news.goldseek.com >> 3 February 2012
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news.goldseek.com >> 3 February 2012 |
Junior Gold Producers 2
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence
It only took eleven years, but in 2011 global gold-mine production has finally returned to pre-bull levels. In fact, with 2011’s volume expected to come in at around 88m ounces, we’ll see a new all-time production high. The latest exploration-and-development cycle is finally starting to bear fruit!
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news.goldseek.com >> 27 January 2012 |
Gold ETF Mass Exodus
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Gold is enjoying an awesome January, rallying strongly out of its oversold late-December lows. But last month’s hyper-pessimistic sentiment deserves some reflection before it totally fades from memory. One of the core theses of the bears resolutely predicting sub-$1400 gold prices soon was the notion that there would be widespread liquidations in the flagship GLD gold ETF, a mass exodus of capital.
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news.goldseek.com >> 20 January 2012 |
Gold-Stock Upleg Cycles
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Despite gold’s powerful secular bull over the past decade, gold stocks remain vexing to investors and speculators. Though this metal’s miners have yielded truly colossal bull-to-date gains, they failed to leverage the record-high gold prices seen in much of 2011. So naturally traders aren’t very enthusiastic about this sector at the moment. But they sure would be if they understood the gold-stock upleg cycles.
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news.goldseek.com >> 13 January 2012 |
Dollar to Launch Gold
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Since rocketing to new all-time highs last summer, gold has weathered a major correction. While that selloff was healthy and necessary given the excessive optimism that catapulted gold to very-overbought levels, a strong US dollar accelerated gold’s swoon. But with the dollar now as overbought and wildly popular as gold was in August, this currency itself is due for a major selloff that is likely to launch gold.
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news.goldseek.com >> 6 January 2012 |
Cheap Gold Stocks 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Gold had a tough December, falling 10.5% to grind along near its worst levels since July. This sparked hyper-bearish sentiment and end-of-gold’s-secular-bull talk. Naturally gold stocks fared even worse in this rampant gold pessimism, with the flagship HUI gold-stock index plunging 14.7%. But this selling was radically overdone, as compared to gold’s absolute levels gold stocks remain incredibly cheap.
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news.goldseek.com >> 30 December 2011 |
Junior-Gold Carnage
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence
As 2011 comes to a close, investors will reflect on one of the most tumultuous years in market history. Though the stock markets were essentially flat on the year, those who’ve had skin in the game probably feel like they just stepped out of a barrel that went over Niagara Falls. In assessing what worked in 2011, investors can yet again take solace in “old reliable”. For the eleventh consecutive year gold will have returned positive gains. Not only has gold’s secular bull delivered consistency, it has delivered robust returns that have greatly rewarded investors. Since its low of $256 in 2001, gold has soared 640% to its high earlier this year. And with only a couple days remaining, gold is looking to close out 2011 with a 9%+ gain despite its recent selloff.
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news.goldseek.com >> 23 December 2011 |
Recession Crazes
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Recession is a four-letter word in the financial markets, striking terror into the hearts of everyone. And if reports since August are to be believed, there is a recession hiding behind every tree. For a myriad of reasons, economists have argued we are due to plunge into the next one any day now. But speculators and investors have to understand how recession talk is spawned, sometimes leading to recession crazes.
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news.goldseek.com >> 16 December 2011 |
Dollar Crushes Commodities
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
The long-in-the-tooth commodities correction plunged to new lows this week. Traders were disappointed the Fed didn’t announce a new quantitative-easing campaign, so they dumped the popular commodities with a vengeance. But realize the primary driver of the recent commodities weakness is not the Fed, but a strengthening US dollar. The coming commodities price action heavily depends on its fortunes.
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news.goldseek.com >> 9 December 2011 |
Bullish Stock Technicals
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
The stock markets are still riddled with anxiety, with traders nervously awaiting the next shoe to drop. Will Europe fracture? Does a global recession loom? But in an apprehensive environment where fears are legion, it’s easy to lose the forest for the trees. If you can transcend the day-to-day newsflow slog for a broader perspective, the technicals of the US stock markets are actually quite bullish today.
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news.goldseek.com >> 2 December 2011 |
Oil or Gas?
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence
Hydrocarbons have become the lifeblood of this modern era. And with a huge economic incentive for finding and extracting them, drillers have scoured the world in search of this finite resource. When they do find it, there is nothing more thrilling than bringing this raw form of energy to the surface.
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news.goldseek.com >> 27 November 2011 |
Stock Bear Seasonals
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Research
The general stock markets’ day-to-day price action utterly dominates individual stock sectors, including commodities stocks. So anything traders can do to better understand the forces driving the stock markets as a whole leads to better stock entries and exits universally. With this truth in mind, many speculators and investors wonder whether commodities-like seasonality also exists in the general stock markets.
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news.goldseek.com >> 18 November 2011 |
HUI Bull Seasonals 4
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
After updating my gold-seasonality research last week, I heard from traders wondering how it affects gold stocks. Since the price of gold is their primary driver, gold seasonality naturally has a major impact on gold-stock price levels. This is readily apparent in the seasonality of the HUI, the flagship gold-stock index. As you’d expect, this sector mirrors and amplifies the seasonal swings in the metal it mines.
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news.goldseek.com >> 11 November 2011 |
Gold Bull Seasonals 6
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Gold has just entered its strongest time of the year, embarking on a major seasonal rally. Naturally this is very bullish for not only this metal, but the companies that wrest it from the bowels of the Earth. Gold’s well-established seasonality is important for speculators and investors to understand, as it offers many great insights to help fine-tune the timing of precious-metals-related trades.
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news.goldseek.com >> 4 November 2011 |
Fearmongering
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
October was truly an epic month for the stock markets. The flagship S&P 500 stock index rocketed 10.8% higher! As its best month since December 1991 and best October since 1982’s, October 2011 was inarguably awesome. While it remains fresh in our minds, it is important to remember the psychology leading into it. Fearmongering ran rampant in late September, hyper-bearishness reigned supreme.
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news.goldseek.com >> 28 October 2011 |
Unconventional Oil
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence
Each year a small portion of the world’s finite oil supply is drained. And over time this annual draw has grown larger in a world that seems to be getting smaller. As global commerce gains fluidity, the demand for this hydrocarbon appears to be insatiable.
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news.goldseek.com >> 21 October 2011 |
Cheap Gold Stocks
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Not even mighty gold escaped late September’s commodities massacre, so gold stocks never stood a chance. They were sucked into the violent maelstrom of commodities-stock selling, plunging sharply. And as usual when gold is weak, the gold stocks amplified its downside. The result is very cheap gold stocks today, great bargains. Relative to gold, they’ve been hammered back down near panic levels.
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news.goldseek.com >> 14 October 2011 |
Oil Stocks Deeply Oversold 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
The recent recession-fear craze hammered commodities prices, crushing the stocks of the companies that produce them. Commodities stocks were wholesale abandoned by frightened traders, left bludgeoned and bleeding. But driven to deeply-oversold levels, they got incredibly cheap relative to their underlying fundamentals and bull-market precedent. Oil stocks are a shining example of this great opportunity.
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news.goldseek.com >> 7 October 2011 |
Hyper-Oversold Markets
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Research
Market history is crystal-clear in showing that oversold conditions are the best buying opportunities ever seen. And the more oversold the markets, the greater the fear and anxiety, the better the resulting bargains. It isn’t easy being brave when everyone else is afraid, buying low during intense uncertainty. But taking this prudent contrarian approach is the easiest and surest way to earn big money in stocks.
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news.goldseek.com >> 30 September 2011 |
US Oil Boom
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Research
With the world forging ahead in this modern industrial and technological era, the king of commodities continues to flex its muscles as the most indispensable of resources. Oil, the lubricant of global commerce, is seeing record levels of demand.
