ounces Maintaining 2018 Annual Outlook
By: Gold Resource Corporation

Of What Am I Now Certain?
By: Avi Gilburt

October Doesn't Disappoint: Volatility Is Back After a Tranquil Third Quarter
By: Frank Holmes

Lower Yields Are Bulls' Best Bet
By: Rick Ackerman

 
Search

GoldSeek Web

 
Why 10-Year Rate Is Unlikely to Soar

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks

 -- Published: Wednesday, 8 August 2018 | Print  | Disqus 

https://www.rickackerman.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/Rise-in-rates-to-3.32-would-choke.jpg

Morgan Stanley CEO Jamie Dimon recently raised his forecast for rates on the Ten-Year Note, currently trading just below 3%, to 5%. He’d predicted a rally to 4% back in May but now thinks the bull market in stocks could run for another two or three years, putting additional upward pressure on long-term yields. For its part, Rick’s Picks has told subscribers to expect a push soon above the 3.11% peak recorded back in May — a peak we had foreseen five months earlier when the Ten-Year Note was paying around 2.35%. We offered no specific target at the time but will now: 3.32%, as shown in today’s chart (see inset).

It’s hard to square Dimon’s interest-rate forecast with the notion that the bull market in stocks has a few more years to run. Our gut feeling is that anything above 3.25% will asphyxiate the U.S. economy and send it into recession. The housing sector is already in a sharp downturn as reported here last week., and even a small turn of the interest-rate screw could asphyxiate it, along with auto leases. This would be a double whammy for the stock market, since mortgage rates have been held for a long time at levels that allow Americans to buy more home than they can afford.  Similarly, car leases are structured so that we can drive more car than we can afford. The silver lining here turns out to be an unappealing scenario:  rates go no higher than 3.50-4.00, but only because the U.S. economy has nosedived. If you don't subscribe to Rick's Picks, just click here for a free two-week trial. It will give you instant access not only to the chat room, but to actionable 'touts', intraday alerts, ‘jackpot’ bets using super-leveraged options and impromptu ‘requests’ sessions online.


| Digg This Article
 -- Published: Wednesday, 8 August 2018 | E-Mail  | Print  | Source: GoldSeek.com

comments powered by Disqus



 



Increase Text SizeDecrease Text SizeE-mail Link of Current PagePrinter Friendly PageReturn to GoldSeek.com

 news.goldseek.com >> Story

E-mail Page  | Print  | Disclaimer 


© 1995 - 2018



GoldSeek.com Supports Kiva.org

© GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC

The content on this site is protected by U.S. and international copyright laws and is the property of GoldSeek.com and/or the providers of the content under license. By "content" we mean any information, mode of expression, or other materials and services found on GoldSeek.com. This includes editorials, news, our writings, graphics, and any and all other features found on the site. Please contact us for any further information.

Live GoldSeek Visitor Map | Disclaimer

The views contained here may not represent the views of GoldSeek.com, its affiliates or advertisers. GoldSeek.com makes no representation, warranty or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of the information (including news, editorials, prices, statistics, analyses and the like) provided through its service. Any copying, reproduction and/or redistribution of any of the documents, data, content or materials contained on or within this website, without the express written consent of GoldSeek.com, is strictly prohibited. In no event shall GoldSeek.com or its affiliates be liable to any person for any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the information provided herein.