-- Published: Monday, 11 May 2015 | Print | Disqus
Featured Guests
Jim Rogers, Peter Eliades & David Morgan
Summary:
Hailing from scenic Zurich Switzerland, Jim Rogers outlines his investing plan for 2015.
WTIC appears to be oversold - expect an important bottom this year.
The investing legend plans to increase his stockpile of gold at under $1,000 an ounce.
He favors equities shares from China (largest holding).
Fed officials may feel compelled to make an incremental rate hike or two, to save face given the level of rate hike rhetoric.
Nonetheless, such efforts will be in vain, the inevitable day of economic reckoning is imminent.
According to Peter Eliades of Stockmarket Cycles, a particular angle of ascent or slope has lead to a market zenith for nearly 14 consecutive years.
He presents the precise slope angle and a simple means to calculate the trendline (slope = 68.3 / 238 days = 0.28584) for virtually any forecasting chart.
Since 2002, the market has failed to close over 1.1% beyond the trendline and then subsequently declined sharply.
On Monday, May 4th, the model registered a key stock market top, with the proviso that no construct is perfect.
A market peak of great importance seems imminent.
His work suggests that the potential return in US equities is significantly lower than the potential risk - echoing the sentiments of previous guests, such as Dr. Burton Malkiel.
The Silver Investor David Morgan views dollar strength as a direct result of capital flight from the EU.
Still, the US dollar is a flawed currency, losing over 95% of its value due to Fed machinations.
The 30 year love affair with US bonds is coming to an end - the coming debt market implosion will direct trillions of dollars into a competing safe haven, gold and silver, tiny markets relative to bonds.
David Morgan says every portfolio requires at least 10% PMs exposure.
Few investors have even this recommended amount. The bottom may be in place.
A final capitulation may not come to pass in the PMs before the onset of the nascent bull market, despite the monthly downtrend.
David Morgan: Seduced by silver at the tender age of 11, David Morgan started investing in the stock market while still a teenager. A precious metals aficionado armed with degrees in finance and economics as well as engineering, he created the Silver-Investor.com website and originated The Morgan Report, a monthly that covers economic news, overall financial health of the global economy, currency problems ahead and reasons for investing in precious metals.
David considers himself a big-picture macroeconomist whose main job as education—educating people about honest money and the benefits of a sound financial system—and his second job as teaching people to be patient and have conviction in their investment holdings. A dynamic, much-in-demand speaker all over the globe, David’s educational mission also makes him a prolific author having penned "Get the Skinny on Silver Investing" available as an e-book or through Amazon.com. As publisher of The Morgan Report, he has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, and BNN in Canada. He has been interviewed by The Wall Street Journal, Futures Magazine, The Gold Report and numerous other publications.
Additionally, he provides the public a tremendous amount of information by radio and writes often in the public domain. You are encouraged to sign up for his free publication which starts you off with the Ten Rules of Silver Investing where he was published almost a decade ago after being recognized as one of the top authorities in the arena of Silver Investing.
Peter G. Eliades, Editor and Publisher, Stockmarket Cycles Born 5-26-39 in Lowell, Massachusetts Lowell High School – 1956 Harvard College, A.B. 1960 Boston University Law School J.D. –1963 (passed Massachusetts Bar Exam) Married – three children
Upon graduation from Boston University Law school, Peter Eliades moved to New York City where he entertained as a singer and pianist in Manhattan cabarets and off-Broadway musical comedy. In 1967, he moved to Los Angeles and continued his musical career. In 1968, with a lot of time and curiosity and a little money, Mr. Eliades initiated his stock market studies.
In 1972, he began his financial career as a stockbroker and appeared as a stock market analyst on Los Angeles television station KWHY, the nation’s first financial TV station. Several times in the fall of 1974, he predicted on KWHY that a major market bottom would occur during the week of December 9-13, 1974. The exact Dow low of 570.01 occurred on December 9, 1974. Publication of Stockmarket Cycles began in July of 1975. In 1985, the first year he was rated by the independent rating services, Mr. Eliades earned the Timer Digest’s "Timer of the Year" award and placed second in 1986 in a close race which wasn’t decided until the final trading day of the year. In 1989, Mark Hulbert (Hulbert Financial Digest) named Mr. Eliades as the "Most Consistent Mutual fund Switcher" based on Eliades timing signals for the years 1985, 1986, 1987, and 1988. From January 1985 when Hulbert first started rating Stockmarket Cycles, through August 1990, Stockmarket Cycles had the #1 market timing record in the country with a timing gain of 174.3% versus a comparable gain in the Wilshire 5000 Total Return Index of 119%.
Mr. Eliades has been a regular panelist on ABC’s weekly Sunday show, Business World, and has made guest appearances on FNN, CNBC, Wall Street Week, and Nightly Business Report. He has been featured in some of the nation’s most prestigious publications including Barron’s, The Wall Street Journal, Forbes and Futures Magazine among others.
Mr. Eliades’ theory of price movement in the stock market relates to repeating cycles rhythms. Fundamental news has no effect on market timing and affects only long-term trends. In over 16 years of uninterrupted market letters, he has rarely mentioned a fundamental news story in relation to the market. Mr. Eliades’ analysis is 100% cyclically and technically oriented.
Stockmarket Cycles provides market timing for the more important intermediate to long term trends for mutual fund switching. Short-term timing is also provided for stock index futures and index options via the daily telephone updates.
Jim Rogers is the author of Adventure Capitalist: The Ultimate Road Trip and Investment Biker: On the Road with Jim Rogers. He is an investor who has been chronicled in Jon Train’s Money Masters of Our Time, Jack Schwager’s Market Wizards, and other books. He has been frequently featured in Time, The Washington Post, The New York Times, Barron’s, Forbes, Fortune, The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times, and most publications dealing with the economy or finance. He has also appeared as a regular commentator and columnist in various media and has been a visiting professor.
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