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news.goldseek.com >> 23 September 2011 |
Oil Stocks Undervalued 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
The grinding 6-week-old bottoming process following the stock-market correction is doing its job, shaking out all the weak hands. These traders who haven’t learned to suppress their own fear are selling low, disproportionately hammering popular sectors like commodities stocks. Excessive and unsustainable fear drives incredible bargains, including in oil stocks. They are super-oversold and very undervalued.
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news.goldseek.com >> 16 September 2011 |
Europe Stock Selloff
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Europe has become something of a four-letter word among American investors and speculators lately. Weak European stock action has been mesmerizing stock-index-futures traders here in the States. They dump US stock-index futures in sympathy whenever Europe is selling off. This in turn spawns bearish sentiment and weak opens in the US markets. Europe is the epicenter of US stock fears these days.
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news.goldseek.com >> 9 September 2011 |
Stock-Bear Selling
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Early August’s sharp stock-market plunge ignited an explosion of bearish theories. And with the headline stock indexes still grinding along near lows over the month since, fears of a new bear market continue to proliferate today. But interestingly, the fast selling velocity that spooked traders is not characteristic of young bear markets. Instead it is a bull-market-correction phenomenon.
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news.goldseek.com >> 2 September 2011 |
Silver Stocks Lagging
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence
This last year for silver has been awesome! After a sideways grind in the $15 to $20 range for most of the first three quarters of 2010, silver’s September breakout unleashed a beast that has been nearly unstoppable. By the end of that breakout month silver blasted through its bull high from early 2008, and has more than doubled since!
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news.goldseek.com >> 26 August 2011 |
Stock Fear Ceiling
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Fear is the greatest buy signal ever seen in the stock markets. This overpowering emotion flares fast, driving excessive selling that rapidly hammers stock prices down to irrational oversold levels. These fear-driven lows are the ideal time for investors and speculators to buy low, necessary before selling high later. Provocatively stock fear has an effective ceiling, absolute levels that demand aggressive buying.
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news.goldseek.com >> 19 August 2011 |
Gold Overbought
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Gold has enjoyed an amazing rally in recent weeks, catapulted higher by the extreme fear sparked by the sharp stock-market correction. Naturally such big and fast gains have led to a surge in gold’s popularity among investors and speculators, as everyone loves a winner. But gold prices flow and ebb like everything else, and this metal has become very overbought today.
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news.goldseek.com >> 12 August 2011 |
Trading Stock Fear 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
With the plunging stock markets terrifying traders, many are running for the hills. Steep selloffs always generate intense fear, a scary emotion from which we humans are naturally hardwired to flee. But in the stock markets, major fear spikes should be embraced. They mark the best opportunities ever seen to buy low, the necessary prerequisite to selling high and multiplying your wealth.
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news.goldseek.com >> 5 August 2011 |
Major Stock Buying Op
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
It’s sure been an exceptionally-ugly week in the US stock markets! The threat of Washington defaulting on its debt, worse-than-expected economic data, and the waning of Q2 earnings season conspired to wallop equity prices. The resulting sharp selloff has led to soaring anxiety and fear, traders are rushing for the exits. But these scary conditions are a contrarian’s dream, an ideal time to snatch up bargains.
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news.goldseek.com >> 29 July 2011 |
Uranium Bull 3
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence
Nuclear power has been a hot topic of recent. And as a result, the price action of its input commodity has been quite schizophrenic. Investors and speculators are in a state of great wonderment over what to expect from this intriguing mineral that is mined for energy.
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news.goldseek.com >> 22 July 2011 |
Bullish Oil Technicals
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Averaging $96 so far this summer, crude oil certainly doesn’t feel cheap. Nevertheless, its technicals are looking increasingly bullish. After recently bouncing out of a major correction, oil appears to be embarking on a new bull-market upleg. If one is indeed brewing, speculators and investors alike ought to capitalize on this excellent buying opportunity in oil stocks.
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news.goldseek.com >> 15 July 2011 |
Bullish Copper Technicals
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Copper is growing increasingly popular among speculators, who are catapulting this unassuming base metal up into the rarified ranks of market-darling commodities. Neither precious like gold, nor immediately consumed like oil, copper’s price action is quite unique. And despite some risky headwinds remaining, its technicals are once again turning bullish today.
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news.goldseek.com >> 8 July 2011 |
Commodities Upleg Cycles
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Research
The bottom line is general commodities upleg-correction cycles offer valuable insights into timing trades. While this is a secondary indicator since individual commodities have very different price drivers, it still helps define probability bands. When the CCI has rallied high enough to hit its tight secular-bull-to-date average gain, or corrected low enough to hit its average loss, odds are a major trend change is imminent.
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news.goldseek.com >> 1 July 2011 |
Global Gold Supply 2
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence
Considering gold’s outstanding fundamentals, it’s no surprise that demand has stayed strong a decade into its bull. And with demand only expected to strengthen in the years to come, a lot of weight rests on the shoulders of gold’s suppliers.
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news.goldseek.com >> 24 June 2011 |
New Stock Bear?
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Thanks to June’s sizable and rather-sharp stock-market selloff, fears are growing that a new bear market is brewing. For investors and speculators, the implications of these concerns are not trivial. Optimal trading strategies vary wildly between bull and bear, as bears relentlessly maul down all sectors including popular ones like commodities stocks. So today’s bull-or-bear question is critically important to address.
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news.goldseek.com >> 17 June 2011 |
Trading Stock Fear
By: Adam Hamilton, CPA
The stock markets’ sharp June selloff is waking traders from their complacent slumber. The risk of a significant selloff, long ignored, has surged back to the forefront of market psychology. These pullbacks and corrections are healthy and necessary within ongoing bull markets, but they don’t end until fear grows great enough to rebalance sentiment. And today, stock fear is still too low for a bottoming.
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news.goldseek.com >> 10 June 2011 |
PM Summer Doldrums 3
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Traders beware, the dreaded precious-metals summer doldrums are now upon us! Summers are barren sentiment wastelands for the entire PM complex. Gold, silver, and the PM stocks tend to grind listlessly sideways to lower, vexing traders who aren’t psychologically prepared to weather this slow season.
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news.goldseek.com >> 3 June 2011 |
Rare-Earth Stocks
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence
Nearly a year has passed since Molycorp hit the stock markets with its IPO. And considering this stock’s popularity today, it’s astounding that this IPO had flown under the radar for most investors. Last July MCP shares debuted below the pre-IPO targeted price range, and traded on the low side of that range for weeks before it finally caught a bid. MCP didn’t quite have the fanfare as say LinkedIn or other IPOs over the last year.
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news.goldseek.com >> 27 May 2011 |
Weak SPX Technicals
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
While the stock markets have enjoyed an outstanding busy season, the dreaded summer doldrums are now upon us. This vacation season usually heralds listlessly-grinding markets, sometimes significant selloffs, and rarely meaningful rallies. The stock-market technicals heading into summer greatly influence which outcome is most likely in these coming lethargic months.
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news.goldseek.com >> 20 May 2011 |
Commodities Risk Trade
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Commodities prices have been exceptionally volatile in recent weeks, with big daily rallies and plunges intermingled. Seemingly without rhyme or reason, commodities surge one day as traders crave riskier bets but then fall the next as they flee risk. While this commodities risk trade often looks capricious and schizophrenic, it actually has a logical and consistent driver. The state of the stock markets.
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news.goldseek.com >> 13 May 2011 |
Silver Near-Crash
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
In a single week, the manic euphoria gripping silver recently was utterly obliterated. After promising such rapid wealth creation, this metal collapsed in what can only be described as a near-crash. New investors were left stunned, while leveraged speculators were slaughtered. Sadly, they could have easily avoided these devastating losses. Silver’s massive reversal was both inevitable and predicted well in advance.
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news.goldseek.com >> 6 May 2011 |
US Dollar Bear Rallies 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
The beleaguered US dollar has certainly challenged silver’s crown of being the most-one-sided trade lately. The bearishness and pessimism plaguing the world’s reserve currency is overwhelming and universal, with nearly everyone convinced the US dollar is ready to fall off a cliff. But it is psychological conditions just like today’s that birth mighty bear-market rallies, with widespread implications for traders.
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news.goldseek.com >> 29 April 2011 |
GLDX Gold Explorers ETF
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
By owning GLDX investors can indeed strike gold with these juniors, positively leveraging the underlying metal and the larger mining companies that are bringing it to market. This ETF is comprised of some of the world’s elite gold explorers, and if you aren’t a stock picker it may be your best bet to ride the gold-discovery wave.
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news.goldseek.com >> 24 April 2011 |
Fed QE and SPX
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
In just a couple months, the US Federal Reserve’s second quantitative-easing campaign will wind down. This program has been highly controversial since its birth, so the Fed is under tremendous pressure not to launch a third round of QE. And if QE2 indeed ends on schedule this quarter, it has major implications for the US stock markets.
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news.goldseek.com >> 15 April 2011 |
SPX Correction Looms 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Stock bull markets don’t rally higher in a nice linear fashion. Their advance is much more chaotic, flowing and ebbing. Two steps forward are inevitably followed by one step back. Today the US stock markets, despite their recent selloff in early March, still look to be in this correction mode. These ebbings present stock traders with awesome buying opportunities, the best ever seen within ongoing bulls.
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news.goldseek.com >> 8 April 2011 |
Gold Technicals
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Gold has much to celebrate. Not only did it just hit new all-time nominal highs, its secular bull was born exactly 10 years ago this week! It’s enough to bring a tear to the eye of the bold contrarian investors who’ve been riding this mighty bull market for an entire decade. Much has changed since I first started recommending physical gold coins as long-term investments in May 2001, when gold traded at $264.
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news.goldseek.com >> 1 April 2011 |
Junior Gold Stocks 6
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence
With the price of gold still hovering around all-time nominal highs, the miners are continuing to revel in their long season of prosperity. And with gold’s structural fundamentals still wildly bullish, these miners should be delivering their gold at higher prices for a long time to come.
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news.goldseek.com >> 25 March 2011 |
Gold-Stock Valuations 7
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Gold stocks aren’t feeling the love these days. They have merely been drifting sideways since their latest interim high in early December. Considering gold is edging up to new nominal all-time highs, and silver is surging, many traders find this lack of gold-stock responsiveness troubling. Is there a fundamental problem with this sector today? If so, it will show up in gold-stock valuations.
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news.goldseek.com >> 18 March 2011 |
Silver in SPX Selloffs
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Silver’s massive surge since late January has naturally made it wildly popular these days. But with the general-stock-market weakness gathering steam, silver traders are increasingly wondering if it could somehow spill into and affect silver. Market history not only shows it likely will, but the odds favor a rather severe downside impact.
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news.goldseek.com >> 11 March 2011 |
Silver Toppings 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
After soaring 35% in just 6 weeks, silver has driven trader enthusiasm to a fever pitch. Naturally after such a magnificent surge to new multi-decade highs, silver bullishness is off the charts. Expectations for continuing near-parabolic gains are nearly universal, with ebullient commentators coming out of the woodwork to predict spectacular near-term price targets.
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news.goldseek.com >> 4 March 2011 |
Gold Stocks in SPX Selloffs
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
With the general stock markets now due for a selloff while gold hits new nominal all-time highs, precious-metals-stock traders face something of a quandary. How are their stocks likely to perform in the near future? Will they ignore general-stock weakness to rally with gold? Will they get sucked into a stock-market selloff even if gold remains strong?
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news.goldseek.com >> 25 February 2011 |
Junior Correction
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence
Junior resource stocks are fickle little things. And most investors who dabble in this realm are fully aware of their capricious nature. One of the best ways to describe owning these stocks can be summed up by one of the most famous lines in literary history, “It was the best of times, it was the worst of times…”
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news.goldseek.com >> 18 February 2011 |
Stock Selloffs Ignite Dollar Rallies
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
The inevitable periodic selloffs in the general stock markets indiscriminately hammer all stocks lower. But they pose a special magnified risk to commodities stocks. In addition to weighing on this sector directly, stock selloffs ignite fast US dollar rallies. This rapidly drives dollar-denominated commodities prices lower, amplifying the selling pressure faced by commodities stocks.
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news.goldseek.com >> 11 February 2011 |
Copper Correction 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Red-hot copper hit another new all-time high this week, extending its mighty upleg to a 66.6% gain since June! As always after any strong run, investors and speculators are pretty excited about this essential base metal these days. But this incredible bullishness, along with overbought technicals, actually suggests copper is on the verge of a major correction today.
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news.goldseek.com >> 4 February 2011 |
Global Silver Exploration
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence
When exhaustively researching any sector of stocks, a lot can be learned about a given industry, its constituents, and its fundamentals. And indeed at Zeal we’ve learned a lot about the silver-stock sector in our latest round of research. This research is invaluable in both identifying industry trends and selecting the companies with the highest probability for success.
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news.goldseek.com >> 28 January 2011 |
Silver Futures CoT 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
After rocketing 76% higher in just 5 months, silver continues to enthrall investors and speculators. In the decade I’ve been gaming its bull through actively trading silver stocks, I’ve never seen this metal so popular. As more traders discover silver and start following and trading it, I’ve heard a lot of questions on a recent development in the silver-futures market. Its open interest recently declined sharply.
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news.goldseek.com >> 21 January 2011 |
SPX Correction Looms
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
The US stock markets have enjoyed an awesome run since late August, with the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) up 23.7%. Traders have earned huge profits in sectors that leverage general-stock-market gains, including commodities stocks. But as usual after any long and uninterrupted rally, complacency reigns supreme today. Such sentiment is a prime breeding ground for spawning corrections.
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news.goldseek.com >> 14 January 2011 |
Silver ETF Impact 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Silver’s massive autumn rally has utterly captivated speculators and investors, their appetite for all things silver is insatiable. Interestingly a major driver of this metal’s recent surge was stock-market buying of the flagship silver ETF, SLV. The larger and more popular this fund grows, the greater its ongoing impact on silver prices.
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news.goldseek.com >> 9 January 2011 |
Real Silver Highs 3
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Thanks to its awesome autumn rally, silver has become something of a rock star in the commodities world. Investors and speculators alike are enthralled with this white metal. But with it just hitting new 30-year highs, many on Wall Street suspect silver is stretching to bull-ending extremes. However once silver’s modern history is recast into real inflation-adjusted terms, this metal’s secular bull is still looking young.
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news.goldseek.com >> 31 December 2010 |
Silver Stocks 4
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence
Commodities have been on a tear in the second half of 2010. Measured by the venerable CCI, the commodities patch has posted record highs in just this last week. In this impressive run the usual suspects have all performed well. From wheat, to oil, to copper, to gold, the gains have been stellar. But one commodity in particular has outshined the rest, silver.
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news.goldseek.com >> 26 December 2010 |
Trading for Everyone
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Trading is awesome! Everyone should trade stocks. The benefits that trading brings to anyone who sticks with it are vast. They spill over into and enrich all aspects of our lives, in a myriad of ways extending far beyond the obvious financial rewards. And it’s never too late or too early to start learning this fascinating and empowering art.
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news.goldseek.com >> 17 December 2010 |
Silver/Gold Ratio Reversion 4
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Silver has been a rock-star in recent months, rocketing higher to dazzling gains. After such a blistering near-vertical ascent, technicians understandably fear this metal has become wildly overbought. Nevertheless, an alternative perspective on silver’s recent levels counters its extreme technicals. Compared to gold, its primary driver, silver actually looks reasonably-priced today.
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news.goldseek.com >> 10 December 2010 |
Gold Stocks Still Cheap 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Earlier this week, the flagship HUI gold-stock index powered up to new all-time record highs. While fantastic for gold-stock investors and speculators, such lofty achievements inevitably cement more big bricks on top of the wall of worries. At their highest levels in history, are gold stocks wildly overbought and doomed to correct hard? Provocatively, a strong case can be made that they actually remain cheap!
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news.goldseek.com >> 3 December 2010 |
Global Gold-Mining Trends
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Gold mineralization knows no borders. This most precious of metals can be found within the highest mountains, densest jungles, hottest deserts, and deepest bowels of the underworld. But since all land is outlined by borders, gold mining’s global affair is bound by country-level dynamics. And with the mined supply trending down, these dynamics have become increasingly important.
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news.goldseek.com >> 26 November 2010 |
Trading News Psychology
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Overnight Tuesday, selling pressure slammed futures on the ominous news of North Korea shelling a South Korean island. What ought to have been a relatively-quiet market day heading into Thanksgiving was suddenly filled with anxiety. How would the South Koreans retaliate? Was a new war erupting?
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news.goldseek.com >> 19 November 2010 |
Gold Bull Seasonals 5
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Following gold’s sharp retreat over the past week or so, traders are wondering how low it will go. Is this metal in a pullback or a correction? The former is a minor and healthy mid-upleg event, a great buying opportunity. But a full-blown correction is a major upleg-ending selloff, meaning the worst is yet to come. Interestingly, today’s gold seasonals are one argument in favor of the milder pullback scenario.
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news.goldseek.com >> 12 November 2010 |
Silver Toppings
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Since emerging out of the usual summer doldrums, silver’s performance has been dazzling. Buyers are returning to this hyper-speculative metal en masse, driving some fast-and-furious gains. And the Fed poured rocket fuel on silver’s hot rally last week when it announced its newest inflationary campaign.
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news.goldseek.com >> 5 November 2010 |
Mid-Term-Election Rallies
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
The highly-anticipated 2010 mid-term elections are finally over, a huge relief if you hate politics and government meddling in our lives as much as I do. Now that the American people have fired the arrogant politicians who refused to listen to the will of their tax-paying constituents, we can get back to focusing on the financial markets. So how do the stock markets tend to perform after mid-term elections?
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news.goldseek.com >> 29 October 2010 |
Gold Mining M&A
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
If you are at all attuned to the gold-stock sector, you’ve likely noticed a pickup in activity on the deal-making front this year. And indeed the gold miners are doing some moving and shaking. In fact, this industry is undergoing a consolidation unlike anything we’ve seen in this entire bull market. And for a variety of reasons, this may only be just the beginning.
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news.goldseek.com >> 22 October 2010 |
Dollar-Neutral Gold
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Gold has enjoyed a relentless and rather one-sided rally since late July. Up 18.9% at best over an 11-week span where nearly 2/3rds of the trading days enjoyed gains, some traders are wondering if this metal is getting overbought. Tuesday’s sharp 2.9% retreat certainly amplified these fears. But interestingly, due to dollar distortion this recent gold rally isn’t as strong as it appears.
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news.goldseek.com >> 15 October 2010 |
GDXJ Junior-Gold ETF 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Gold’s relentless climb to new record highs is driving a renaissance of investor interest in junior gold stocks. This fascinating subsector amplifies investing’s usual risk-reward equation to breathtaking extremes. While the great majority of junior golds will end up worthless, the few that strike it big enjoy some of the largest gains ever seen in the financial markets. We’re talking 100x+ returns!
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news.goldseek.com >> 8 October 2010 |
Gold-Stock Record Highs
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Inspired by gold’s relentless momentum, investors drove the flagship HUI gold-stock index to new all-time highs this week. While great fun for all of us with capital deployed in this sector, seeing the best levels in history often spawns anxiety in those with a contrarian bent. Following gold stocks’ run into record territory, are they in danger of an imminent correction?
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news.goldseek.com >> 1 October 2010 |
Junior Gold Producers
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Gold miners come in all shapes and sizes. From large mega-miners to small single-mine operators, these producers each play important roles in the global gold supply chain. Investors are most familiar with the mega-miners, an elite group of producers responsible for a large majority of overall mined supply. But for a variety of reasons investors should not overlook the smaller fish in the pond.
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news.goldseek.com >> 24 September 2010 |
Gold-Stock Recovery 3
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Gold’s typical autumn strength has been garnering a lot more interest than usual this year. Since its late-July seasonal low 8 weeks ago, this metal has rallied over 11%. But the limelight really didn’t start shifting to gold until last week, when it started achieving new all-time highs in nominal (not inflation-adjusted) terms. All this new gold attention is rekindling interest in the gold miners.
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news.goldseek.com >> 19 September 2010 |
Cheap Commodities Stocks
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
After weathering a lackluster grinding summer, commodities stocks are poised for a big rally. Thanks to an anomalous divergence between commodities prices and the general stock markets, commodities stocks are relatively cheap today. This has created an excellent buying opportunity for investors.
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news.goldseek.com >> 10 September 2010 |
Big Autumn Gold Rally
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Gold enjoyed a strong August after emerging out of its late-July seasonal lows. But interestingly last month’s bullish action was probably just the beginning of gold’s newest rally. A whole host of bullish seasonal, sentimental, and technical factors are converging that ought to catapult gold much higher in the coming months.
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news.goldseek.com >> 3 September 2010 |
Gold-Mining Margins
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Gold mining is a tough business. In the quest to meet growing global demand these miners are constantly barraged with challenge after challenge. They are attacked by environmentalists, targets of governmental meddling, purveyors of a science that is not exact, and must always fight to renew their finite resources.
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news.goldseek.com >> 27 August 2010 |
Ostrich Investors 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Ostrich investors are a major driving force in today’s financial markets. As the name implies, they are hiding their heads in the sand like the popular literary perception of the king of birds. Burned in 2008’s epic stock-market panic, they have shunned active investing ever since. Trillions of dollars of their capital languishes idle on the sidelines, earning zero in money markets or near-record-low yields in Treasuries.
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news.goldseek.com >> 20 August 2010 |
Big Autumn Silver Rally 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Silver has been drifting in a rather lackluster summer. Ever since surging to $19.50 in mid-May, this often-popular white metal has been grinding sideways to lower. By late July it had fallen over 10% to about $17.50. But despite silver’s recent excitement-bereft sojourn, it actually has excellent potential for a big autumn rally in the coming months.
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news.goldseek.com >> 13 August 2010 |
HUI Bull Seasonals 3
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Precious-metals stocks really haven’t had a great summer by any means. After rallying initially in June, they started relentlessly drifting lower in July. The net result of this lackluster summer trading is a lethargic drift sideways. Naturally this listlessness has weighed on sentiment among this sector’s traders.
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news.goldseek.com >> 6 August 2010 |
Junior Bull Seasonals
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
The adventures of trading junior resource stocks are meant for only a select breed. Yet even these risk-craving traders struggle with a cornucopia of emotions when putting their capital to work in this realm. This sector is capable of violent swings in either direction, and it has proven to be quite difficult to navigate on an interim basis.
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news.goldseek.com >> 30 July 2010 |
Platinum and Gold
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Platinum and gold, how much of a relationship do these metals really have? Gold has been the talk of the town lately, a growingly-popular safe haven in these wild economic times. But platinum, one hardly hears of this metal. Guys like me who have wives with high-end jewelry taste certainly know about platinum, and car buffs are familiar with its use in catalytic converters. But with the average investor knowing very little about this metal, is it even on the same playing field as gold?
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news.goldseek.com >> 23 July 2010 |
Oil Stocks Undervalued
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Oil stocks have to be one of the most unloved sectors in the markets today. The recent general-stock-market and oil corrections combined with the incredibly-negative psychology spawned by the BP oil spill have driven oil stocks down to deeply-oversold levels. This swoon has also left this sector very undervalued, a barren wasteland strewn with great bargains for investors.
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news.goldseek.com >> 16 July 2010 |
SPX Cyclical Bull Lives
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Naturally in the wake of the recent stock-market selling, bearish theories have made a major resurgence. You can’t turn on CNBC for 5 minutes, let alone open a financial newspaper, without seeing endless reasons why the stock markets are doomed to spiral ever lower. But the little-discussed contrarian case against these mainstream arguments is pretty compelling today.
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news.goldseek.com >> 9 July 2010 |
China Commodities Sentiment
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
In today’s ever-more interrelated financial world, China’s stock-market action is growing increasingly influential everywhere else. As the globe spins, the results of each day’s stock trading in China often spill over into Europe and then the States to affect sentiment. This impact is universal, but especially pronounced in sectors China plays a major role in like commodities stocks.
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news.goldseek.com >> 2 July 2010 |
Early-Stage Gold Juniors
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Research
Ahhhh … summer heat, stock-market corrections, and juniors. What more can one ask for to soothe the soul? OK, so perhaps writhing would be more appropriate than soothing. But you know, heat happens every summer, the stock markets were due for a correction (especially after an 80% move higher since March 2009), and junior gold stocks will eventually return to favor.
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news.goldseek.com >> 25 June 2010 |
SPX Driving US Dollar
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
So far this year, the US dollar has enjoyed a strong performance. Traders carefully watch this flagship currency since its fortunes affect virtually everything, from world-trade balances to global financial markets to commodities prices. Given the dollar’s universal impact, understanding its drivers is essential for gaming all kinds of markets.
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news.goldseek.com >> 18 June 2010 |
PM Summer Doldrums 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Over the past month or so, precious-metals stocks’ performance has been frustrating. Even though gold looks great, lazily meandering over $1200 without a care in the world, the PM stocks have drifted sideways to lower. Unfortunately such behavior is typical in the dreaded PM summer doldrums.
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news.goldseek.com >> 11 June 2010 |
Oil Stocks Deeply Oversold
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Oil stocks have been hammered especially hard in the recent stock-market correction. With both the general stock markets and price of crude oil falling sharply, the oil stocks didn’t stand a chance. The result of all this carnage is deeply-oversold oil stocks, a fantastic buying opportunity for speculators and investors.
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news.goldseek.com >> 4 June 2010 |
Commodities-Stock Buying Op
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Commodities stocks have two primary drivers, commodities prices and the general stock markets. When both are doing well, commodities stocks thrive. But when both are weak, commodities stocks amplify their losses as we’ve seen during the sharp universal correction since late April. The resulting deeply-oversold commodities stocks have created an outstanding buying opportunity today.
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news.goldseek.com >> 28 May 2010 |
Copper: SPX Usurps Stockpiles
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
From boring industrial metal to commodities superstar, copper’s wild bull market has been full of excitement. Its huge 475% run from its 2003 low to 2008 high made investors fortunes. Its subsequent panic-driven 69% plunge was catastrophic. And then copper’s resilient 183% post-panic recovery to its recent April high has been breathtaking.
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news.goldseek.com >> 21 May 2010 |
Euro Panic Buying Op
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
The condition of Europe has become the psychological linchpin governing the world’s financial markets. Even the notoriously insular American investors are fretting about Europe’s woes on an hour-by-hour basis, which is incredible. The euro currency has become the focus of the global Europe fears, trying unsuccessfully to shoulder this crushing burden. The result is the euro’s recent panic-like plunge.
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news.goldseek.com >> 14 May 2010 |
Euro Gold €1000
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
With the European sovereign-debt troubles dominating financial news, the euro has taken quite a beating lately. The majority consensus opinion even believes that the euro’s very existence is threatened by this crisis. This pervasive euro-bearish psychology has ignited euro gold, which is now challenging the fabled €1000 level.
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news.goldseek.com >> 7 May 2010 |
Gold Stock Valuations 6
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
As gold stocks continue to power higher in their usual spring rally, they are starting to attract investors’ attention again. This includes some value investors, a group that is always concerned with valuations. Unfortunately, valuation analysis of gold stocks is fairly rare. But I’ve been researching this thread for over 6 years now, and this week is a great time for an update.
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news.goldseek.com >> 30 April 2010 |
Junior Gold Exploration
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Since most countries accurately report mine output, and several agencies catalog this information, we know where in the world gold is being produced. But where in the world are the juniors exploring for gold? Are they spinning their drills proportionate in geography to where the miners are operating? I hear questions like this all the time, but unfortunately there is no collective means of knowing where the juniors are concentrating their efforts.
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news.goldseek.com >> 23 April 2010 |
Silver ETF Divergence
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Launched 4 years ago this week, the SLV silver ETF has proven very successful. With $5.1b in net assets, it already ranks among the top 20 largest ETFs in the US. And the 287m ounces of physical silver bullion it holds in trust for its stock investors is impressive. For comparison, elite market-darling silver streamer Silver Wheaton only produced 17m ounces last year (equivalent to 6% of SLV’s holdings).
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news.goldseek.com >> 16 April 2010 |
Silver/Gold Ratio Reversion 3
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Silver’s recent rallying action is starting to catch traders’ attention. Since the end of its latest correction in early February, this white metal has surged 23% higher. It has well outperformed gold, which only climbed 9% over this same 9-week span. And based on silver’s strong historical relationship with gold, odds are today’s silver rally is only beginning. Silver’s gains should accelerate in the months ahead.
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news.goldseek.com >> 9 April 2010 |
SPX Levitation Act 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
In less than 8 weeks, the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) has relentlessly powered 12.6% higher. This big run has been very unbalanced too, utterly dominated by long up-day streaks. And for the most part, the occasional down days have been trivial. The SPX simply continues to melt up day after day, its surreal levitation act making traders nervous.
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news.goldseek.com >> 2 April 2010 |
Junior Gold Stocks 5
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Nearly a decade into gold’s secular bull the mining industry continues to exhibit struggles. And this is best characterized by an ongoing 6-year downtrend in global mine production. For this reason, and the fact that gold is up 373% since 2001, those miners that are able to find success have the ability to greatly profit in this bull. And it is this profit potential that has attracted investors to gold stocks.
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news.goldseek.com >> 26 March 2010 |
GDXJ Junior Gold ETF
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Among all commodities stocks, no group is as alluring and dangerous as junior gold stocks. The vast majority of these small companies are explorers, having never made a single dollar in sales. Yet investors and speculators still flock to them. Junior golds far outnumber juniors in every other commodity combined.
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news.goldseek.com >> 19 March 2010 |
Gold Stock Recovery 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Gold stocks continue to face a stiff psychological headwind. As measured by their flagship HUI index, they were ripped to shreds in late 2008’s brutal stock panic. In only 13 trading days, the HUI plummeted 49%! Many gold-stock investors simply gave up after seeing the HUI hit its worst levels in over 5 years.
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news.goldseek.com >> 12 March 2010 |
US Mint Bullion Coin Sales 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
The US Mint’s popular American Eagle gold and silver coins remain in high demand by US investors. Working to overcome production bottlenecks, the Mint radically stepped up operations last year to the highest levels by far of this entire secular gold bull. The Mint’s Eagle sales data offers interesting insights into physical precious-metals demand.
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news.goldseek.com >> 5 March 2010 |
Euro Gold Records 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
After spending our entire lives in a dollar-dominated world, we Americans naturally view gold through a dollar-centric lens. We assume the gold charts we’re seeing are universal. But this isn’t the case, as investors around the globe view gold in their own local currencies. Recent developments in euro gold highlight the importance of keeping this truth in mind.
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news.goldseek.com >> 26 February 2010 |
Global Gold Supply
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Last week the World Gold Council (WGC) released its highly-anticipated Gold Demand Trends (GDT) report for Q4 and full-year 2009. GDT reports contain analysis of independent data compiled by GFMS Limited detailing supply and demand trends in the global gold market. They are jam-packed with key fundamental reads that undergird gold’s secular bull.
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news.goldseek.com >> 19 February 2010 |
Trading HUI Volume Spikes
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
After surging 11.9% higher in just 7 trading days, the flagship HUI gold-stock index is starting to recapture traders’ attention. Right as this rally launched a couple weeks ago, I pointed out this sector’s exceedingly bullish technicals. Since then, I’ve been examining secondary indicators including volume to see if they corroborate the key primary ones.
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news.goldseek.com >> 12 February 2010 |
US Dollar Bear Rallies
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
In recent months, the US dollar has been surging higher. This impressive strength is a radical change from last year’s relentless grind lower. Across the globe, the majority of analysts expect this run higher to persist for a variety of reasons. This prospect is troubling traders of commodities and commodities stocks.
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news.goldseek.com >> 5 February 2010 |
Bullish HUI Technicals 4
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Over the last couple weeks, gold and silver stocks have been clobbered. The flagship index that tracks this sector, the HUI, hemorrhaged nearly a sixth of its value in just 8 trading days! Frightened traders have been scrambling for the exits, dumping their PM stocks at any price to rush their capital out of harm’s way.
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news.goldseek.com >> 29 January 2010 |
Soaring Base Metals Stockpiles
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Ever since its secular bull kicked off in 2003, the once-boring base-metals sector took on an aura of excitement. What trader wasn’t excited when copper, zinc, nickel, lead, and aluminum put together respective gains of 475%, 523%, 650%, 829%, and 163% from their 2003 lows to their interim bull-market highs?
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news.goldseek.com >> 22 January 2010 |
Silver Bull Seasonals
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Seasonality, the tendency for prices to consistently move in the same direction at particular times in the calendar year, is always fascinating. While it is intuitive for commodities dominated by orbital-mechanics-driven annual patterns, such as natural-gas demand surging in the cold winters, seasonality also exists in commodities without clear calendar connections.
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news.goldseek.com >> 15 January 2010 |
SPX Levitation Act
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Over the last few months, the behavior of the US stock markets has been rather vexing. Usually when they grow overbought, when greed and complacency wax extreme after a powerful rally, a healthy pullback soon rebalances sentiment. But instead they’ve ground higher lately, defying precedent and confounding students of the markets.
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news.goldseek.com >> 8 January 2010 |
Copper Correction
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Copper has enjoyed a spectacular run higher. In calendar 2009 as it emerged out of the stock-panic-induced commodities-price crash, it rocketed 153.2% higher! Such performance is just staggeringly good, even by the high post-panic standards. Over this same span the flagship CCI commodities index (which includes copper) only rallied 32.1%. And gold, which captivated traders in recent months, was only up 24.3% in 2009.
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news.goldseek.com >> 4 January 2010 |
Junior Base Metals Stocks
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
If you peel away the layers of what the mainstreamers classify as materials stocks, you will find the base metals stocks. And it is this group of stocks that represents the mining companies responsible for the supply side of the non-ferrous metals trade.
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news.goldseek.com >> 28 December 2009 |
Portfolio Rebalancing 101
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence
Year-end is always a time of reflection, a rare opportunity where the usual psychological boundaries of time crumble. For a couple weeks, the tyranny of the present yields to a heightened consideration of the past and the future. This rift in our everyday thought patterns leads many investors to ponder the composition of their portfolios, making this time of year the primary season for portfolio rebalancing.
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news.goldseek.com >> 18 December 2009 |
Gold Stock Recovery
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
One year ago this week, I wrote about the end of the gold-stock panic. As measured by its flagship HUI gold-stock index, this sector plummeted an unbelievable 52% in a matter of weeks in October 2008. It was an epic catastrophe and its aftermath is still reverberating through gold stocks to this day. All of 2009 has been defined by gold stocks’ recovery from this unprecedented panic anomaly.
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news.goldseek.com >> 11 December 2009 |
GLD Conspiracy Theories
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
As the world’s second-largest exchange-traded fund, and sixth-largest holder of gold bullion, the GLD gold ETF has grown into a juggernaut. GLD’s mounting popularity among stock-market investors and speculators has made it one of the most powerful forces in the global gold markets. This ETF’s success is all the more remarkable considering it was born just 5 years ago, its rise to prominence has been meteoric.
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news.goldseek.com >> 4 December 2009 |
Gold Going Parabolic?
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Gold’s performance over the past month has truly been epic. Since late October, it has soared 18.2% higher. Over a 21-trading-day span, no fewer than 16 days achieved closes at new nominal all-time-record highs! Even the perpetual gold disdain from Wall Street and the financial media is fading.
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news.goldseek.com >> 29 November 2009 |
Gold Stock Popularity
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Gold’s amazing run since September has mainstream analysts, who are normally gold-haters, lauding its virtues. All of a sudden gold is now an integral asset that all investors should own. Why this quick shift of opinion?
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news.goldseek.com >> 20 November 2009 |
Gold ETF Impact 5
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Five years ago this week, an obscure little ETF called StreetTracks Gold Shares was born. As the first American ETF enabling stock traders to gain direct price exposure to a physical commodity, GLD was truly revolutionary. Now known as SPDR Gold Shares, this ETF has proven to be a smashing success.
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news.goldseek.com >> 13 November 2009 |
Commodities Stocks and SPX Pullbacks
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
With the US stock markets very overextended technically, my recent research has focused on this development’s implications. Several weeks ago I outlined the extremely overbought conditions in the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX). Last week I explored how the overdue SPX pullback is even likely to spill over into the precious-metals stocks, dragging them down.
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news.goldseek.com >> 6 November 2009 |
HUI and SPX Pullbacks
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
After India’s central bank gobbled up half of the gold (200 metric tons) the IMF recently offered for sale, gold surged 2.4% on Tuesday to a new all-time nominal high near $1085. Naturally traders flooded into the gold stocks to leverage such an exciting day, driving the flagship HUI gold-stock index up by 8.0%.
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news.goldseek.com >> 30 October 2009 |
Copper Bull Marches On
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Though not the most exciting of the earth’s minerals, the bellwether base metal has wrangled up a following. Since the beginning of copper’s powerful bull run, that took out all-time highs in 2005, this metal has made a place for itself on headline business-channel tickers and in everyday trader talk.
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news.goldseek.com >> 23 October 2009 |
Overdue SPX Pullback
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
It’s sure been an awesome year in the stock markets! By this week, the benchmark S&P 500 index (SPX) had soared 62.3% from its despair-laden March low and 21.6% year-to-date. Naturally the gains have been fantastic in this dream environment for traders, with nearly all sectors relentlessly powering higher.
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news.goldseek.com >> 16 October 2009 |
Relativity Trading
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
The ultimate key to success in all trading, both long-term investment and short-term speculation, is simple. Buy low, sell high. Excel in this, and trading the financial markets will eventually make you wealthy. But implementing this well-known proverb into your own trading certainly isn’t easy. As always, the devil is in the details.
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news.goldseek.com >> 9 October 2009 |
Gold Futures CoT 3
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
With gold forging glorious new record highs (in nominal terms), traders’ interest in this metal’s 8-year-old secular bull is ballooning rapidly. And like most commodities, the lion’s share of gold trading happens in the futures markets. So the tactical gold-price action at any given moment is usually dominated by futures buying and selling.
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news.goldseek.com >> 2 October 2009 |
Base Metals Stocks
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
The base metals markets have been some of the most exciting to trade in this commodities bull. From trough to peak, copper, zinc, nickel, lead, and aluminum have seen staggering gains of 575%, 537%, 1124%, 888%, and 163%! Naturally, gains of this magnitude have made the mining of these metals an incredibly lucrative business.
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news.goldseek.com >> 25 September 2009 |
Copper Panic and Recovery
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Although copper is not the largest base-metal market (aluminum is way bigger), nor the most valuable of the primary base metals (nickel is worth several times more per pound), it is still arguably the most important base metal. As the base metal of choice for investors and speculators, copper’s price offers great insights into how traders view the global economic outlook.
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news.goldseek.com >> 18 September 2009 |
Real Gold Highs 3
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
One-thousand Federal Reserve Notes per troy ounce! This past week gold edged over $1000 to close at its highest levels ever witnessed. This much-maligned investment has nearly quadrupled since its secular bull’s humble beginnings in April 2001, a fantastic 297% gain compared to the S&P 500’s pathetic 7% loss over this 8+ year span.
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news.goldseek.com >> 11 September 2009 |
Gold Stocks Still Cheap
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Last week when gold started flirting with $1000, the gold stocks caught a serious bid. On an impressive 3.8% 2-day gold rally, the flagship HUI unhedged gold-stock index rocketed 15.7% higher! And the volume in this index’s elite gold stocks was staggering those 2 days, 2.8x the 3-month average.
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news.goldseek.com >> 4 September 2009 |
Junior Recovery?
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Every so often I’m asked to describe the role of juniors in the commodities industry. And I simply reply, “They’re like rabbits”. Rabbits are seemingly insignificant and useless animals. But in actuality they serve a critical role in the food chain as a valuable source of nourishment for larger animals.
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news.goldseek.com >> 28 August 2009 |
Gold Bull Seasonals 4
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
New gold investors are often surprised to learn that gold prices have a heavy seasonal component. Seasonality makes intuitive sense for commodities inexorably tied to orbital mechanics, like wheat. Their annual late-summer harvest really increases supply. But why should gold, which is mined evenly and continuously throughout the year, have big price swings governed by the solar calendar?
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news.goldseek.com >> 21 August 2009 |
Big Autumn Silver Rally
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Silver’s fundamentals offer plenty of reasons to be bullish in the coming years. Relentlessly growing global investment demand coupled with reduced production is a recipe for much higher prices. With something like 3/4ths of all the silver mined globally being merely a byproduct, primarily of base metals, supplies will remain constrained. Investors will have to compete in a tiny market for this scarce metal.
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news.goldseek.com >> 14 August 2009 |
Central Bank Gold Agreement
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Last Friday, the central banks of Europe extended their landmark agreement on gold sales. 18 national central banks, along with the European Central Bank itself, signed the third Central Bank Gold Agreement. CBGA 3, like its two predecessors, has major implications for gold that investors need to understand.
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news.goldseek.com >> 7 August 2009 |
SPX Driving Gold
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Among gold investors, the major drivers of the gold price are well-known. From mine production and central-bank sales to jewelry and investment demand, gold’s fundamentals have been and will continue to be extensively studied. But over the past year, a curious and sometimes dominating new gold driver has emerged.
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news.goldseek.com >> 31 July 2009 |
Global Gold Production
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
There is no denying gold’s store-of-value relevance throughout the history of the world. It has been and will always be the ultimate form of currency. Even today gold’s alluring and timeless qualities transcend every political, social, and monetary boundary that man puts into place. Gold’s core fundamentals will forever be rock solid.
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news.goldseek.com >> 24 July 2009 |
Gold $1000 Quest
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Big round numbers are irresistibly alluring. There is some kind of psychological gravity about them that captures people’s attention. Remember when the Dow 30 first breached 10k (March 1999) or oil first exceeded $100 (February 2008)? These were major financial-media events that spilled widely into the mainstream consciousness.
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news.goldseek.com >> 17 July 2009 |
Cheap Commodities
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Commodities have had a rough go lately, especially before this week. You couldn’t open a financial newspaper or turn on CNBC without seeing endless bearish prognostications for raw materials’ prices. Ongoing global economic fears led to the widespread belief that commodities are doomed to grind lower.
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news.goldseek.com >> 10 July 2009 |
Silver Investment
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Investment has been a core element of the silver market since its very beginning. For thousands of years investors stored a portion of their wealth in this white metal via such vehicles as ornamentals and jewelry. Silver investment has also been facilitated through a variety of monetary systems. In fact many historians believe this metal was used in the oldest form of coinage.
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news.goldseek.com >> 5 July 2009 |
Silver Stocks 3
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
When the words “precious metals” are spoken, gold is usually what comes to mind first. And in the universe of PM stocks it is indeed gold that most miners are after. The vast majority of PM mining companies explore for and ultimately seek to find the Ancient Metal of Kings. But gold is not the only precious metal.
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news.goldseek.com >> 26 June 2009 |
Gold/Silver ETF Stickiness
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Despite gold and silver consolidating in June, investment demand for these precious metals remains robust. This is evidenced by continuing growth in the bullion holdings of the leading precious-metals exchange-traded funds. Both GLD’s and SLV’s physical metals held in trust for investors have edged up to new all-time record highs this month!
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news.goldseek.com >> 19 June 2009 |
Silver/Gold Ratio Reversion 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Silver has endured a rather tough June so far. After peaking just under $16 on the 2nd, this white precious metal plunged 12% to just over $14 by the 15th. This is certainly a significant decline for less than 2 weeks, so silver traders are anxiously wondering what it portends. Will silver languish in the summer doldrums again this year?
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news.goldseek.com >> 12 June 2009 |
Stock Bear Cycles
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Earlier this week, a friend asked me if I thought this stock bear was over. My first thought was “which bear?”, for there isn’t just one. The stock-market action over the last couple years has been a tale of two bears. Investors who’ve failed to understand this critical truth are very confused on what to expect from stocks going forward.
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news.goldseek.com >> 5 June 2009 |
Big Inflation Coming 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
At the height of the stock panic in late November, the flagship S&P 500 stock index had plunged 49% year-to-date. Fully 2/3rds of this decline happened in the 9 weeks leading into the panic lows! Naturally the psychological impact of such an epic selloff was utterly massive. Fear exploded to unprecedented extremes.
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news.goldseek.com >> 29 May 2009 |
Commodities Survey
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Research
Last autumn’s stock panic fueled a particularly hard selloff in the commodities sector. And many folks were quick to proclaim the end of the 21st-century commodities bull. Indeed nearly all commodities prices were hammered, with some experiencing precipitous declines that were unseen since the Great Depression.
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news.goldseek.com >> 22 May 2009 |
Dollar’s Commodity Impact
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
On any day that commodities prices move materially, the financial media is quick to ascribe their action to the US dollar. And this oft-discussed causal relationship is certainly logical. With commodities priced in dollars, a stronger dollar will buy more units of any given commodity while a weaker dollar buys less.
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news.goldseek.com >> 15 May 2009 |
Junior Resource Prospects
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Just a few years ago, the junior resource stocks were hotter than the sun. The fact that the accelerating commodities bull was secular in nature was finally starting to sink in for mainstream traders. With a growing world in desperate need of endless new supplies of natural resources, capital flooded into junior resource stocks driving some truly epic gains.
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news.goldseek.com >> 8 May 2009 |
Bullish HUI Technicals 3
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Over the 6 months since the height of the stock panic in late November, commodities stocks have probably been the best-performing sector. While general stocks slumped to new lower lows in early March, commodities stocks surged. Their bullish fundamentals drove 50% to 100%+ gains over the S&P 500’s exact low-to-low span!
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news.goldseek.com >> 1 May 2009 |
Gold Producer Categories
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
In my tenure as an analyst on the gold stock circuit, I’ve been blessed to have experienced some pretty neat things that have given me an inside look at the gold mining industry. And by far the most exciting of my adventures have been tours of actual gold mines.
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news.goldseek.com >> 24 April 2009 |
Bullish Commodities Stocks
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Out of their dismal lows in early March, the stock markets rocketed 27% higher in a single month! After such fast gains, Wall Street remained skeptical. Was this a typical bear rally that would soon collapse? But as the last couple weeks have shown, it didn’t. Stocks not only held their rally gains, but they continued moving higher.
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news.goldseek.com >> 17 April 2009 |
Ostrich Investors
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
The withering barrage of misfortune that investors have suffered defies belief. Last year’s horrific 38.5% loss in the stock markets was one of the worst ever witnessed. And this year has offered little respite, with stocks down another 5.7% so far. Such a catastrophic loss of wealth has naturally sparked rampant bearishness, pessimism, and a pervading sense of despair.
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news.goldseek.com >> 10 April 2009 |
Copper Bull Market?
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Most analysts believe this deep global recession has abruptly ended the powerful secular commodities bull that was born at the turn of the 21st century. And it is certainly hard to argue this point considering the dismal panic-selling-induced performance of nearly all commodities.
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news.goldseek.com >> 3 April 2009 |
Junior Gold Stocks 4
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Junior gold stocks are a contingent of the greater junior resources circuit that has simply been obliterated in the recent stock panic. Even though gold has been strong over this stretch, the risk capital that usually finds its way into these gold explorers had all but left the scene.
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news.goldseek.com >> 27 March 2009 |
Gold Stock Valuations 5
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Way back in late 2000, only the very hardest-core contrarians even considered investing in gold stocks. This sector was all but obliterated after a multi-decade bear in gold. Its flagship HUI gold-stock index was languishing in the 40s, while the headline S&P 500 still traded in the 1400s. Most investors didn’t even know the tiny gold-mining sector even existed.
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news.goldseek.com >> 20 March 2009 |
New Gold Upleg
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
After gold’s breathtaking $38 surge in 15 minutes Wednesday, there is much renewed interest in the Ancient Metal of Kings. The Federal Reserve, which is clearly being run by lunatics, publicly announced it is going to create over a trillion dollars out of thin air to monetize US debt. This degree of pure monetary inflation is utterly unprecedented.
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news.goldseek.com >> 13 March 2009 |
Gold and the SPX
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
This past Tuesday, the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) surged 6.4% in its biggest daily rally since rocketing out of its panic low in late November. Gold, which was flat that morning, suffered increasing selling pressure as the day marched on. As the SPX strengthened, gold weakened in an inverse linear fashion. It ultimately fell 2.6% that day, sliding under $900 for the first time in a month.
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news.goldseek.com >> 6 March 2009 |
SPX Bottoms
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
With the S&P 500 slumping below its November panic low, it’s been one tough week in the stock markets. The SPX was holding its own until the Marxist Party inexplicably decided to announce giant and aggressive tax hikes on American investors. So confidence, already very weak after the first true stock panic in 101 years, continued flagging on the Marxists’ plans to steal ever more of the fruits of our labors.
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news.goldseek.com >> 27 February 2009 |
HUI Gold Stocks
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
With gold getting a lot of attention in these wild markets, naturally its producers are also attracting interest. And almost silently, gold stocks have emerged from the depths of the 2008 stock panic to be the best-performing sector in the markets. From the November lows to this week, measured by the HUI gold stocks have soared 71% while the S&P 500 has merely ground sideways.
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news.goldseek.com >> 20 February 2009 |
Gold Stock Surge
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Earlier this week, the US stock markets (S&P 500) fell 4.6% to their lowest close since November 20th’s panic low. It was a very unpleasant day as latent fears of bungled government meddling flared up again. But one sector, the gold stocks, was able to buck this very weak tape. That very day the HUI gold-stock index rallied 2.6%.
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news.goldseek.com >> 13 February 2009 |
US Mint Bullion Coin Sales
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
The bottom line is US Mint sales of Gold Eagles and Silver Eagles soared in the second half of 2008 during the stock panic. Physical bullion coin demand from investors was stellar, even bringing the Mint to its knees for the first time in decades at one point. Such high demand in the face of gold and silver prices being sold down with nearly everything else during the stock panic is exceedingly bullish.
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news.goldseek.com >> 6 February 2009 |
Silver/Gold Ratio Reversion
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
While wreaking its unbelievable destruction, last quarter’s financial-market panic certainly showed no favoritism. Launching from ground zero in the financial stocks, shockwaves of selling blasted out through the entire market landscape. Everything speculators once loved was left in ruins, including silver.
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news.goldseek.com >> 30 January 2009 |
Base Metals Technicals 5
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Not too long ago base metals were the hottest of commodities. In their bull markets the prices of these industrial-use metals had soared to lofty heights to reflect the speculative risk premiums brought on by greatly imbalanced markets. Copper, zinc, nickel, lead, and aluminum achieved staggering trough-to-peak gains of 574%, 523%, 1124%, 829%, and 151%!
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news.goldseek.com >> 23 January 2009 |
Big Inflation Coming
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Late 2008’s stock panic has certainly had a complex and multifaceted impact on popular psychology. Mindsets and outlooks that were scoffed at as recently as 6 months ago have suddenly become fashionable. One of the more intriguing is the meteoric rise to prominence of the deflation thesis.
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news.goldseek.com >> 16 January 2009 |
Post-Panic Stock Rallies
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
2008, of course, was the worst year for the stock markets in memory. We’ve never seen anything like it in our lifetimes. The Great Depression of the 1930s was worse, but in order to have been old enough to care about the stock markets back then a trader would have to be around 95 years old today. For all but that elderly infinitesimal fraction of today’s traders, 2008 was utterly unprecedented.
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news.goldseek.com >> 9 January 2009 |
Global Gold 5
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
During late 2008’s unprecedented financial-market panic, gold got something of a bum rap. Since this metal didn’t soar during the stock chaos like most of its investors expected, many assume something must be wrong in gold-land. But gold ultimately did hold its own, up 2.1% in Q4 while the S&P 500 plunged 22.4%.
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news.goldseek.com >> 2 January 2009 |
New Gold Stock Environment
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC
At Zeal we welcomed the new year by publishing the latest edition of our Favorite Gold-Producing Stocks Research Report. And looking back a lot has happened in the gold stock arena since the last installment. In fact in just over a year the environment in which we trade these stocks has radically changed. While some of the environmental forces have occurred from the inside out, the most impactful are external in nature and have really caught investors off guard.
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news.goldseek.com >> 26 December 2008 |
Gold Fundamentals 2
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
Gold belongs in every investor’s portfolio. It is totally unique among financial assets, a physical metal commanding timeless and universal intrinsic value. It is a rock of stability in a chaotic world, a stark contrast to the complex web of mere promises to pay that is our modern faith-based financial system. Without gold, true diversification and protection from systemic risk is impossible.
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news.goldseek.com >> 19 December 2008 |
Gold Stock Panic Ends
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC
The Great Stock Panic of 2008 was so mercilessly brutal that no sector escaped its ravages. Unfortunately gold stocks, despite their history of performing really well during general-stock bears, also succumbed to the universal panic selling. Extreme fear snowballed without relent until even long-time gold-stock enthusiasts capitulated and dumped their shares in disgust.